Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$421

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

1,095

Trades

4,829

lifetime

Volume

$56.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$1.89K

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 10-06 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

80% 8% -$2,004

Politics

11% 6% -$246

Tech

7% 2% -$141

Crypto

1% 36% -$18

Sports

1% 0% -$50

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+253	$126	74¢	$187	+$61	09-25 08:19
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	+174	$136	98¢	$170	+$34	09-29 16:16
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+166	$114	94¢	$157	+$43	08-30 21:58
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	+141	$59	98¢	$138	+$79	08-29 13:33
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	+122	$87	92¢	$113	+$26	09-07 06:02
saudi airspace closed by october 31 2026	No	+74	$62	98¢	$72	+$10	09-20 13:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+82	$53	86¢	$71	+$18	09-29 18:23
saudi airspace closed by december 31 2026	No	+86	$65	82¢	$70	+$6	09-20 17:38
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+253	$137	26¢	$66	-$71	09-25 08:19
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+77	$19	76¢	$58	+$39	07-29 19:53
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+56	$28	98¢	$55	+$27	09-12 21:51
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+102	$37	52¢	$53	+$15	09-10 14:57
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	+54	$39	96¢	$52	+$13	09-18 22:35
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	+57	$42	90¢	$51	+$9	09-14 18:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+102	$69	48¢	$49	-$20	09-13 15:20
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+48	$36	100¢	$48	+$12	07-04 14:29
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	No	+58	$45	80¢	$46	+$1	09-11 17:15
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+45	$36	97¢	$43	+$8	07-25 15:46
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$41	86¢	$43	+$2	10-02 05:56
us iran hormuz agreement by november 30	No	+49	$26	78¢	$39	+$13	09-29 14:36
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+54	$22	72¢	$38	+$16	10-02 13:31
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027	Yes	+48	$36	76¢	$37	+$1	08-19 20:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+48	$25	68¢	$32	+$7	09-02 15:28
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	No	+46	$26	68¢	$32	+$6	09-29 23:07
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+44	$22	72¢	$32	+$9	10-02 13:31
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+46	$21	64¢	$30	+$9	07-03 11:22
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+30	$18	97¢	$30	+$11	09-17 11:17
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$15	67¢	$27	+$12	09-30 09:12
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	+28	$12	90¢	$25	+$13	07-07 03:56
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+28	$12	82¢	$23	+$11	08-13 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	136	$1.1K	1,863	838	+1,025	No	-$70	08-09 19:41
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	56	$798	1,572	1	+1,571	Yes	-$12	09-29 19:23
kimberly guilfoyle out as us ambassador to greece by december 31	49	$557	784	161	+623	Yes	-$24	09-30 21:25
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	23	$399	776	0	+776	No	-$35	08-29 23:55
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	17	$305	598	0	+598	Yes	-$5	09-22 20:29
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	27	$297	566	40	+526	Yes	-$7	09-17 19:46
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	17	$263	506	0	+506	open	—	09-25 08:19
Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	19	$219	360	28	+332	Yes	-$7	09-13 15:19
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	7	$208	401	16	+386	Yes	-$12	08-26 23:07
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	15	$205	393	45	+348	open	—	09-29 16:16
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	20	$202	377	7	+371	open	—	09-14 18:16
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	15	$176	333	0	+333	open	—	08-30 21:58
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	13	$174	334	14	+319	Yes	-$15	10-04 11:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	13	$174	300	20	+280	No	-$10	09-29 19:12
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	14	$171	298	45	+252	Yes	-$10	09-21 07:26
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	16	$166	315	0	+315	open	—	08-31 11:57
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	17	$165	325	1	+325	Yes	-$3	09-16 15:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	16	$165	324	2	+322	Yes	-$2	09-23 15:31
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 25?	7	$162	224	74	+150	Yes	+$3	08-24 05:28
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?	12	$161	303	31	+272	Yes	-$13	09-29 19:45
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	12	$159	255	32	+223	open	—	10-05 13:14
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	15	$158	289	6	+283	open	—	08-29 13:33
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	11	$150	270	23	+248	Yes	-$10	08-26 22:40
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	9	$150	263	18	+245	open	—	09-07 06:02
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	16	$148	208	45	+163	No	+$14	08-15 05:10
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	20	$146	275	0	+275	open	—	10-02 21:13
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	12	$146	245	22	+223	Yes	-$2	08-05 04:02
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?	4	$143	156	52	+104	Yes	+$10	09-02 15:29
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	13	$142	281	0	+280	No	-$2	09-12 16:36
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 30 2026	6	$142	272	0	+272	Yes	-$6	08-28 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 14:40:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	37¢	$12	0xd42f95…
10-06 14:11:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xfa5f3a…
10-06 14:11:44	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x5e50d7…
10-06 13:49:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0x9f133f…
10-06 13:20:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb0c0bd…
10-06 13:20:18	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa771a4…
10-06 12:48:04	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombified piglin?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9838b0…
10-06 12:48:04	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombified piglin?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x38d818…
10-06 12:22:06	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0xd90aff…
10-06 12:22:06	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x5c1a11…
10-06 12:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x48c103…
10-06 11:22:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x84b2c3…
10-06 11:22:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x829e31…
