Assured-Scrutiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-05 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% — —

Other

4% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1773149400	14	$2.5K	1,246	1,245	+1	open	—	03-10 13:41
eth updown 15m 1772945100	8	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	03-08 04:59
btc updown 15m 1773026100	4	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	03-09 03:28
bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	6	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	03-11 03:50
eth updown 15m 1773189000	9	$842	740	137	+603	open	—	03-11 00:41
btc updown 15m 1773114300	8	$800	810	0	+810	open	—	03-10 03:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$760	380	815	-435	open	—	03-10 02:06
btc updown 15m 1773107100	10	$745	760	36	+723	open	—	03-10 01:57
btc updown 5m 1772982300	4	$653	387	384	+3	open	—	03-08 15:08
btc updown 15m 1773134100	7	$610	625	0	+625	open	—	03-10 09:26
eth updown 15m 1773063900	4	$609	357	355	+2	open	—	03-09 13:57
eth updown 15m 1773109800	7	$550	586	72	+515	open	—	03-10 02:42
btc updown 15m 1773150300	4	$515	377	374	+3	open	—	03-10 13:58
btc updown 15m 1772980200	6	$510	522	0	+522	open	—	03-08 14:44
btc updown 15m 1773196200	5	$500	503	0	+503	open	—	03-11 02:43
eth updown 15m 1773041400	6	$489	502	0	+502	open	—	03-09 07:44
eth updown 15m 1773025200	5	$430	455	0	+455	open	—	03-09 03:12
eth updown 15m 1773056700	4	$415	230	209	+20	open	—	03-09 11:57
eth updown 15m 1772967600	5	$410	426	0	+426	open	—	03-08 11:10
eth updown 15m 1773058500	4	$409	224	205	+19	open	—	03-09 12:26
btc updown 15m 1773040500	10	$406	552	112	+440	open	—	03-09 07:28
btc updown 15m 1773109800	4	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	03-10 02:40
eth updown 15m 1773204300	4	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-11 04:58
btc updown 15m 1773101700	4	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	03-10 00:26
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	18	$352	322	400	-78	open	—	03-08 03:16
btc updown 15m 1772933400	4	$330	361	0	+361	open	—	03-08 01:44
btc updown 15m 1772930700	6	$330	344	0	+344	open	—	03-08 00:59
eth updown 15m 1773139500	4	$310	317	0	+317	open	—	03-10 10:55
eth updown 15m 1773132300	3	$300	302	0	+302	open	—	03-10 08:55
bitcoin up or down march 10 10am et	3	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	03-10 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:18:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd40461…
05-19 08:45:03	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2284ad…
04-21 02:40:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd638c4…
04-18 08:31:28	will big mistakes season 1 be the top global netflix show this week 151	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52ec9b…
04-11 08:42:43	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8c9505…
04-10 06:47:23	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xeb61d4…
04-03 02:10:45	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xfe530c…
04-01 06:09:13	btc updown 15m 1775023200	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8546ca…
03-30 02:21:36	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x671baf…
03-26 12:23:37	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x43bc08…
03-26 12:23:09	will xai have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7fa597…
03-20 08:10:07	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x867a81…
03-20 08:09:45	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xa8497f…
03-19 00:37:47	will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be less than 16pt5m	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58bdbc…
03-19 00:37:33	will nvda close between 155 and 160 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x643e0d…
03-19 00:36:27	eth updown 15m 1773881100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x272dbf…
03-19 00:36:19	eth updown 15m 1773880200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x477f19…
03-17 07:40:57	highest temperature in madrid on march 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x747d7c…
03-17 07:40:21	highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 5c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10bdf1…
03-17 07:40:09	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 0 39	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x04b04e…
03-17 07:39:33	btc updown 15m 1773732600	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x39162c…
03-17 07:39:19	btc updown 15m 1773732600	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x693877…
03-11 09:59:37	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x44b49f…
03-11 09:25:35	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3fa908…
03-11 08:53:21	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa934bd…
03-11 08:38:53	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf87105…
03-11 08:04:19	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xfe7b4b…
03-11 08:04:13	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x3f79ab…
03-11 08:04:13	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x133189…
03-11 07:58:51	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe9847b…
03-11 06:40:49	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0x29cf18…
03-11 06:39:59	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xa41bcc…
03-11 06:35:35	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0xbe0988…
03-11 06:34:15	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0xf41ec8…
03-11 06:34:01	eth updown 5m 1773210600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x117faf…
03-11 06:33:53	eth updown 5m 1773210600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa17156…
03-11 06:29:21	eth updown 15m 1773209700	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e46a8…
