Ornate-Incentive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-29 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 97% $-4

Other

8% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin above 79,600 on April 27, 10AM ET?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-27 13:11
bitcoin above 71200 on april 9 2026 12pm et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-09 15:39
ethereum above 2200 on april 8	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-08 15:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	06-01 15:16
Will XRP reach $1.45 on April 26?	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-27 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-29 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-12 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-31 07:25
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-29 15:04
xrp updown 4h 1775203200	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-03 11:52
eth updown 4h 1775649600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-08 15:25
btc updown 4h 1781625600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-16 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-02 19:39
sol updown 4h 1782561600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-27 15:03
bnb updown 4h 1779710400	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-25 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-11 03:01
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on april 12	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-12 15:04
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-04 11:00
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-06 03:00
xrp updown 4h 1775332800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-04 23:45
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-30 23:01
btc updown 4h 1781308800	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	06-13 03:47
btc updown 4h 1781582400	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	06-16 07:02
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-04 11:00
eth updown 4h 1775433600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-06 03:00
sol updown 4h 1775491200	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-06 19:12
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-30 23:01
xrp updown 4h 1781524800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-15 15:04
sol updown 4h 1780891200	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-08 07:07
eth updown 4h 1775995200	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-12 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:13:22	xrp updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1e857…
06-30 13:13:20	sol updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1986c…
06-30 13:13:17	eth updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26f36d…
06-29 15:18:28	solana up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2da63e…
06-29 11:49:47	btc updown 4h 1782720000	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc86528…
06-29 09:57:53	btc updown 15m 1782726300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1e9c49…
06-29 05:09:32	btc updown 5m 1782709500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ee109…
06-29 00:57:47	xrp up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x84ebd0…
06-28 18:12:41	btc updown 15m 1782669600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e3215…
06-28 12:58:22	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec6175…
06-27 23:19:53	sol updown 4h 1782590400	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xb4ebfc…
06-27 21:12:11	btc updown 15m 1782594000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaefb66…
06-27 21:12:08	eth updown 15m 1782594000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54150f…
06-27 21:12:07	sol updown 15m 1782594000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66150e…
06-27 15:10:32	solana up or down on june 27 2026	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2a4f9a…
06-27 15:03:20	sol updown 4h 1782561600	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa195f5…
06-27 06:50:59	xrp up or down june 27 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaa03e0…
06-27 00:28:07	btc updown 15m 1782519300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe527be…
06-26 13:52:37	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x67b77e…
06-26 13:52:34	xrp up or down june 26 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b0c61…
06-26 11:59:08	eth updown 15m 1782474300	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86ebaf…
06-24 05:50:17	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72aa6f…
06-24 05:50:14	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e9e6f…
06-24 00:51:43	solana up or down june 23 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e110a…
06-24 00:51:40	ethereum up or down june 23 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb0c2b8…
06-23 22:59:17	xrp updown 15m 1782254700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe95ee3…
06-17 19:27:41	eth updown 4h 1781712000	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4bdb7d…
06-17 09:57:53	btc updown 15m 1781689500	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0432d7…
06-16 19:59:01	xrp updown 15m 1781639100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4dd56a…
06-16 19:41:04	btc updown 4h 1781625600	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x536711…
06-16 07:02:33	btc updown 4h 1781582400	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x6119a7…
06-15 15:04:24	xrp updown 4h 1781524800	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x29e0ad…
06-13 03:47:31	btc updown 4h 1781308800	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x40345e…
06-13 02:13:55	sol updown 15m 1781316000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9850ff…
06-13 02:13:54	btc updown 15m 1781316000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1ef58…
06-12 23:14:27	eth updown 15m 1781305200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f3887…
06-12 23:14:25	btc updown 15m 1781305200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15b753…
06-11 11:09:10	btc updown 4h 1781164800	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0de671…
06-11 01:43:39	btc updown 15m 1781141400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72f29c…
06-10 16:58:30	sol updown 15m 1781109900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x828b1a…
06-09 19:09:42	xrp updown 4h 1781020800	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xfb68d8…
06-09 11:51:12	xrp up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb5047…
06-09 05:51:04	xrp up or down june 9 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39a699…
06-08 13:14:01	xrp updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf2e0d0…
06-08 07:07:31	sol updown 4h 1780891200	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa5b3b5…
06-02 23:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x70872c…
06-02 19:50:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x57c93a…
06-02 19:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc21bc7…
06-02 11:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x473f6d…
06-02 11:27:48	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xbab196…
06-02 11:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xda3675…
06-01 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x627bed…
06-01 15:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe14949…
05-31 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09cb21…
05-31 07:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa0cfa6…
05-31 07:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5b692b…
05-30 23:01:43	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x244e84…
05-30 23:01:27	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x7ca083…
05-30 23:01:26	BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x18e4e1…
05-30 22:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fc260…
05-30 20:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e3fdf…
05-30 20:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93a3d0…
05-30 15:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xaea890…
05-29 19:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x8b5279…
05-29 19:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3fbc18…
05-29 15:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9addb7…
05-28 11:42:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe3dc76…
05-28 10:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x11712e…
05-28 07:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45db70…
05-27 15:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x669dd3…
05-26 14:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb1424c…
05-26 14:54:23	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36c220…
05-25 19:50:40	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15a53e…
05-25 19:50:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbc14a9…
05-25 19:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x39aea5…
05-25 15:00:31	bnb updown 4h 1779710400	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cdf66…
05-25 15:00:29	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x886776…
05-25 15:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02e053…
05-25 15:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x75f541…
05-14 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdd70a8…
05-14 01:51:03	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0ea36b…
05-13 20:13:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x629caa…
05-13 15:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x195db2…
05-13 04:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4bc77e…
05-12 19:50:38	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6941b4…
05-12 19:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x54aaae…
05-12 15:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x83d8a1…
05-12 13:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e25f4…
05-11 19:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbd8d5b…
05-11 15:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x25c65f…
05-11 03:01:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cb70b…
05-10 21:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f9927…
05-10 17:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15839d…
05-09 22:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a8a44…
05-09 13:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1af47…
05-09 10:27:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5b8c6…
05-08 02:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95e690…
05-07 18:43:35	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07b91d…
05-07 12:51:12	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf4f674…
05-07 12:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x972731…