Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$494.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.21K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-03 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

72% 44% +$11,373

Politics

24% 20% -$294

Sports

2% 33% +$2,258

Crypto

2% 50% +$1,840

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$115.7K	120,550	0	+120,550	Yes	+$4,822	10-26 10:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	70	$100.5K	51,737	51,737	+0	No	+$322	04-01 00:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	54	$66.8K	92,014	76,014	+16,000	No	-$2,961	09-15 20:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$60.3K	30,370	30,370	+0	No	+$308	03-31 01:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	52	$33.6K	45,395	0	+45,395	Yes	+$11,794	07-28 18:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	24	$27.3K	79,392	79,392	+0	open	—	09-15 20:08
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	79	$23.0K	17,368	17,368	+0	No	-$1,986	08-20 02:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$13.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$2,200	04-04 17:58
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	4	$13.4K	9,567	9,567	+0	Yes	+$3,381	06-15 17:54
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	2	$7.7K	6,173	6,173	+0	No	-$2,343	06-15 17:45
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$7.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Yes	+$2,007	06-08 09:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$4.9K	6,500	0	+6,500	Yes	+$1,625	05-16 15:33
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	4	$4.4K	6,735	5,735	+1,000	No	+$172	06-30 15:07
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$2.7K	4,642	4,642	+0	Spain	-$1,525	07-14 20:20
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	12	$2.0K	5,934	5,934	-0	Yes	+$607	10-20 22:14
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	12	$1.2K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	-$149	04-07 02:51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$852	07-19 19:14
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	2	$950	4,520	4,520	+0	No	-$50	07-14 20:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$891	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$891	10-25 22:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$800	6,868	0	+6,868	No	-$800	10-25 23:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$725	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$525	10-26 09:39
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	14	$691	500	500	+0	Yes	+$281	06-08 09:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	4	$590	10,000	3,605	+6,395	No	-$114	10-24 18:21
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	2	$525	9,679	0	+9,679	No	-$525	11-03 22:42
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	1	$500	7,252	0	+7,252	No	-$500	11-03 22:43
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	1	$500	1,136	0	+1,136	Knicks	+$636	06-04 03:03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$391	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$311	07-14 20:24
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	8	$346	1,770	0	+1,770	Yes	-$346	10-16 16:28
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$330	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$330	04-04 18:04
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$322	10,000	2,500	+7,500	No	-$18	07-09 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:43:19	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	7,252	7¢	$500	0xd5a86e…
11-03 22:42:40	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	7,725	6¢	$500	0x4d4718…
11-03 17:45:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1,954	1¢	$25	0x590b00…
11-03 17:01:22	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	6,679	0¢	$25	0x8fc301…
11-03 16:56:39	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,528	1¢	$25	0x54dda8…
11-03 16:51:09	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,683	1¢	$25	0xe98ebe…
11-03 16:29:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x6e8aa5…
10-26 10:02:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,650	96¢	$15,024	0x564866…
10-26 09:59:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,900	96¢	$16,224	0x62e10e…
10-26 09:44:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88,000	96¢	$84,480	0xc31a28…
10-26 09:39:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,500	4¢	$100	0x7d82b2…
10-25 23:16:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,630	11¢	$500	0x8170c2…
10-25 23:14:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,239	13¢	$300	0xed9c20…
10-25 22:29:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3,000	30¢	$891	0xccd0bf…
10-24 18:21:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1,605	4¢	$68	0x1003f7…
10-24 15:19:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	1,715	8¢	$146	0xe74266…
10-24 15:18:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	285	9¢	$25	0x391282…
10-23 23:04:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	10,000	4¢	$352	0x14a42d…
10-20 22:14:41	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	5,934	22¢	$1,309	0x38c319…
10-16 20:11:18	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	209	66¢	$138	0x72343c…
10-16 17:12:54	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x1abe78…
10-16 16:28:51	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x96c629…
10-16 16:05:16	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x6644c1…
10-16 16:04:13	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	1,985	20¢	$397	0x7c2af8…
10-16 16:02:36	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	460	25¢	$114	0x0ea605…
10-16 06:49:25	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xea0852…
10-16 02:45:18	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	191	20¢	$38	0x9c2137…
10-15 22:51:48	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x081974…