03-11 06:29:09	eth updown 15m 1773209700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa9681a…
03-11 06:28:57	eth updown 15m 1773209700	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x70bf7f…
03-11 06:28:15	eth updown 15m 1773209700	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbbc4c4…
03-11 06:27:59	eth updown 15m 1773209700	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3f2857…
03-11 06:27:41	eth updown 15m 1773209700	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5944ee…
03-11 06:13:07	eth updown 15m 1773208800	Up	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x3a632f…
03-11 06:05:35	eth updown 15m 1773208800	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x8e55a6…
03-11 05:12:43	eth updown 15m 1773205200	Down	SELL	179	93¢	$167	0xc46ce0…
03-11 05:02:21	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0xcee3f2…
03-11 05:00:41	btc updown 15m 1773205200	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb991af…
03-11 04:58:51	btc updown 15m 1773205200	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf70c25…
03-11 04:58:23	eth updown 15m 1773204300	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x756ef9…
03-11 04:58:17	eth updown 15m 1773204300	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x149140…
03-11 04:58:09	eth updown 15m 1773204300	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7fa66…
03-11 04:57:57	eth updown 15m 1773205200	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xad0d49…
03-11 04:57:47	eth updown 15m 1773204300	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8784f7…
03-11 04:55:47	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$29	0x0528db…
03-11 03:50:19	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	SELL	505	99¢	$501	0x34052b…
03-11 03:49:13	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x40e368…
03-11 03:49:05	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa426d2…
03-11 03:48:59	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x067c31…
03-11 03:48:53	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xca1c7a…
03-11 03:48:47	bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa5a161…
03-11 03:12:39	eth updown 15m 1773198000	Down	SELL	139	97¢	$135	0x8d2a95…
03-11 03:10:09	eth updown 15m 1773198000	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xcd1eb5…
03-11 03:02:27	eth updown 15m 1773198000	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x326009…
03-11 02:51:37	eth updown 15m 1773197100	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x614818…
03-11 02:51:25	eth updown 15m 1773197100	Down	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x0225ac…
03-11 02:51:13	btc updown 15m 1773197100	Down	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xf94560…
03-11 02:50:23	eth updown 15m 1773197100	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x2d8a0e…
03-11 02:45:39	eth updown 15m 1773197100	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7c4b26…
03-11 02:45:27	btc updown 15m 1773197100	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x37a370…
03-11 02:43:57	btc updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xcba0da…
03-11 02:43:49	btc updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x60c2bf…
03-11 02:43:41	btc updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x683624…
03-11 02:43:33	btc updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xd36f69…
03-11 02:43:23	btc updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x288b7f…
03-11 02:39:19	btc updown 15m 1773197100	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbab473…
03-11 02:38:59	eth updown 15m 1773197100	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x79d8c1…
03-11 02:37:43	eth updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xef7ab4…
03-11 02:37:03	eth updown 15m 1773196200	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x992e93…
03-11 02:28:15	eth updown 15m 1773195300	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x58a94d…
03-11 02:26:49	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xe519b5…
03-11 02:26:41	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	150	36¢	$54	0x719d6c…
03-11 02:25:37	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xa8f0e1…
03-11 02:11:23	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x687368…
03-11 02:05:07	eth updown 5m 1773194400	Up	BUY	8,396	1¢	$100	0x2ea3cb…
03-11 01:58:25	eth updown 5m 1773194400	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x887b71…
03-11 01:51:51	eth updown 15m 1773193500	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x1bca8c…
03-11 01:14:43	eth updown 15m 1773191700	Down	BUY	114	53¢	$60	0x0ac8bb…
03-11 01:06:25	eth updown 15m 1773190800	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2ed33b…
03-11 01:04:15	eth updown 15m 1773190800	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x52780c…
03-11 00:56:45	eth updown 15m 1773190800	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x077ffb…
03-11 00:56:19	eth updown 15m 1773189900	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x3be335…
03-11 00:54:55	eth updown 15m 1773189900	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbb95d6…
03-11 00:54:49	eth updown 15m 1773189900	Up	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x148943…
03-11 00:41:33	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaeaf6a…
03-11 00:41:21	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x74c4d1…
03-11 00:41:15	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x343d0c…
03-11 00:41:07	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb0d227…
03-11 00:41:01	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd2413e…
03-11 00:40:53	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x78afdd…
03-11 00:38:41	eth updown 15m 1773189000	Down	SELL	137	96¢	$132	0xaa6548…