Granular-Splendor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-18 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

48% 7% -$81

Sports

30% 0% -$70

Politics

13% 0% -$1

Crypto

9% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+9	$5	100¢	$9	+$4	05-31 16:38
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	+41	$3	7¢	$3	+$0	05-31 16:38
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+152	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	05-31 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	4	$23	32	0	+32	Yes	+$9	05-31 16:38
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	4	$22	292	0	+292	No	-$22	05-31 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$15	20	10	+10	Up	-$5	10-18 09:22
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	+$8	05-31 16:37
Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	1	$13	179	0	+179	No	-$13	05-31 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	10-18 09:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	1	$7	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$7	05-31 16:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	1	$7	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$7	05-31 16:38
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	1	$7	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$7	05-31 16:38
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	1	$7	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$7	05-31 16:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	1	$7	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$7	05-31 16:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	1	$7	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$7	05-31 16:38
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-31 16:38
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	168	0	+168	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,515	0	+1,515	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,136	0	+1,136	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,515	0	+1,515	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,515	0	+1,515	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,136	0	+1,136	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,515	0	+1,515	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,515	0	+1,515	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	1,515	0	+1,515	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	267	0	+267	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	175	0	+175	No	-$5	05-31 16:38
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-31 16:38
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$4	106	0	+106	No	-$4	05-31 16:38
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	2	$4	67	0	+67	open	—	05-31 16:38
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	2	$4	108	0	+108	open	—	05-31 16:38
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	2	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	05-31 16:38
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	2	$4	19	0	+19	open	—	05-31 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf4b57…
10-18 09:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6d52e0…
10-18 09:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x0d9961…
10-18 09:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c4fa9…
05-31 16:38:50	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe5480f…
05-31 16:38:43	Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	153	8¢	$12	0xebe058…
05-31 16:38:41	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	134	2¢	$2	0xb44bd6…
05-31 16:38:41	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x059d2c…
05-31 16:38:40	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0x1575fc…
05-31 16:38:38	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xc82ffc…
05-31 16:38:38	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xb8b76c…
05-31 16:38:38	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0x2d6919…
05-31 16:38:36	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xb44ff8…
05-31 16:38:36	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0x70c053…
05-31 16:38:36	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0x5ccd78…
05-31 16:38:34	Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0x78c08f…
05-31 16:38:34	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0x0545ac…
05-31 16:38:33	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$2	0xdac3c2…
05-31 16:38:33	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$2	0x921f47…
05-31 16:38:33	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x676a43…
05-31 16:38:31	Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xc49d0a…
05-31 16:38:31	Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x7e83b5…
05-31 16:38:31	Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x457f73…
05-31 16:38:29	Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x826c0e…
05-31 16:38:29	Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x763538…
05-31 16:38:29	Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x4be0f3…
05-31 16:38:27	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xbf02ed…
05-31 16:38:27	Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x8f8d67…
05-31 16:38:27	Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x8b552e…
05-31 16:38:27	Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x5a19e2…
05-31 16:38:26	Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x4a68d6…
05-31 16:38:26	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x0207f9…
05-31 16:38:24	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xf09a73…
05-31 16:38:24	Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0xd33264…
05-31 16:38:24	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x8f8f87…
05-31 16:38:24	Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x8ed2c7…
05-31 16:38:12	Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,143	0¢	$7	0x219e15…
05-31 16:38:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,143	0¢	$7	0xd82ac6…
05-31 16:38:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,143	0¢	$7	0xca6497…
05-31 16:38:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,143	0¢	$7	0xc79a1d…
05-31 16:38:08	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,143	0¢	$7	0x804e30…
05-31 16:38:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7,143	0¢	$7	0xeb13f3…
05-31 16:37:31	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0xee818a…
05-31 16:37:31	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0xbe661f…
05-31 16:37:30	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xfb6c81…
05-31 16:37:30	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0xcb41af…
05-31 16:37:30	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xc43167…
05-31 16:37:28	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$2	0xeb8f13…
05-31 16:37:28	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0xae71c4…
05-31 16:37:28	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0x557c4a…
05-31 16:37:26	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x496077…
05-31 16:37:26	Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	134	2¢	$2	0x1b7a31…
05-31 16:37:24	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xb1caba…
05-31 16:37:24	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0x32afa0…
05-31 16:37:24	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0x215d2f…
05-31 16:37:23	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xe1ef5b…
05-31 16:37:23	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x1b1b54…
05-31 16:37:21	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xf054ac…
05-31 16:37:21	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0xd08ba9…
05-31 16:37:21	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	758	0¢	$2	0x47779b…
05-31 16:37:19	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$2	0xff1b54…
05-31 16:37:19	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$2	0x887485…
05-31 16:37:19	Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0x5ee002…
05-31 16:37:17	Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xd4b7bf…
05-31 16:37:17	Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$4	0x4ac86c…
05-31 16:37:17	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x4a7719…
05-31 16:37:16	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb15f2f…
05-31 16:37:16	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0x4ea0e5…
05-31 16:37:16	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x3faa5d…
05-31 16:37:16	Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	179	7¢	$13	0x2a3505…
05-31 16:37:14	Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0xd38f95…
05-31 16:37:14	Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xa5f483…
05-31 16:37:14	Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x0833ce…
05-31 16:37:12	Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xfcfe45…
05-31 16:37:12	Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x4a0a33…
05-31 16:37:10	Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xe7d423…
05-31 16:37:10	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe41590…
05-31 16:37:10	Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xc9de1d…
05-31 16:37:09	Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xb8e0ea…
05-31 16:37:09	Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb88f3c…
05-31 16:37:09	Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa34750…
05-31 16:37:07	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xc01015…
05-31 16:37:07	Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x25fe67…
05-31 16:37:05	Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xc082eb…
05-31 16:37:05	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x771411…
05-31 16:37:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0xf0d74d…
05-31 16:37:03	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0xb8e6b9…
05-31 16:37:03	Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xa5e8c4…
05-31 16:37:02	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdaafdb…
05-31 16:37:02	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x3eba8a…
05-31 16:37:02	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x2a091f…
05-31 16:37:00	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xc983e3…
05-31 16:37:00	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x867c60…
05-31 16:37:00	Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x81b2e7…
05-31 16:36:58	Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xd88209…
05-31 16:36:58	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xc75b0b…
05-31 16:36:56	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xdbb189…
05-31 16:36:56	Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x8e2ad6…
05-31 16:36:56	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x66b31d…
05-31 16:36:56	Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x1f90e4…