Important-Lemon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$850

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$5.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$81

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

89% 30% -$830

Other

6% 0% -$16

Crypto

5% 95% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes		+330	$89	24¢	$81	-$8	10-29 16:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	23	$801	2,356	2,356	+0	Yes	+$530	10-13 19:44
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	2	$609	855	855	+0	No	-$605	10-25 23:49
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	1	$500	601	0	+601	Yes	+$101	09-11 12:38
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	1	$500	677	0	+677	Yes	+$177	09-28 16:40
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	1	$449	573	0	+573	No	-$449	09-28 16:41
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$358	797	797	+0	No	-$122	04-27 05:26
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	1	$338	415	0	+415	Yes	+$76	09-11 12:38
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	1	$300	643	0	+643	No	-$300	10-13 19:46
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$290	18,835	18,835	+0	No	-$150	09-17 13:37
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	2	$256	147	147	+0	Yes	+$36	10-05 12:21
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	2	$200	2,664	0	+2,664	open	—	10-06 00:02
French election called by December 31, 2026?	2	$154	1,217	1,217	+0	open	—	10-20 16:14
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	4	$113	959	959	+0	No	-$57	09-25 03:16
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	4	$111	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	09-15 19:06
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	3	$98	122	122	+0	No	-$2	08-26 21:07
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$94	189	189	+0	No	-$14	01-19 02:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$89	330	0	+330	open	—	10-29 16:33
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	1	$66	139	0	+139	Yes	+$73	09-15 02:34
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$56	710	710	+0	No	-$23	01-24 03:27
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	1	$50	203	0	+203	No	-$50	09-15 02:19
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	2	$30	98	98	+0	No	-$30	10-25 23:11
Will Lahesio Bonfim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	2	$25	57	57	+0	Yes	-$5	09-25 03:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-26 04:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-26 18:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	05-25 02:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-21 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-22 20:08
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	2	$18	113	113	+0	No	-$2	08-28 12:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-18 03:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:33:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	330	27¢	$89	0x40a962…
10-25 23:49:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	855	0¢	$2	0xf1cd4a…
10-25 23:11:48	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x394df6…
10-22 18:43:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	855	71¢	$607	0x6b8058…
10-20 16:14:36	French election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,217	4¢	$54	0x195789…
10-13 19:46:39	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	643	47¢	$300	0xb5034b…
10-13 19:45:01	French election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,217	8¢	$100	0x1d8e70…
10-13 19:44:15	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	613	98¢	$601	0xe3674f…
10-06 00:02:49	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	522	10¢	$50	0xa07ee1…
10-05 23:51:52	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,143	7¢	$150	0x68ae09…
10-05 12:21:17	Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0xf39367…
10-04 22:36:01	Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$0	0x201a19…
09-28 16:41:00	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	573	78¢	$449	0x4651d4…
09-28 16:40:41	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	677	74¢	$500	0x90fb80…
09-25 03:16:42	Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0xd9afa3…
09-25 03:16:06	Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	335	1¢	$3	0x765cd4…
09-25 03:15:53	Will Lahesio Bonfim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	SELL	57	18¢	$10	0x6ba1d9…
09-20 15:46:45	Will Lahesio Bonfim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x2b3e29…
09-17 13:37:45	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16,000	0¢	$16	0x099b20…
09-15 19:12:49	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x352b49…
09-15 19:06:57	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0xb8ce60…
09-15 02:34:54	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	139	48¢	$66	0x733603…
09-15 02:20:28	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	98	30¢	$30	0xc49c19…
09-15 02:20:00	Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	335	15¢	$50	0xc26cbc…
09-15 02:19:36	Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	203	25¢	$50	0x5b93b4…
09-15 02:12:12	Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	BUY	147	75¢	$110	0xb2cad4…
09-11 12:38:57	Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	BUY	415	82¢	$338	0x3da5ef…
09-11 12:38:13	Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	BUY	601	83¢	$500	0xaab7ea…
09-04 20:58:33	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	20¢	$19	0x750704…
09-02 22:51:24	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	591	6¢	$35	0xa7bffb…
09-02 22:48:40	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,240	3¢	$38	0x060bb5…
09-01 16:56:16	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,240	4¢	$50	0x666fbb…
09-01 16:52:30	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,835	2¢	$54	0xb37265…
08-30 21:27:22	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	540	2¢	$10	0x4803d7…
08-30 00:42:15	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,237	2¢	$31	0x614f4a…
08-30 00:39:43	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,108	2¢	$28	0xde1ba1…
08-28 12:54:25	Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0x59cf35…
08-28 01:06:42	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	1,742	4¢	$64	0x79f4a8…
08-27 21:16:49	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	339	4¢	$13	0xa9cc55…
08-27 21:14:48	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	330	4¢	$12	0x07b208…
08-27 18:41:13	Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	625	4¢	$25	0x848ad7…
08-27 03:20:51	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,082	2¢	$82	0x343efa…
08-26 21:08:16	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,200	0¢	$45	0xa04846…
08-26 21:07:22	Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	SELL	102	39¢	$40	0x4787f8…
08-26 21:05:24	Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x7fff16…
08-26 00:56:30	Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	625	6¢	$35	0x902f74…
08-25 23:35:21	Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x0dc149…
08-25 23:34:01	Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0x454c94…
08-24 04:38:48	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xfb77c8…
08-24 04:38:48	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$3	0xb61cfb…
08-24 04:38:48	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$9	0x850928…
08-24 04:38:16	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	78	7¢	$5	0xceaee4…
08-24 04:38:16	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x45c5d2…
08-24 04:37:25	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x370627…
08-24 04:36:42	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	115	6¢	$7	0x30f431…
08-24 04:36:42	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x14a15c…
08-24 04:35:34	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xf4fb62…
08-24 04:34:55	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xd6d76c…
08-24 04:33:48	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xf893c9…
08-24 04:33:48	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x198ac9…
08-24 03:49:48	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x8679e0…
08-24 03:47:07	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x00c55c…
08-24 03:46:57	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0x6ad240…
08-24 03:43:22	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2bdda0…
08-24 03:43:01	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xdfd90d…
08-24 03:42:58	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc490c8…
08-24 03:42:57	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	902	5¢	$45	0x472f1e…
05-26 19:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xd2dbdb…
05-26 18:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x14048a…
05-26 04:10:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdfa577…
05-26 04:09:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4fddb4…
05-25 02:04:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x8986a3…
05-25 02:03:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x14aa28…
05-22 20:09:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x9b2f52…
05-22 20:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd1bd20…
05-21 14:53:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5e4ef4…
05-21 14:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd88042…
05-20 05:11:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe0142a…
05-20 05:07:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5cebab…
05-19 03:07:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xa5b5ab…
05-19 03:06:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xadaa8e…
05-18 03:19:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x67f290…
05-18 03:15:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x578695…
05-15 16:16:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xa651e0…
05-15 16:15:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcd8f72…
05-14 13:43:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1f9bfe…
05-14 13:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x139ac3…
05-13 16:21:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5b2728…
05-13 16:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0d6bb0…
05-12 14:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x02259a…
05-12 14:48:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe52e42…
05-11 03:47:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x09af04…
05-11 03:47:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa36039…
05-09 05:09:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x31eef5…
05-07 15:50:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x20ce6e…
05-07 15:50:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x99013d…
05-07 05:35:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1bc974…
05-07 05:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9901db…
05-06 02:21:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xafda11…
05-04 04:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5d3d47…