Outlying-Bath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,482

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-07 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 68% $-14

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1774481400	66	$130	374	+374	open	—	03-25 23:37
eth updown 15m 1774480500	55	$107	220	+220	open	—	03-25 23:26
xrp updown 15m 1774480500	52	$100	365	+365	open	—	03-25 23:26
eth updown 15m 1774490400	48	$95	351	+351	open	—	03-26 02:07
sol updown 15m 1774480500	47	$94	213	+213	open	—	03-25 23:26
xrp updown 15m 1774482300	46	$89	214	+214	open	—	03-25 23:54
sol updown 15m 1774479600	45	$86	216	+216	open	—	03-25 23:11
sol updown 15m 1774481400	42	$81	191	+191	open	—	03-25 23:38
xrp updown 15m 1774489500	37	$72	161	+161	open	—	03-26 01:53
sol updown 15m 1774491300	38	$71	359	+359	open	—	03-26 02:20
xrp updown 15m 1774488600	35	$69	157	+157	open	—	03-26 01:37
eth updown 15m 1774489500	35	$69	147	+147	open	—	03-26 01:53
xrp updown 15m 1774490400	37	$66	207	+207	open	—	03-26 02:07
sol updown 15m 1774489500	32	$62	157	+157	open	—	03-26 01:53
sol updown 15m 1774488600	31	$60	126	+126	open	—	03-26 01:37
xrp updown 15m 1774486800	30	$57	128	+128	open	—	03-26 01:08
sol updown 15m 1774485900	30	$57	116	+116	open	—	03-26 00:50
eth updown 15m 1774486800	29	$54	140	+140	open	—	03-26 01:08
eth updown 15m 1774488600	26	$50	94	+94	open	—	03-26 01:37
sol updown 15m 1774486800	26	$49	137	+137	open	—	03-26 01:08
eth updown 15m 1774484100	25	$49	125	+125	open	—	03-26 00:21
xrp updown 15m 1774483200	26	$48	123	+123	open	—	03-26 00:05
sol updown 15m 1774490400	25	$48	209	+209	open	—	03-26 02:07
sol updown 15m 1774478700	25	$47	105	+105	open	—	03-25 22:48
eth updown 15m 1774485000	23	$45	129	+129	open	—	03-26 00:38
sol updown 15m 1774482300	22	$43	102	+102	open	—	03-25 23:52
sol updown 15m 1774476900	22	$43	84	+84	open	—	03-25 22:19
xrp updown 15m 1774479600	22	$41	85	+85	open	—	03-25 23:11
sol updown 15m 1774485000	22	$41	129	+129	open	—	03-26 00:38
sol updown 15m 1774483200	19	$38	93	+93	open	—	03-26 00:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb1de8a…
05-07 10:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8132b7…
05-07 10:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xeb20db…
05-07 09:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7cc7c4…
05-07 09:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x691adc…
05-07 09:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3c2317…
05-07 09:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb137c6…
05-07 09:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x76bffe…
05-07 08:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbf27e2…
05-07 08:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xbb3f59…
05-07 08:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xce5261…
05-07 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x62b672…
05-07 08:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5cb2fa…
05-07 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0f4578…
05-07 08:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x78b78f…
05-07 08:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x1a9073…
05-07 07:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8bddaf…
05-07 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x0f75b3…
05-07 06:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd4b496…
05-07 06:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0db675…
05-07 05:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4985dc…
05-07 05:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x476ee8…
05-07 05:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x033408…
05-07 05:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x918d15…
05-07 05:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x02a93b…
05-07 05:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe6c624…
05-07 05:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xb1ad45…
05-07 04:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4779b7…
05-07 04:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x17d1dc…
05-07 04:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x84c88a…
05-07 04:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xce9e18…
05-07 04:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xce9ffe…
05-07 04:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6f9680…
05-07 04:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x53feb1…
05-07 03:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9c9fd2…
05-07 03:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x26ed2c…
05-07 03:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa33cdf…
05-07 03:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x96c876…
05-07 03:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x97e848…
05-07 03:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9c618b…
05-07 03:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x37f8b3…
05-07 03:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x87d3e5…
05-07 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbe4220…
05-07 02:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x558f1a…
05-07 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x6594b1…
05-07 02:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2fb219…
05-07 02:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xed5070…
05-07 02:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb30ca2…
05-07 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x864fc9…
05-07 02:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8688d3…
05-07 01:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd24f62…
05-07 01:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3938b4…
05-07 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4253fe…
05-07 01:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa28bda…
05-07 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x145980…
05-07 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x9ade0e…
05-07 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x63cda2…
05-07 00:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe5c454…
05-07 00:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xdc60a6…
05-07 00:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xfbbca5…
05-07 00:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x993feb…
05-06 23:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfb53c5…
05-06 23:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x9e37d1…
05-06 23:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb7e79c…
05-06 23:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x3495a2…
05-06 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x42b8c3…
05-06 22:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x27404b…
05-06 22:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xefc72b…
05-06 22:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0b6121…
05-06 21:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb83ff8…
05-06 21:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x94c73a…
05-06 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x99e225…
05-06 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6a5ed7…
05-06 19:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x95ea2c…
05-06 19:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xeb3767…
05-06 19:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x7ac5d5…
05-06 19:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd7f472…
05-06 19:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc0cc5d…
05-06 19:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1e97f2…
05-06 19:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa20a6b…
05-06 19:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9f3ebe…
05-06 18:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd36fb3…
05-06 18:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0304bd…
05-06 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x0e9ff7…
05-06 18:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5cc0d2…
05-06 18:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x686738…
05-06 18:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8864d0…
05-06 17:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4217a9…
05-06 17:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x902c41…
05-06 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4a3c70…
05-06 17:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9480f4…
05-06 17:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9d85ee…
05-06 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x86623f…
05-06 17:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x74777e…
05-06 17:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x94195f…
05-06 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x254bbe…
05-06 16:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7c362a…
05-06 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb379ec…
05-06 16:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7b8343…
05-06 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x51d1b7…