Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

202

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$603

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-29 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

44% 54% -$60

Politics

36% 42% -$125

Sports

10% 73% +$23

Pop-Culture

5% 65% +$7

Crypto

4% 14% -$18

Tech

1% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	-2	-$1	66¢	$-1	$0	10-29 20:10
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	-1	-$1	82¢	$-1	+$0	10-29 20:10
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	-1	-$1	73¢	$-1	+$0	10-29 20:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say good looking during womens history month event	24	$70	103	12	+90	No	-$62	03-12 20:49
will there be 2 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	3	$31	24	24	+0	Yes	+$16	03-23 02:52
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	4	$27	39	2	+36	Yes	+$11	03-25 11:11
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	03-23 17:08
will trump say karoline leavitt during womens history month event	10	$23	90	2	+88	No	-$22	03-12 20:49
will trump say kristi or noem during womens history month event	5	$16	49	2	+47	No	-$13	03-12 20:30
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	2	$12	17	17	+0	No	+$2	03-24 15:02
will jon rothstein tweet this is march 81 times during march madness	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 18:48
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	1	$10	105	0	+105	No	-$10	03-25 23:10
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	1	$10	69	0	+69	No	-$10	03-25 23:10
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	1	$10	101	0	+101	No	-$10	03-25 23:10
will trump say biden during womens history month event	10	$10	14	2	+11	No	-$8	03-12 20:22
zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 60 79	2	$8	17	17	+0	Yes	-$2	03-25 13:48
will trump say where are you during womens history month event	3	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	03-12 21:24
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 17 23	3	$7	43	0	+43	Yes	-$7	03-19 12:57
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$6	12	0	+12	Yes	-$6	03-16 17:18
will trump say nicki or minaj during womens history month event 533	4	$6	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-12 20:36
ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	3	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$1	03-19 21:40
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	2	$5	16	16	+0	No	-$5	03-25 10:41
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	1	$5	57	0	+57	No	-$5	03-25 23:11
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	03-25 23:20
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	03-23 11:35
zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 40 59	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	03-23 19:16
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	2	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$3	03-25 23:21
ted cruz of tweets march 17 march 24 80 99	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	03-12 12:55
will trump say ivf during womens history month event	5	$5	8	7	+1	No	-$3	03-12 20:19
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$1	03-23 13:25
will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	3	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-17 16:43
zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	3	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-25 23:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-16 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:10:25	Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x383eb7…
10-29 20:10:16	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xa02840…
10-29 20:10:09	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfec4fa…
10-29 20:09:58	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7c7dce…
03-25 23:21:05	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x344d75…
03-25 23:20:41	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x873a9e…
03-25 23:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x1285df…
03-25 23:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x9eaac0…
03-25 23:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0xdfef8f…
03-25 23:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xce0f46…
03-25 23:06:09	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xb40e95…
03-25 13:49:29	will arizona advance to the final four	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x08c34b…
03-25 13:48:41	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 60 79	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x6dacea…
03-25 13:47:55	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x9ce464…
03-25 11:11:55	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x5389b7…
03-25 10:41:01	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x9b9d78…
03-25 10:40:43	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc0c909…
03-25 10:40:21	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xc7070d…
03-24 15:03:39	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x927e8e…
03-24 15:03:15	will trump say dark cloud this week march 29	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x1c62b1…
03-24 15:03:07	khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x918454…
03-24 15:02:57	will trump say chuck norris this week march 29	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x1d4d6b…
03-24 15:02:47	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x737551…
03-23 23:26:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 20c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3fccce…
03-23 19:16:57	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa3bfa3…
03-23 19:16:21	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 60 79	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3d211e…
03-23 19:16:17	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xaf7558…
03-23 18:50:01	will ethereum be the top performing crypto for the week of march 23	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x32a702…
03-23 18:48:01	will jon rothstein tweet this is march 81 times during march madness	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xee6a72…
03-23 17:08:03	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x16c24c…
03-23 13:38:27	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 115 139	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa85be2…
03-23 13:38:13	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 180 199	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4df48a…
