Quizzical-Advance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

$528

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 09-19 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$20

Other

39% 85% -$63

Tech

14% 100% +$8

Sports

7% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No		+640	$560	82¢	$528	-$32	09-19 01:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	12	$2.6K	1,446	1,446	+0	Yes	+$7	04-15 11:45
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$2.3K	1,174	1,174	+0	No	+$11	03-29 08:28
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.0K	992	992	+0	No	+$20	07-09 21:29
bitcoin above 86k on february 10	2	$1.8K	899	899	+0	No	+$2	02-09 00:29
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	No	+$2	02-14 22:55
bitcoin above 82k on february 11	2	$1.6K	806	806	+0	No	+$1	02-10 00:40
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	6	$1.4K	684	684	+0	No	+$2	05-23 05:52
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?	9	$1.3K	710	710	+0	No	-$21	06-15 13:32
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	6	$1.3K	675	675	+0	No	+$12	06-30 11:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	19	$1.1K	575	575	+0	No	+$13	04-27 14:31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	7	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	08-27 00:43
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$1.1K	551	551	+0	No	+$1	03-16 00:47
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	7	$1.1K	547	547	+0	No	+$4	03-04 09:07
will bnb dip to 300 in february	11	$899	451	451	+0	No	+$1	02-26 23:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$698	592	592	+0	No	-$95	08-30 03:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$593	300	300	+0	No	+$5	09-18 05:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$560	640	0	+640	open	—	09-19 01:02
xrp above 0pt9 on february 19	2	$558	280	280	+0	Yes	+$2	02-18 05:19
xrp above 2 on february 22	2	$548	275	275	+0	No	+$2	02-20 23:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$524	263	263	+0	No	+$0	07-27 00:58
nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	1	$456	457	0	+457	No	+$0	02-27 01:40
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on february 20	2	$328	165	165	+0	No	+$1	02-19 18:01
xrp above 0pt9 on february 18	1	$292	294	0	+294	Yes	+$2	02-15 15:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$216	109	109	+0	No	+$1	04-25 17:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$197	103	103	+0	Yes	+$8	03-16 00:47
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$1	02-11 22:10
will bnb dip to 400 in february	2	$170	86	86	+0	No	+$2	02-27 01:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$151	77	77	+0	No	+$1	06-23 15:46
will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of march 2026	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	03-26 12:42
xrp above 1 on february 16	3	$137	69	69	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 01:02:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	339	88¢	$299	0xf5947c…
09-18 05:40:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x68d179…
08-30 03:15:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x2682de…
08-30 03:14:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	592	51¢	$302	0xb3e0d4…
08-27 00:44:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	592	67¢	$397	0x7b4192…
08-27 00:43:48	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	92	41¢	$38	0x7a3750…
08-27 00:43:06	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0x09f5f8…
08-27 00:42:46	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x17dbe8…
08-27 00:42:45	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x91e3a8…
08-27 00:42:43	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	318	41¢	$130	0xf3d774…
08-25 13:40:39	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x1c1ec7…
08-25 13:40:24	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	326	63¢	$204	0x0cab9a…
07-27 00:59:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x957ae9…
07-27 00:58:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xe45c49…
07-10 00:36:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x835b97…
07-09 23:46:41	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	800	87¢	$700	0x17ca39…
07-09 23:46:19	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xfabff8…
07-09 21:29:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x9433b0…
07-09 21:29:58	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$797	0x1e804f…
07-02 03:29:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	992	98¢	$968	0xe3358c…
06-30 11:48:58	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x4b8fdf…
06-30 00:28:28	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	586	100¢	$585	0xa3250c…
06-28 10:25:13	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x07fb69…
06-26 11:22:08	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x485303…
06-23 15:46:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$76	0xba0072…
06-16 02:14:33	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	586	98¢	$574	0x49517c…
06-15 13:32:18	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	251	93¢	$234	0x5abd01…
06-15 09:10:00	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x52d26c…
06-15 08:43:31	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x5cf316…
06-15 08:11:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x143386…
06-15 01:13:21	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x513592…
06-12 13:41:24	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	94	93¢	$87	0x0dbe91…
06-10 12:13:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xcad3f5…
06-09 10:14:30	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	80	93¢	$74	0x05f4f7…
06-09 08:41:33	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa11ca5…
06-09 05:06:25	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x6336a2…
05-30 14:50:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?	No	BUY	710	96¢	$682	0x7b25e1…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	513	100¢	$512	0xe4b6fe…
05-21 11:48:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf375b8…
05-21 11:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$53	0xa103a4…
05-21 11:48:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x935eca…
05-21 11:48:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x46df53…
05-05 02:16:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	684	100¢	$681	0xd87926…
04-27 14:31:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	575	100¢	$574	0x8f15b3…
04-25 17:41:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0xec2565…
04-18 16:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x8528a5…
04-17 09:29:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7d5c7e…
04-17 09:17:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xab673b…
04-17 09:12:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xc280d3…
04-17 09:10:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb1fcec…
04-17 09:05:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x904c93…
04-17 09:04:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x464990…
04-17 08:54:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x3d14ba…
04-17 08:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x8f5e26…
04-17 08:37:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x69dc89…
04-17 08:36:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9855eb…
04-17 08:30:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0xcd8c9a…
04-17 08:23:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3255bc…
04-17 08:23:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x769c0c…
04-17 07:54:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x1345db…
04-17 07:42:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xaf2c8e…
04-17 07:40:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fc0f7…
04-17 07:31:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x592e72…
04-17 07:31:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1f4af0…
04-15 11:45:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	719	93¢	$669	0xa64cea…
04-14 02:28:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	719	91¢	$654	0x44fe40…
04-11 09:24:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	403	90¢	$363	0xe4f380…
04-11 09:15:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	90¢	$201	0x985d88…
04-11 08:15:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x133afd…
04-11 07:48:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x6a2f42…
04-11 07:40:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe10d00…
04-11 07:25:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xac24cc…
04-11 07:20:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0f85b6…
04-11 07:16:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb16cab…
04-11 07:12:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0x7181d6…
04-06 13:09:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	727	91¢	$661	0x21257c…
03-29 08:28:24	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	513	100¢	$512	0xb8e444…
03-26 12:42:13	will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xb571e2…
03-26 12:41:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	513	100¢	$512	0x379a7a…
03-25 19:18:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	662	100¢	$660	0xb27528…
03-16 00:47:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	662	98¢	$650	0x91e131…
03-16 00:47:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0xfaac76…
03-16 00:47:21	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	551	99¢	$547	0x671a4e…
03-04 15:21:21	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	551	99¢	$546	0x5d9e02…
03-04 09:07:07	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0x5224c0…
03-04 09:01:49	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x78b628…
03-04 09:01:43	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xc6996c…
03-04 08:49:27	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x5b260f…
03-04 08:45:43	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x11ebe7…
03-04 08:42:15	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc903ea…
02-28 02:38:33	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	547	99¢	$542	0x66d2f4…
02-27 01:46:54	will bnb dip to 400 in february	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x2e9198…
02-27 01:40:04	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	457	100¢	$456	0x65724f…
02-26 23:19:36	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x297945…
02-26 22:26:48	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x097d35…
02-26 21:40:36	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xcd1171…
02-26 19:19:58	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xaf208c…
02-26 18:28:20	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x27fd3f…
02-26 15:06:14	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbf271c…
02-26 14:55:50	will bnb dip to 300 in february	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x79952b…