Incomplete-Extinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

2,043

Trades

2,102

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-29 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$6

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x238f4b…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f4636…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6e993…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe982c6…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6be1f…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87cdd5…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30eb36…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x232623…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e5b81…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7412cc…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4b73f8…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36f844…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x126b90…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4610b…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3380e6…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5d402…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x152a72…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb480e3…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44d7ec…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefef30…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x38c8af…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x164f28…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92ea77…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff4f2b…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc8d061…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x728453…
10-08 19:22:48	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2132f2…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2c522…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcfe846…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7742ac…
10-07 05:49:23	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x868f67…
10-06 22:12:08	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b0714…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6262c6…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b7bbf…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x394c2b…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x413163…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d8b60…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x265735…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x615653…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x33ff51…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9612c…
10-02 14:15:38	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2dd5b1…
10-02 14:12:33	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabcfba…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19602a…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xde6c45…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40663c…
10-01 11:34:20	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x946cb7…
10-01 04:48:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe44bd0…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38038f…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16bf1e…
09-29 15:30:11	atp tobon torres 2026 09 28	Juan Bautista Torres	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3afc31…
09-29 13:58:57	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8690fe…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xadbd89…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20130a…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9fc55e…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0caa2a…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9deb26…
09-27 20:24:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a7278…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x333772…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567453…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf38c79…
09-27 01:58:20	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d59b5…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x239f01…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8943c…
09-26 19:57:42	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e2ccd…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6088b6…
09-25 22:58:51	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098e2b…
09-25 10:16:00	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa99dc1…
09-24 22:25:47	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x802d9e…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e3e38…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x685012…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b4e8…
09-23 16:19:30	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76eccf…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad346b…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c22e8…
09-21 13:01:33	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05d17e…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cd589…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x892c19…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e5e21…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ba520…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48fd17…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb15fa4…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb37bf3…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12d5af…
09-17 00:30:58	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0431…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c4e78…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x931dd5…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1e420…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cbc0b…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa381c1…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e305a…
09-15 17:49:04	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0357…
09-15 14:12:25	W75 Le Neubourg: Demi Tran vs Sachia Vickery	Demi Tran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeefe84…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3e0e2…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70814e…
09-14 19:16:45	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc863a4…
09-14 09:24:13	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f815f…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7f33b…
09-14 01:32:19	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d1142…
09-13 20:07:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacdd5c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 15:37
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:42
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will TianLong Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:33
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:55
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 21:29
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:54
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54