10-15 18:51:40	Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	No	BUY	370	17¢	$63	0xfbea2d…
10-15 17:28:43	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x6f3a5f…
10-15 06:09:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	25¢	$625	0x2d8f75…
10-14 20:50:51	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	1,147	11¢	$124	0x5a7e06…
10-14 20:49:37	will strc hit 100 by november 30 2026	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x23b03e…
10-14 20:01:46	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	529	9¢	$48	0x3f341c…
10-14 19:46:45	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	582	7¢	$41	0x4f8965…
10-14 19:19:55	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xc7a2c2…
10-14 19:18:00	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4db257…
10-14 19:15:52	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x8cb91d…
10-14 19:13:42	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf3ec77…
10-14 19:11:46	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xea7c5d…
10-14 17:24:37	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	1,296	5¢	$61	0x21af58…
09-15 20:20:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,000	11¢	$880	0x4cee47…
09-15 20:08:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,000	6¢	$900	0x4b3efb…
09-15 15:27:30	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,000	13¢	$1,949	0x4dde69…
09-15 09:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0x817309…
09-15 09:35:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	11¢	$275	0x3d658c…
09-15 01:53:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	12¢	$300	0xeaf542…
09-10 16:16:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x728445…
09-10 16:15:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	505	37¢	$187	0x484b0c…
09-10 16:15:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	37¢	$12	0xb5639a…
09-10 16:15:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,500	37¢	$925	0x41093f…
09-10 16:13:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	135	37¢	$50	0x20be98…
09-10 16:11:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	900	37¢	$333	0xe0b894…
09-10 16:11:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,703	37¢	$1,000	0x66ff44…
09-10 16:11:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xc8dff5…
09-10 16:11:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xaf1356…
09-10 16:11:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,500	37¢	$555	0x75393e…
09-10 16:08:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xad2626…
09-10 16:08:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29,824	37¢	$11,035	0xb56459…
09-09 17:53:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x94f4ea…
09-09 17:53:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	268	45¢	$121	0x2307e8…
09-09 17:53:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x17a25a…
09-09 17:53:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32,561	45¢	$14,694	0x4ec563…
09-08 13:21:04	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59,087	15¢	$8,863	0xddeee3…
09-06 01:53:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0xc897d4…
09-04 17:50:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,985	49¢	$2,932	0xe69f88…
09-03 16:54:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,000	18¢	$2,700	0xa36801…
08-31 20:24:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x039681…
08-31 20:23:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0x9a674c…
08-31 20:23:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x57b6eb…
08-31 20:23:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0xae7c9b…
08-31 20:23:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x42496b…
08-31 20:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x436823…
08-31 20:23:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x35f6d8…
08-31 20:23:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x729d47…
08-31 20:20:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x5506f6…
08-31 19:30:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,855	41¢	$761	0x0340e5…
08-31 19:20:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2f8d1e…
08-31 19:11:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x9f46bc…
08-31 19:11:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	814	41¢	$334	0x26fae1…
08-31 18:55:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	41¢	$43	0x77c933…
08-31 18:54:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	41¢	$90	0x016ee3…
08-31 18:48:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x5b942c…
08-31 18:48:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x4f6269…
08-31 18:27:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x23a5ea…
08-31 18:25:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x3e8a54…
08-31 18:19:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x04ee39…
08-31 18:16:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x9d5dc2…
08-31 18:08:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcf08da…
08-31 18:07:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7d123b…
08-31 18:04:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	359	41¢	$147	0xe30fc1…
08-31 18:03:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	689	41¢	$283	0x65cca0…
08-31 17:44:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	42¢	$4,200	0x65dfc0…
08-31 17:41:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,000	42¢	$2,520	0x60f458…
08-31 17:39:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xd6481d…
08-31 17:39:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29,077	41¢	$11,922	0xc72b9b…
08-31 17:38:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	41¢	$2,050	0xe1a6b9…
08-28 14:08:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	59¢	$2,950	0x39ccef…
08-21 21:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xa9ec72…
08-21 21:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xa8cbe4…