Fancy-Sonar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved (90d)

112

Trades (90d)

129

841 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.24K

$11.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

73% 84% +$2

Crypto

20% 82% +$1

Politics

5% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 33% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 19?	4	$73	36	36	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:52
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$71	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 09:04
spcx above 160 on july 31 2026	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-31 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-28 04:50
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	06-02 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-20 06:01
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 29?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 23?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:51
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-23 22:14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-28 23:25
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	06-26 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 23?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 19?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on July 27?	3	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 26?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-25 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-25 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-22 19:00
will bitcoin reach 72k july 20 26 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on July 28?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 22:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 20?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 19:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 28?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 23:27
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or below on July 24?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 11?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 21?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-21 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	6	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 13:34
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd18740…
10-18 21:19:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ce6b6…
10-16 11:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 16?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6db978…
10-13 02:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x05be39…
10-13 00:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8cd848…
10-12 08:06:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf742ad…
10-12 07:43:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x87fca8…
10-12 07:08:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x854fbe…
10-12 04:37:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa5a719…
10-12 04:26:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc8475a…
10-12 01:41:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x56a909…
10-11 22:00:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x46979a…
10-11 10:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe82b2d…
10-10 08:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x824a76…
10-05 09:24:49	Will "Digger" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa179e2…
10-02 01:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7d9436…
10-01 22:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xee14eb…
10-01 04:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f761e…
09-28 04:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a9e26…
09-27 19:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6fdd42…
09-23 04:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x345762…
09-23 02:55:16	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x497c6c…
09-22 22:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9eb38d…
09-22 17:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 23?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbbe8c8…
09-22 16:26:37	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on September 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7fc0ed…
09-21 23:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7e0567…
09-20 18:14:43	Will Party of Pensioners win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x71aca8…
09-18 01:07:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xba35cf…
09-17 16:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x9d6145…
09-13 03:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf49b99…
09-12 04:50:12	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b6ca1…
09-12 03:49:06	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x403f5a…
09-11 21:33:01	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x83c789…
09-11 03:03:19	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x241057…
09-10 20:18:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x43b5ae…
09-07 15:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x42af21…
09-06 20:55:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa9ddc0…
09-06 06:34:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbddee5…
09-05 06:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc7131b…
09-05 05:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xad9e9a…
09-04 21:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fca55…
09-04 16:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x65a5cc…
09-04 10:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc539c…
09-03 22:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2e1f75…
09-03 16:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6b76b6…
09-03 10:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb23b04…
09-03 01:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x249153…
09-02 18:22:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8250d…
09-02 12:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xcf67ba…
09-02 08:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1d5868…
09-01 12:17:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x638ffd…
09-01 01:38:49	Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7ee155…
08-31 03:47:12	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xcbce8f…
08-31 02:17:34	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68653d…
08-30 19:31:13	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x69d302…
08-30 12:01:18	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd6e814…
08-30 03:51:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x666ac5…
08-29 22:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf1c879…
08-29 08:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff7c8e…
08-28 21:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x580270…
08-28 17:48:04	will bitcoin dip to 72k on august 28 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xee67d6…
08-27 10:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x53cfe9…
08-27 04:58:27	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e97f1…
08-27 00:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe8ee62…
08-26 21:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe3a6ea…
08-26 13:05:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdff7cb…
08-25 14:21:57	bitcoin above 76k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7e6c06…
08-25 09:30:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x90d00c…
08-25 06:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x716f05…
08-24 21:50:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce8a4a…
08-24 15:31:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcd0717…
08-24 10:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc00f28…
08-23 22:46:16	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6334db…
08-23 19:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc9bdb6…
08-14 16:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x84a1ee…
08-14 08:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x14cf4d…
08-13 18:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3b51b7…
08-13 13:48:40	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x224c0b…
08-13 09:27:51	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8ca416…
08-13 07:44:58	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x2593f7…
08-12 22:36:27	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf0af21…
08-12 08:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c53f4…
08-12 02:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1da9c3…
08-11 23:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x69b29c…
08-11 21:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x96e0c7…
08-11 12:16:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf61fa2…
08-10 22:28:31	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf5fce4…
08-10 20:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x619464…
08-10 15:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xba3e50…
08-10 11:14:45	xrp above 1pt3 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6173e3…
08-09 12:50:57	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3d1347…
08-09 09:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe3ec77…
08-09 04:29:00	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xedc44f…
08-09 02:30:21	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x59ea09…
08-08 19:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ef7e6…
08-08 04:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x65995f…
08-08 01:02:55	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1ed53a…
08-07 22:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe2f138…
08-07 17:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x525beb…
08-07 11:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdd4d63…