Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,003

lifetime

Volume

$321.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$321

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 10-08 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

78% 29% -$34,184

Other

18% 44% -$4,143

Crypto

3% 67% +$254

Sports

1% 100% +$176

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	50	$48.8K	33,696	33,695	+0	Yes	+$503	08-03 11:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	170	$48.1K	60,985	7,633	+53,352	No	+$17,179	07-29 22:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	93	$33.7K	90,049	90,049	+0	Yes	-$8,285	08-02 01:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	114	$30.9K	91,586	91,586	+0	Yes	-$27,469	08-02 08:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	9	$29.7K	21,597	8,314	+13,283	Yes	+$195	07-25 21:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	44	$16.1K	58,526	58,526	+0	Yes	-$3,542	09-30 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	33	$12.7K	9,227	9,227	+0	Yes	+$4,370	07-21 16:02
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	11	$8.5K	4,480	4,480	+0	Yes	+$145	08-02 16:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	25	$6.3K	6,524	6,524	+0	Yes	-$1,021	09-10 22:49
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	6	$5.7K	3,279	3,279	+0	No	+$325	07-28 23:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	16	$4.9K	28,124	28,124	+0	Yes	-$1,891	08-01 16:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	17	$4.2K	10,033	10,033	+0	Yes	-$1,400	08-02 08:25
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$4.1K	2,401	2,401	+0	No	-$69	07-25 19:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	7	$3.6K	10,037	10,037	-0	Yes	-$399	10-04 18:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$3.3K	7,653	7,653	+0	Yes	-$1,359	10-04 23:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	28	$3.3K	1,689	1,689	+0	No	+$90	07-28 23:02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	10	$3.2K	3,620	3,620	+0	Yes	-$319	09-10 23:26
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	13	$3.0K	1,659	1,659	+0	No	-$39	07-25 19:59
will marco rubio say trump 3 times during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534165	8	$2.9K	1,859	1,859	+0	Yes	-$130	08-01 21:35
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	38	$2.9K	24,507	11,570	+12,937	Yes	-$2,832	09-06 23:16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	3	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-25 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	11	$2.4K	1,513	1,513	+0	Down	+$559	10-04 23:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	10	$2.2K	3,141	321	+2,820	Yes	-$1,861	07-21 11:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	17	$2.1K	1,537	1,537	+0	No	-$184	07-21 12:18
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	5	$1.9K	984	984	+0	No	+$20	07-25 19:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$1.7K	1,462	1,462	+0	Yes	+$151	08-01 01:15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?	11	$1.7K	1,940	0	+1,940	No	+$252	07-24 21:40
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	11	$1.7K	1,068	1,068	-0	No	+$176	07-22 07:09
will marco rubio say israel or israeli during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534171	8	$1.6K	1,813	0	+1,813	No	-$1,639	07-31 20:40
will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	14	$1.6K	1,218	1,218	+0	Yes	-$338	08-01 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 16:25:15	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	565	10¢	$56	0x7adea0…
10-08 16:24:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	61	91¢	$55	0x13b52f…
10-05 10:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39,578	0¢	$40	0x1a7ad7…
10-05 10:29:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 10 2026	No	SELL	80	53¢	$42	0xab28d3…
10-05 06:34:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	34¢	$106	0x4d1ae8…
10-05 01:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	26¢	$34	0x454e31…
10-05 01:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	591	26¢	$152	0x93b610…
10-05 01:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	25¢	$144	0x1363b8…
10-05 00:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	768	48¢	$366	0xa9d06c…
10-05 00:25:07	israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x140c37…
10-05 00:20:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0x99d8cf…
10-05 00:20:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	46	58¢	$26	0x7bd1d9…
10-05 00:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	522	45¢	$235	0xc42880…
10-04 23:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	524	41¢	$215	0x785d56…
10-04 23:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf4495…
10-04 23:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1,512	99¢	$1,497	0x7fa78f…
10-04 23:30:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	590	56¢	$333	0xca64ab…
10-04 23:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	84	69¢	$58	0x3aa7c1…
10-04 23:30:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	471	70¢	$332	0xb97929…
10-04 23:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb03d29…
10-04 23:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x23fc6d…
10-04 23:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	195	61¢	$119	0xf1d2f7…
10-04 23:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xf45d53…
10-04 23:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x8799b7…
10-04 23:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x2f2a07…
10-04 23:24:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,653	13¢	$995	0x56f55b…
10-04 21:14:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	589	20¢	$118	0x52bbb0…
10-04 21:13:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x62a70d…
10-04 21:13:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,123	20¢	$225	0x140a57…
10-04 20:39:31	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	577	27¢	$156	0x1b03c2…
