Obvious-Forum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

2,104

Trades

2,502

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-26 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

75% 39% -$145

Crypto

25% 79% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?	2	$88	83	83	+0	Yes	+$78	05-03 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:35 UTC	9	$12	20	0	+20	Up	+$8	03-27 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:25 UTC	8	$12	23	0	+23	Down	+$11	03-28 03:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:50 UTC	8	$12	23	0	+23	Up	+$11	03-28 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:45 UTC	8	$12	22	0	+22	Up	-$12	03-28 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:50 UTC	8	$11	22	0	+22	Up	-$11	03-28 01:53
highest temperature in tokyo on march 25 2026 12c	7	$10	150	0	+150	No	-$10	03-24 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:25 UTC	6	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	03-28 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:35 UTC	6	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	03-28 03:38
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 28corhigher	5	$10	333	0	+333	No	-$10	03-24 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:50 UTC	6	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$5	03-28 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:40 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Up	-$9	03-28 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:10 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Up	-$9	03-28 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:15 UTC	5	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	03-28 01:18
highest temperature in hong kong on march 27 2026 26c	2	$9	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	03-28 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:35 UTC	5	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	03-28 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:25 UTC	5	$9	12	0	+12	Down	+$3	03-28 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:45 UTC	5	$9	12	0	+12	Down	+$3	03-28 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:00 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	03-28 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 04:05 UTC	5	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	03-28 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:00 UTC	6	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	03-28 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:10 UTC	5	$9	12	0	+12	Up	+$3	03-28 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 05:40 UTC	5	$9	12	0	+12	Up	-$9	03-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:55 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	03-28 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:20 UTC	5	$9	13	0	+13	Up	+$4	03-28 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 00:45 UTC	5	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	03-28 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 01:05 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	03-28 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:25 UTC	5	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	03-28 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:00 UTC	5	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	03-28 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:50 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	03-28 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 04:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x72941e…
09-26 03:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xaca5e6…
09-26 02:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xc78cde…
09-26 02:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfdbebc…
09-26 02:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9c335d…
09-26 02:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xc542fe…
09-26 01:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc3c5db…
09-26 01:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x50e6ba…
09-26 01:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf70c24…
09-26 00:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x558228…
09-26 00:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1f3796…
09-25 23:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa620a5…
09-25 23:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x557fa5…
09-25 20:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 27?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x1733c4…
09-25 20:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43165d…
09-25 20:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0xfc0baf…
09-25 20:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xe1ba3d…
09-25 19:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfeda0e…
09-25 19:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x2a3a94…
09-25 19:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x65d748…
09-25 19:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x34190b…
09-25 19:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xd60fa2…
09-25 19:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xa4f380…
09-25 18:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4d953c…
09-25 18:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x7b843b…
09-25 18:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x25f543…
09-25 18:16:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x528433…
09-25 18:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfd59a8…
09-25 18:05:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa96973…
09-25 17:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf90d2a…
09-25 17:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe16956…
09-25 17:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x720723…
09-25 17:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x1404ee…
09-25 16:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c529f…
09-25 14:54:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x1a3bbb…
09-25 14:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x787489…
09-25 14:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd2b984…
09-25 13:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xbc6cdb…
09-25 12:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa5ad07…
09-25 12:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8886f7…
09-25 09:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x6d0d6b…
09-25 09:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on September 27?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x80aee9…
09-25 08:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7faa47…
09-25 08:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x55813b…
09-25 08:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e940b…
09-25 07:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf47d0c…
09-25 07:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x52341f…
09-25 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x1f165a…
09-25 05:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x730404…
09-25 04:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x35c799…
09-25 03:51:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9ca15b…
09-25 03:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0d907…
09-25 02:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7ac3fb…
09-25 02:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6a5a57…
09-25 02:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x64f246…
09-25 01:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x21aa2e…
09-25 01:38:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on September 25?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x4569f1…
09-25 00:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1ed7af…
09-25 00:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x12c202…
09-25 00:24:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xe9b3ef…
09-24 23:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb233f…
09-24 23:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x701580…
09-24 23:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x69efb6…
09-24 23:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x32c397…
09-24 22:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xf8eba0…
09-24 22:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x27cad3…
09-24 22:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x6cba4d…
09-24 22:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6b576c…
09-24 21:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xbad0b2…
09-24 20:29:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01462b…
09-24 20:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0fe788…
09-24 20:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on September 25?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x02d47b…
09-24 19:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xae5c6f…
09-24 18:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b8190…
09-24 18:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf148b…
09-24 17:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5c5422…
09-24 17:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x856ad9…
09-24 17:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 24?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xe6a763…
09-24 16:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x40b95e…
09-24 16:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x04c396…
09-24 16:00:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x2b00b1…
09-24 15:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x0526fd…
09-24 15:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xea3121…
09-24 15:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f4685…
09-24 14:48:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x722772…
09-24 13:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e7633…
09-24 13:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x085da0…
09-24 13:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xb15acc…
09-24 13:05:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xfc7b88…
09-24 12:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa6e18c…
09-24 12:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xedbbd2…
09-24 12:25:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xabb9f1…
09-24 12:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or higher on September 25?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x1e911e…
09-24 11:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd40e90…
09-24 11:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0c90e5…
09-24 11:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x63d317…
09-24 10:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xf7638c…
09-24 10:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x258e61…
09-24 09:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xcd4a3c…
09-24 09:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf35e9e…