10-06 10:25:21	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xa14b3b…
10-06 10:25:18	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	No	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x84699d…
10-06 10:25:18	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0x604bc5…
10-06 10:16:27	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0xb11a21…
10-06 09:26:58	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$18	0x9e672f…
10-06 09:26:58	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0x79cdcc…
10-06 09:26:58	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x1cf376…
10-06 09:09:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xf6a65c…
10-06 09:09:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x21a322…
10-06 09:09:21	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x447a90…
10-06 08:44:46	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xc08cb1…
10-06 08:44:45	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x24b8bb…
10-06 08:34:19	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by fire?	No	BUY	36	35¢	$12	0x2607f9…
10-06 08:34:18	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by fire?	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xae7ed0…
10-06 07:52:19	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0xf6f205…
10-06 07:52:19	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xb4afd8…
10-06 07:06:55	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$12	0xc77926…
10-06 07:06:55	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0xbe661d…
10-06 06:57:36	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xf80c71…
10-06 06:57:34	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8c4e53…
10-06 06:57:34	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x200309…
10-05 23:32:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xbb6ea9…
10-05 23:32:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xaca76f…
10-05 23:32:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x663a7b…
10-05 21:02:26	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0x862c0d…
10-05 21:02:26	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x17e6f3…
10-05 19:44:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x806b45…
10-05 19:44:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7179fd…
10-05 19:09:34	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xec155c…
10-05 19:00:34	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x719f1a…
10-05 19:00:32	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xf9b9c5…
10-05 19:00:32	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc7577b…
10-05 19:00:32	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x90a958…
10-05 17:13:22	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xdba9b6…
10-05 17:13:22	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xa05831…
10-05 15:54:22	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x50bdf1…
10-05 15:45:20	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbacbde…
10-05 15:26:17	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x812c7a…
10-05 15:17:16	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x075248…
10-05 14:32:05	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x25633d…
10-05 14:32:04	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xcba94f…
10-05 13:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	45	39¢	$17	0xae8770…
10-05 13:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	No	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xa26666…
10-05 13:14:08	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xae0122…
10-05 13:14:02	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdf77b6…
10-05 13:10:19	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1ed206…
10-05 13:01:19	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc86718…
10-05 13:01:19	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x69ea2c…
10-05 09:45:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x278548…
10-05 09:45:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x127f21…
10-05 09:17:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xd8de15…
10-05 09:17:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xb14c6a…
10-05 08:55:10	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe75a8e…
10-05 08:55:10	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x960100…
10-05 06:31:16	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x70b29b…
10-05 06:22:16	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0363b8…
10-05 06:21:23	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	45¢	$12	0x7cce08…
10-05 06:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	45	39¢	$17	0xd50f26…
10-05 06:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xb71f82…
10-04 23:56:43	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x97854e…
10-04 23:56:41	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x61aca9…
10-04 22:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$17	0xf29643…
10-04 22:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0x561d1e…
10-04 21:47:07	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 15	No	BUY	43	71¢	$31	0x8b76b1…
10-04 21:47:07	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 15	Yes	BUY	43	29¢	$12	0x4bab56…
10-04 21:22:16	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x796d84…
10-04 21:13:16	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	26	49¢	$12	0x5fb06b…
10-04 21:13:14	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc57b5b…
10-04 20:10:13	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa39998…
10-04 20:02:34	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x4d36f9…
10-04 15:21:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x89b5bc…
10-04 15:21:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x542fe9…
10-04 15:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	49	36¢	$17	0x22f7bf…
10-04 15:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0xd9a251…
10-04 15:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x150dfc…
10-04 15:09:01	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x1e7c2b…
10-04 15:08:49	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x4ade2f…
10-04 13:56:34	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4d9912…
10-04 13:53:32	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb48047…
10-04 13:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x76cde7…
10-04 13:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f4d18…
10-04 13:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 5?	No	BUY	43	41¢	$17	0x5759cd…
10-04 13:25:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xb3ccd2…
10-04 13:24:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x775429…
10-04 13:24:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x27c903…
10-04 11:52:02	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x9b0d57…
10-04 11:52:01	Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?	No	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0x527b01…