Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

132

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 03-01 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

73% 40% -$105

Politics

19% 62% +$28

Sports

8% 22% -$29

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$100	115	76	+38	Yes	+$18	02-18 13:17
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	5	$97	185	185	+0	Yes	+$12	02-09 22:28
bl2 fcn mun 2026 01 30 fcn	10	$53	40	29	+11	No	+$5	01-30 23:19
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	2	$46	30	30	+0	No	-$4	02-14 03:07
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	15	$41	222	179	+42	No	-$20	02-11 15:22
es2 eib spo 2026 02 01 draw	3	$26	12	18	-6	No	+$4	02-01 19:00
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$22	217	217	+0	No	+$4	03-01 20:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-31 15:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	02-04 15:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$19	76	76	+0	Yes	+$5	02-09 20:33
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	3	$18	201	0	+201	Yes	-$18	02-11 14:47
highest temperature in london on january 31 10c	3	$18	12	12	+0	No	+$6	01-31 14:59
Will the US strike Iraq next?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-02 19:48
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-09 14:30
Will the US strike Yemen next?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-02 19:48
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	2	$12	303	0	+303	No	-$12	02-03 00:05
bun koe wol 2026 01 30 total 2pt5	8	$12	24	0	+24	Under	-$6	01-30 19:58
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	5	$11	951	0	+951	No	-$11	02-09 22:29
will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-04 15:38
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	4	$11	13	13	+0	No	-$1	03-01 16:28
nba cle phx 2026 01 30	3	$10	18	0	+18	Suns	-$10	01-30 20:14
fl1 rcl hac 2026 01 30 rcl	7	$10	24	18	+6	Yes	-$4	01-30 20:50
cbb sfl templ 2026 01 31	4	$10	24	0	+24	Temple Owls	-$4	02-01 03:03
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$10	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	02-25 02:58
fr2 bas asn 2026 01 30 bas	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	01-30 23:21
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	02-02 19:48
nba atl ind 2026 01 31 spread away 1pt5	4	$10	18	0	+18	Pacers	+$2	02-01 01:04
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	02-25 02:58
will artemis ii launch by february 28	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$4	02-04 15:38
lal esp ala 2026 01 30 total 2pt5	2	$8	12	0	+12	Over	-$8	01-30 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-01 20:33:35	stefon diggs arrested by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd8540d…
03-01 20:33:27	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	217	6¢	$13	0x4ac4d9…
03-01 19:01:43	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xd0d974…
03-01 19:01:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x1d987e…
03-01 16:35:25	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x5189f9…
03-01 16:31:25	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$6	0x3c439e…
03-01 16:30:55	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9f2b62…
03-01 16:29:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x28512c…
03-01 16:28:49	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	No	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x0d52e6…
02-28 11:58:35	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa44077…
02-28 11:58:21	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x45f521…
02-25 02:58:32	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xf4e690…
02-25 02:58:20	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xbbe0d6…
02-18 13:17:40	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa3a50b…
02-18 13:17:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9736a6…
02-18 13:17:14	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4fafce…
02-18 13:17:06	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1f535e…
02-18 13:16:42	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf1ca64…
02-18 13:16:26	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$2	0x03bd39…
02-18 13:16:24	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in february 2026 988	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0xc627e8…
02-14 17:33:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x2d6e75…
02-14 03:09:45	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xd50070…
02-14 03:08:11	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x038430…
02-14 03:08:01	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0fc1cd…
02-14 03:07:51	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb0edda…
02-14 03:07:25	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x6de4c5…
02-11 16:34:39	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x9b076d…
02-11 16:29:31	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in february 2026 988	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdae463…
02-11 16:29:09	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x7a0201…
02-11 15:22:33	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x9b9c25…
02-11 15:22:17	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb02497…
02-11 15:22:09	will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$1	0x03054a…
02-11 15:21:45	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	52¢	$28	0xb2fe58…
02-11 14:47:23	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	No	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x29f501…
02-10 16:13:43	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfe7fe9…
02-10 16:13:27	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd9bb72…
02-10 16:13:01	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x82bad3…
02-10 16:12:47	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0x9a1ea3…
02-10 16:11:37	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	No	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0x53207d…
02-10 16:11:13	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	SELL	179	6¢	$11	0xcf7e03…
02-10 16:10:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xc2b7ad…
02-10 16:10:19	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x1a1d0f…
02-10 16:09:51	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x886f43…
02-10 15:27:19	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xadf002…
02-10 15:26:03	will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x963a66…
02-10 15:25:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0xffd84b…
02-09 22:31:09	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0x98e706…
02-09 22:30:05	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x5a8aa7…
02-09 22:29:29	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xba996e…
02-09 22:29:23	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x122a4a…
02-09 22:29:11	will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xa7f329…
02-09 22:29:05	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	341	1¢	$2	0x8b3cf0…
02-09 22:28:09	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	177	30¢	$53	0xe8dc07…
02-09 22:17:43	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x8d218f…
02-09 22:17:27	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x004f43…
02-09 21:11:41	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	207	3¢	$6	0x5333d0…
02-09 20:49:23	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc24851…
02-09 20:49:13	will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x391a96…
02-09 20:49:05	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x0fac68…
02-09 20:40:27	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc77436…
02-09 20:34:25	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a4748…
02-09 20:33:25	will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xafd421…
02-09 20:33:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	76	16¢	$12	0x0e2adf…
02-09 16:43:11	stefon diggs arrested by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfc137b…
02-09 14:53:07	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdea414…
02-09 14:31:29	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6181e1…
02-09 14:31:21	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x236c92…
02-09 14:31:13	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf2d6df…
02-09 14:31:07	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x675a6a…
02-09 14:30:47	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x955863…
02-09 14:27:11	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x8175c3…
02-09 14:26:45	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x0b9182…
02-05 14:16:45	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x8f4151…
02-05 13:03:53	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2dc225…
02-05 13:03:03	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7c229…
02-04 15:50:03	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x86556c…
02-04 15:49:49	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3cb5d5…
02-04 15:49:39	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in february 2026 988	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2b5ceb…
02-04 15:49:27	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xdf3f9e…
02-04 15:48:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xd3e36a…
02-04 15:39:43	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xf2c70d…
02-04 15:38:47	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4531b3…
02-04 15:38:01	will artemis ii launch by february 28	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6beb01…
02-04 13:29:08	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0xd4c52c…
02-04 13:28:52	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x51bfdb…
02-03 15:47:14	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x64ed20…
02-03 15:46:56	will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa2719f…
02-03 11:11:34	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x9be6a5…
02-03 00:05:02	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x151785…
02-03 00:04:36	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x52089f…
02-02 20:09:38	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	23¢	$31	0x38f385…
02-02 20:04:52	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x820152…
02-02 20:04:46	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x7eb6df…
02-02 19:54:18	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x46ef96…
02-02 19:54:14	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xfd475c…
02-02 19:54:08	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	226	4¢	$10	0x6eea58…
02-02 19:48:52	Will the US strike Yemen next?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x83523a…
02-02 19:48:42	Will the US strike Iraq next?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7617bf…
02-02 19:48:38	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xdd252a…
02-02 19:45:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0da315…