03-23 13:37:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb9a667…
03-23 13:29:41	khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd030f9…
03-23 13:29:35	khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x97a742…
03-23 13:28:29	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8db28b…
03-23 13:28:07	will aryna sabalenka win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb65bf6…
03-23 13:27:47	will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6cd217…
03-23 13:25:59	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xdd71b1…
03-23 12:40:03	will trump say dark cloud this week march 29	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x75a3a6…
03-23 12:39:29	will trump say six seven this week march 29	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfb2d3b…
03-23 12:39:23	will trump say chuck norris this week march 29	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x98b26a…
03-23 12:39:17	will trump say cookie this week march 29	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6ee683…
03-23 12:39:01	will trump say ethanol this week march 29	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3db01a…
03-23 12:38:03	trump approval up or down this week 394	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x119b47…
03-23 12:34:11	will victoria mboko win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9ff34e…
03-23 12:33:23	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x077d1a…
03-23 12:27:55	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd68800…
03-23 11:35:39	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x880a62…
03-23 11:35:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xda4986…
03-23 11:35:19	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd4d882…
03-23 11:34:59	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x48a937…
03-23 11:34:45	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 0 39	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde8a00…
03-23 11:31:39	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xaef884…
03-23 11:31:27	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x66e9df…
03-23 11:15:45	will jon rothstein tweet this is march 81 times during march madness	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfdac3c…
03-23 02:52:39	will texas tech advance to the sweet sixteen	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3e0b02…
03-23 02:52:19	will there be 2 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x2fafe2…
03-22 20:30:05	will clavicular get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x591a89…
03-22 14:48:53	ncaa tournament 1 seed knocked out before round of 16	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x398cb2…
03-22 13:42:55	will trump post stupid on truth social this week	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x9e2931…
03-22 13:42:41	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week march 22	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xe5eb71…
03-21 19:05:53	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60 and 65	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x52112e…
03-21 17:31:53	will trump post hamas or hezbollah on truth social this week	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x833857…
03-21 17:31:45	will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee4570…
03-20 17:36:53	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt0 and 40pt4 on march 20 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4be8db…
03-20 15:10:45	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf65ad9…
03-20 13:27:15	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa40779…
03-19 22:22:49	will there be 2 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xc5d9eb…
03-19 22:22:41	ted cruz of tweets march 17 march 24 100 119	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7aaa66…
03-19 22:22:25	will trump post oscar or oscars on truth social this week	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1dcd7d…
03-19 22:20:53	will there be 1 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3ba00d…
03-19 22:20:41	will there be 2 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x89c525…
03-19 21:40:45	ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x2beec0…
03-19 21:39:49	will wisconsin advance to the sweet sixteen	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf543c0…
03-19 19:09:57	will london have between 40 50mm of precipitation in march	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3e2b17…
03-19 17:57:45	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe957c1…
03-19 17:50:53	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9fe3b9…
03-19 17:48:03	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x82e963…
03-19 13:17:31	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x2f2944…
03-19 12:57:43	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x715418…
03-18 19:11:43	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xe682ff…
03-18 19:10:59	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x34d5bf…
03-18 19:10:37	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa51cbc…
03-18 19:10:31	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x00cd4c…
03-18 15:29:13	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x48f257…
03-18 12:08:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfbf007…
03-17 19:15:31	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 215 239	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x80aeb8…
03-17 19:12:59	ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2692c5…
03-17 19:11:35	will trump say friend of mine during taoiseach events	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x61c865…
03-17 17:38:05	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa0289a…
03-17 16:44:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x987d5a…
03-17 16:44:33	will trump say peace in the middle east during taoiseach events	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x24b861…
03-17 16:44:19	will trump say ballroom or arch during taoiseach events	No	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x5b8f43…
03-17 16:43:57	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x76d625…
03-17 15:18:59	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,650 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd4d569…
03-17 15:18:25	Will the Rolex Index hit $12,650 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x408068…
03-17 15:17:23	Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe27e33…
03-17 13:15:23	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xced44f…
03-17 13:15:17	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe18333…