Gummy-Paramedic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

111

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$71

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-25 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

68% 92% +$7

Politics

16% 100% +$1

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+76	$72	94¢	$71	-$1	10-14 14:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	2	$123	62	62	+0	No	+$0	08-13 23:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	3	$123	62	62	+0	No	+$0	08-12 20:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$94	49	49	+0	No	+$1	08-31 21:43
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	1	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	10-06 07:02
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$75	76	0	+76	Yes	+$0	10-02 07:10
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	1	$72	73	0	+73	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:59
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$72	76	0	+76	open	—	10-14 14:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$72	72	0	+72	Yes	+$0	09-16 00:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	09-14 15:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$0	09-05 15:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$65	68	0	+68	No	+$3	09-27 10:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	08-11 19:42
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$1	08-14 03:38
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	08-21 21:05
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-31 20:52
will nvda reach 224 in july 2026	1	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$0	07-31 15:12
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	04-29 02:27
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	06-30 01:55
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	08-31 20:23
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-12 23:30
tsla above 410 on march 31 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	03-31 10:43
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-26 23:49
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-29 06:18
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-24 15:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	07-30 15:24
will chainlink dip to 6 in january	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-10 07:21
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-26 20:43
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-25 13:27
will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	09-26 11:04
googl above 370 on january 30 2026	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-14 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:44:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x53f6eb…
10-14 14:35:21	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x9510fb…
10-06 07:02:13	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf8238b…
10-02 07:10:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x1ff260…
09-27 10:35:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x21cb1e…
09-26 11:04:02	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x930d31…
09-22 14:59:03	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$72	0x76ec46…
09-16 00:03:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x801055…
09-14 15:38:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x01b9b0…
09-05 15:39:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x99f708…
08-31 21:43:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb8a0a1…
08-31 20:23:22	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe45c87…
08-29 20:02:43	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc4ef3b…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x8cabdb…
08-26 23:49:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc76835…
08-25 15:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x040553…
08-25 15:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe3b62f…
08-25 15:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x9be519…
08-25 15:43:16	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xd780a5…
08-25 15:36:10	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x91c8e0…
08-25 15:13:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xea1314…
08-25 09:11:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xd89d0f…
08-21 21:05:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x7f07ff…
08-21 16:35:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x7208a6…
08-21 16:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xaabad8…
08-20 19:04:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd50945…
08-18 12:30:10	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52a335…
08-17 20:14:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xa1e907…
08-14 03:38:19	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x7cdfae…
08-13 23:37:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe46c1f…
08-13 02:53:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x41ed93…
08-12 20:47:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0e4189…
08-12 20:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x59607f…
08-12 20:36:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x623fa4…
08-12 18:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbc59e7…
08-12 18:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 13?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x449de7…
08-12 13:34:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x0ca728…
08-12 11:56:37	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb0911a…
08-11 19:42:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x3da395…
08-11 05:41:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0xac6c5e…
08-10 20:14:39	will ethereum dip to 1000 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa25909…
08-09 21:26:04	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x7f35b0…
07-31 20:52:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x811f0e…
07-31 15:12:47	will nvda reach 224 in july 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x024143…
07-30 15:24:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x3d05f0…
07-29 22:28:42	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23c0d7…
07-28 04:23:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd64e1e…
07-27 00:37:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6b542…
07-25 23:47:00	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xceecb6…
07-25 21:08:19	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b87e2…
07-25 08:38:31	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x342b89…
07-24 23:01:57	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4a81a3…
07-20 23:24:00	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x029200…
07-17 13:02:42	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc49a56…
06-30 01:55:22	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x90cb78…
06-29 06:18:32	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb6c3b1…
06-28 00:18:41	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x626dbd…
05-22 22:10:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x919048…
05-12 23:30:24	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xa6c8c3…
05-09 07:46:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x363c8e…
05-08 19:51:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xde740c…
05-07 13:00:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf092e3…
05-06 12:24:40	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x94f9d4…
05-06 11:10:04	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4d81f9…
05-06 10:42:08	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b965d…
05-06 09:14:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x919e33…
05-06 05:34:10	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1d904a…
05-05 23:13:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb9fe33…
05-05 21:38:46	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3024fa…
05-05 09:48:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6a8bc…
05-05 08:07:56	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ec559…
05-05 06:27:52	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x02d42e…
04-29 02:27:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe60d32…
04-26 10:20:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2376a9…
04-25 15:13:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12fc99…
04-24 05:59:40	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x775cce…
04-21 23:03:48	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1c2638…
04-20 13:17:20	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb47478…
04-20 02:27:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc9c54…
04-19 04:11:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xad12da…
04-18 22:26:24	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ee92e…
04-18 00:57:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x646729…
04-15 02:51:52	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x61265f…
04-13 23:53:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x79b399…
03-31 10:43:53	tsla above 410 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe7b713…
03-30 05:13:18	will xrp dip to 1 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02b4c3…
03-28 01:01:19	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17fbfc…
03-25 21:42:15	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x133ed5…
03-24 22:11:03	will solana reach 130 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x85a536…
03-23 17:58:27	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee27e0…
03-22 16:29:53	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x09f448…
03-20 15:22:09	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4a376a…
03-20 06:09:05	googl above 260 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82554b…
03-16 23:28:17	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa7b440…
03-16 05:24:27	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9277b2…
03-13 18:24:25	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a7086…
03-12 00:34:27	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc07080…
03-11 00:13:43	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe8300a…
03-09 09:43:09	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x842080…
03-06 15:09:53	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f9e39…