10-04 20:39:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x2a9d75…
10-04 20:39:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	819	27¢	$221	0x55f3f3…
10-04 18:32:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x6214a8…
10-04 18:31:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,210	37¢	$1,558	0x2230c1…
10-04 18:30:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	10,037	16¢	$1,606	0x4e6491…
10-01 12:32:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	699	19¢	$133	0x4d5e1b…
10-01 12:31:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	695	19¢	$132	0x0664dd…
09-30 20:31:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	130	22¢	$29	0x3f4155…
09-30 20:31:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	14,591	0¢	$29	0x88f7bb…
09-30 18:07:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,020	22¢	$224	0xa40415…
09-30 18:06:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,262	21¢	$265	0x69ed8c…
09-30 18:04:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,500	32¢	$480	0xff14ae…
09-30 09:39:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,800	20¢	$760	0xcac6be…
09-30 09:10:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,500	31¢	$465	0x585aa4…
09-30 09:09:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,126	19¢	$594	0xd49a71…
09-30 09:09:15	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	382	17¢	$65	0xefed87…
09-30 09:08:56	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x15cf1d…
09-30 09:08:39	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	289	16¢	$46	0xa63014…
09-15 19:09:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,150	10¢	$115	0x199536…
09-15 19:08:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,416	9¢	$127	0xfa0961…
09-12 20:43:15	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xb4b446…
09-12 20:42:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	2,000	11¢	$214	0x7bb80f…
09-10 23:29:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	122	19¢	$23	0xf72161…
09-10 23:27:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	5,314	18¢	$956	0xb5e384…
09-10 23:27:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,632	17¢	$448	0xb0b828…
09-10 23:26:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	SELL	3,576	40¢	$1,426	0x0c1757…
09-10 22:51:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	350	17¢	$59	0x2fb97e…
09-10 22:50:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	SELL	44	54¢	$24	0x93090f…
09-10 22:50:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x34b7fe…
09-10 22:50:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	547	45¢	$246	0x8c7093…
09-10 22:50:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	295	44¢	$130	0x20cf90…
09-10 22:49:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	1,045	42¢	$436	0x017485…
09-10 22:48:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,500	17¢	$255	0xfc3e5c…
09-10 22:47:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	970	16¢	$155	0x4b3c62…
09-10 22:47:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	1,004	41¢	$411	0xc372a5…
09-10 22:44:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x622604…
09-10 21:19:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	910	52¢	$477	0x8d5f07…
09-10 21:18:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2,050	47¢	$962	0xec9c37…
09-10 21:18:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbb9a50…
09-10 21:18:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	288	50¢	$143	0xfe95e2…
09-10 21:18:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	276	48¢	$132	0x4bd27c…
09-10 21:18:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	11,406	15¢	$1,711	0x6b2ed6…
09-10 21:17:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	1,250	49¢	$611	0x502c35…
09-10 21:16:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	3,918	16¢	$627	0x352af8…
09-10 08:57:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	650	15¢	$98	0xdca354…
09-10 08:57:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	9,000	15¢	$1,350	0x0dd103…
09-10 08:57:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,611	14¢	$366	0x00ad66…
09-09 23:23:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	1,554	37¢	$575	0x22d7c8…
09-09 23:23:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	97	42¢	$41	0xb578a9…
09-09 23:23:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x9fa0ea…
09-09 23:23:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x9c8c1a…
09-09 23:23:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x862194…
09-09 23:23:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x65ff56…
09-09 23:23:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x25eb99…
09-09 23:23:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x808938…
09-09 23:23:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x47210d…
09-09 23:23:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	154	42¢	$64	0x0c04fe…
09-09 23:22:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	942	42¢	$393	0xd1be55…
09-09 23:18:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	700	44¢	$308	0x18e46f…
09-09 23:18:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x9fdf47…
09-09 21:23:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	724	58¢	$420	0x979c1f…
09-09 21:23:10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	257	57¢	$147	0x659ba3…
09-09 21:23:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	137	57¢	$78	0x139bd3…
09-09 21:22:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	4,826	13¢	$637	0xa67b08…
09-09 21:21:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xee7f87…
09-09 21:21:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbdde26…
09-09 21:21:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	121	65¢	$79	0x116dfb…
09-09 21:20:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xdef522…
09-09 21:20:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x6e12e7…
09-09 21:19:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3,000	62¢	$1,846	0x6b52f5…