Moral-Garden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$256

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 09-08 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 0% -$69

Other

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$18.3K	9,191	9,191	+0	No	+$0	03-22 23:32
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	42	$65	7,933	0	+7,933	Up	-$65	03-22 12:54
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-06 00:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-06 23:52
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	13	$3	1,668	0	+1,668	Down	-$3	03-22 08:59
Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-11 00:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-23 00:38
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-06 23:54
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-02 23:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-06 00:37
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-23 00:27
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-08 02:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-03 04:12
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-02 23:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-06 01:52
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 9c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-07 00:01
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-02 23:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on May 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:14:49	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee7a54…
08-03 04:12:53	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x38abe1…
07-11 00:33:35	Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6222b…
06-02 23:32:18	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x128b5d…
06-02 23:32:03	Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5434d7…
06-02 23:31:49	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x915b11…
05-06 00:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x582483…
05-06 00:37:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xad9239…
05-06 00:36:38	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc7920c…
04-07 00:01:51	highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c8a70…
04-06 23:54:05	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x162fe4…
04-06 23:52:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x14f6d4…
03-23 00:38:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x787f02…
03-23 00:27:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4f17d6…
03-22 23:32:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	9,191	100¢	$9,173	0x82ee2f…
03-22 14:37:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	9,191	100¢	$9,173	0x595812…
03-22 12:54:55	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xa2fa51…
03-22 12:54:47	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8e30b1…
03-22 12:54:41	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x30ee9e…
03-22 12:54:39	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x723cf2…
03-22 12:54:39	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	270	0¢	$0	0x079d66…
03-22 12:54:33	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	369	0¢	$0	0xf99cc5…
03-22 12:53:27	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xb70351…
03-22 12:53:27	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	445	0¢	$1	0x83746f…
03-22 12:51:07	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	349	0¢	$1	0xde9af0…
03-22 12:50:53	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0xbe2abb…
03-22 12:48:29	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	330	0¢	$1	0xc0bdf9…
03-22 12:48:09	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	335	0¢	$1	0xef2dc2…
03-22 12:47:31	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa4b9a0…
03-22 12:47:09	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0xd5b409…
03-22 12:47:07	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0xa40e54…
03-22 12:46:47	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	700	0¢	$4	0xadc9d5…
03-22 12:46:37	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xd0a7f7…
03-22 12:46:33	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	409	1¢	$3	0x831e4c…
03-22 12:45:47	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x2ef2e5…
03-22 12:45:35	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x667dd4…
03-22 12:45:23	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	460	1¢	$4	0x4521ba…
03-22 12:45:17	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x1b95e6…
03-22 12:45:15	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x549e00…
03-22 12:45:13	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x22769c…
03-22 12:45:03	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x7f5101…
03-22 12:44:39	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x1816bc…
03-22 12:44:27	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0xef5740…
03-22 12:44:27	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x1e5cea…
03-22 12:44:19	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x158636…
03-22 12:44:07	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x24c525…
03-22 12:44:05	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x78dd79…
03-22 12:40:27	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0xe2dd11…
03-22 12:40:13	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x00959e…
03-22 12:39:03	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0xd7d457…
03-22 12:38:49	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa18ff2…
03-22 12:36:37	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x91d8f8…
03-22 12:35:03	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	197	2¢	$4	0x4154fe…
03-22 12:35:01	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xfb1d4b…
03-22 12:34:53	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3f4f8d…
03-22 12:34:01	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xc20de2…
03-22 12:19:21	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	172	10¢	$17	0xdc7a97…
03-22 12:19:01	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0xe76880…
03-22 08:59:51	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	329	0¢	$0	0xe3cadf…
03-22 08:59:43	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xffa1af…
03-22 08:59:43	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xb03033…
03-22 08:59:41	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x73577e…
03-22 08:59:41	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2112b4…
03-22 08:59:39	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x870e2b…
03-22 08:59:35	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb1df8b…
03-22 08:59:29	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x409732…
03-22 08:58:53	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x9efece…
03-22 08:56:19	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	599	0¢	$1	0x81070e…
03-22 08:56:03	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x50247e…
03-22 08:55:45	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	496	0¢	$1	0xa18d10…
03-22 08:55:45	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x886e36…
03-06 01:52:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf8c78f…