Substantial-Judo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,540

lifetime

Volume

$7.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 02:49
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 12:12
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-14 15:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 16:23
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 09:47
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-13 15:28
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 08:55
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
nor vif vik 2026 04 06 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-06 14:51
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 04:10
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 15:07
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 02:54
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 22:03
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36e2d5…
06-09 14:20:34	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a6b4d…
06-09 00:21:18	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc8fff…
06-08 23:26:34	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x726b2d…
06-08 21:37:07	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a0b2e…
06-08 20:19:42	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x646388…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x669e74…
06-07 22:05:31	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x640fa6…
06-07 22:01:58	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8013f4…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e2b7d…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ba362…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41cae4…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac1092…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf656fa…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd492f4…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87a999…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc45375…
06-05 16:59:43	will xauusd dip to 4350 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8cc1a…
06-05 01:24:01	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c076d…
06-03 16:36:00	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f2df0…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x819050…
06-03 04:48:48	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b90f0…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x704913…
06-02 15:24:58	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e235b…
06-02 14:02:11	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae68a1…
06-01 18:15:04	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7aa40…
05-31 19:09:29	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81de26…
05-31 15:17:50	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2902a4…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x215e8a…
05-31 05:00:14	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1878c4…
05-30 22:09:43	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56e2b7…
05-30 15:51:43	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8adfc…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5a598…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d0e4e…
05-30 04:48:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a7ae3…
05-29 21:58:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8505…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17c622…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30d18d…
05-29 17:27:46	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x418712…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7392b…
05-29 08:03:29	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd24463…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf55690…
05-28 16:30:35	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd023aa…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x617812…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x214de3…
05-27 17:43:14	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9037e8…
05-27 02:29:02	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f5791…
05-26 21:29:21	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad8c93…
05-26 20:01:32	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa56a15…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c9bf6…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3ca12…
05-26 09:03:08	Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d1e6e…
05-25 18:11:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1bce63…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56a9ee…
05-25 04:48:31	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9a209…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15f44f…
05-24 22:02:01	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06117b…
05-24 20:49:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfad4…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f6f39…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c5b33…
05-24 17:22:34	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c6d57…
05-24 15:57:40	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd818ec…
05-24 15:29:56	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22480d…
05-24 13:19:18	Set Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Dzumhur (+2.5)	Dzumhur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x208b09…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c65b0…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa78b2e…
05-23 14:22:17	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c7146…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5ae8c…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x886214…
05-22 17:36:18	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc47241…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55c044…
05-22 04:09:40	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2c83c…
05-21 20:07:50	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc12af0…
05-21 14:25:01	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2021f3…
05-21 03:08:38	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57741d…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x743e16…
05-20 21:22:36	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbecb17…
05-20 21:17:34	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97bbf6…
05-20 19:13:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dfef0…
05-20 16:05:09	ITF Bol: Chiara Jerolimov vs Vittoria Paganetti	Vittoria Paganetti	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2876b…
05-20 11:43:39	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19758c…
05-20 09:47:41	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff1ba4…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9afa2…
05-19 23:13:46	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbb1b4…
05-19 20:50:08	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8da410…
05-19 20:02:49	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09e013…
05-19 14:13:31	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x174a04…
05-19 13:46:20	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Armine Yesaian	Armine Yesaian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x965782…
05-19 13:12:27	KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe17ade…
05-19 12:21:24	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	Ilya Ivashka	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x055522…
05-19 04:17:19	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf83fde…
05-18 23:15:15	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9e28d…
05-18 22:39:36	Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ed7e0…
05-18 19:16:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17f7ad…
05-18 18:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1382b…
05-18 17:52:45	Set Handicap: Siniakova (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)	Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe78395…
05-18 14:43:24	Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner	megoshort	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefe9fe…
05-17 23:08:24	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe34c9c…
05-17 23:07:46	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7dada…
05-17 21:37:00	Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2291d6…