Knobby-Encouragement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

4,305

Trades

7,354

lifetime

Volume

$166.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-17 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% +$1,005

Other

0% 73% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	9	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-17 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-17 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	9	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	16	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-17 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-17 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-17 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$490	500	+500	Down	+$10	05-17 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	6	$483	500	+500	Down	-$483	05-17 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$481	500	+500	Down	+$19	05-17 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	11	$475	500	+500	Up	+$25	05-17 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$470	500	+500	Down	+$30	05-17 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	16	$459	674	+674	Up	-$60	08-15 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$409	415	+415	Down	+$6	05-16 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:50 UTC	2	$321	337	+337	Up	-$313	08-17 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$303	312	+312	Up	+$9	05-17 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 18:55 UTC	4	$300	363	+363	Down	+$63	07-05 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:10 UTC	9	$260	330	+330	Up	-$125	08-14 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:25 UTC	2	$259	334	+334	Up	-$45	07-26 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:40 UTC	2	$255	281	+281	Up	+$26	07-04 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$236	239	+239	Up	+$3	05-16 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:35 UTC	2	$233	442	+442	Down	-$114	07-25 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$231	233	+233	Down	+$2	05-18 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$229	325	+325	Down	-$15	07-25 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:01:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfcc65a…
10-17 13:01:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc3e25…
09-22 12:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f2f99…
09-22 10:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7265f7…
09-22 10:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x752411…
09-22 10:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x0ce534…
09-22 10:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc7e615…
09-22 10:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x202e5d…
09-22 10:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x8c01ee…
09-22 10:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x431dd0…
09-22 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x089ca5…
09-22 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x89e5db…
09-22 09:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x85eef6…
09-22 09:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8da44c…
09-22 09:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf4c102…
09-22 09:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb2690c…
09-22 08:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x463592…
09-22 08:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xac1ed8…
09-22 07:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x72d07c…
09-22 07:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x18b1f1…
08-18 12:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x616694…
08-18 12:18:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x97e411…
08-18 12:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xdcf042…
08-18 12:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0e4bcc…
08-18 11:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc793bf…
08-18 10:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x09f0ab…
08-18 10:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xab7f65…
08-18 10:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1ef176…
08-18 09:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xefeee5…
08-18 09:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb4707f…
08-18 08:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x519982…
08-18 07:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x69541d…
08-18 07:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc44e9c…
08-18 06:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x50be9c…
08-18 06:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x84d724…
08-18 06:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$6	0x9fc012…
08-18 06:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x797c55…
08-18 06:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x182d17…
08-18 06:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3be2eb…
08-18 06:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x730983…
08-18 05:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc578c8…
08-18 04:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xf59039…
08-18 04:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x2d902f…
08-18 04:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xcc7dcc…
08-18 04:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x42c1a4…
08-18 04:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb8f5ae…
08-18 04:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd18e23…
08-18 04:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9237a6…
08-18 03:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x90b519…
08-18 03:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xec2d40…
08-18 03:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x2ffdd0…
08-18 02:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x11e150…
08-18 00:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x4200f6…
08-18 00:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x10e10e…
08-18 00:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6fd6b2…
08-18 00:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x87e7b1…
08-17 23:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf06786…
08-17 23:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc81c34…
08-17 22:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xe6f5de…
08-17 22:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x65ae37…
08-17 22:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x77787e…
08-17 22:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x40a5c8…
08-17 22:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x67a0b1…
08-17 22:04:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x86fdec…
08-17 22:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xebd7f9…
08-17 22:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7448e9…
08-17 22:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3d4b18…
08-17 22:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf4ace6…
08-17 21:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xca9471…
08-17 21:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xcacd0c…
08-17 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa6658d…
08-17 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb29ae0…
08-17 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x098c12…
08-17 21:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf47510…
08-17 21:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x55c189…
08-17 21:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1fc5d0…
08-17 20:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x30b1d1…
08-17 20:39:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xd9e245…
08-17 20:39:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb80032…
08-17 20:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x119d75…
08-17 20:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc21363…
08-17 20:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5c8971…
08-17 20:18:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x18d327…
08-17 19:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe03200…
08-17 19:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x93b9c6…
08-17 19:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3043b4…
08-17 18:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf9b623…
08-17 18:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1d97cb…
08-17 18:49:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x36d2df…
08-17 18:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfcf42c…
08-17 18:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb6c11a…
08-17 07:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	329	96¢	$315	0x9b27d0…
08-17 07:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x45eb8b…
08-17 07:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x626491…
08-17 07:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6f3641…
08-17 05:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x4308a3…
08-17 05:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5e797b…
08-17 04:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x26e51b…
08-17 04:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5ccea7…
08-17 03:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x7dd1ca…