Talkative-Discrepancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-24 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Politics

26% 67% +$36

Other

16% 0% $-8

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	31	$716	530	530	+0	open	—	03-31 16:58
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$601	304	304	+0	open	—	05-17 06:23
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	15	$580	440	439	+0	open	—	04-07 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$553	437	437	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$553	357	357	+0	open	—	05-16 16:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$543	569	569	+0	open	—	04-07 22:54
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$525	329	329	+0	open	—	05-16 14:11
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	4	$480	250	250	+0	open	—	04-14 06:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$454	366	366	+0	open	—	04-17 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	10	$427	255	255	+0	open	—	05-10 20:17
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$420	223	223	+0	open	—	05-16 15:49
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	8	$414	324	324	+0	open	—	04-08 19:09
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$410	212	212	+0	open	—	05-17 12:59
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$407	244	244	+0	open	—	05-18 13:17
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$403	205	205	+0	open	—	05-18 08:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	7	$371	280	275	+5	open	—	04-09 14:52
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	5	$316	175	175	+0	open	—	04-09 21:56
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$306	301	87	+214	open	—	05-18 08:20
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$300	446	0	+446	open	—	05-17 06:26
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$300	315	0	+315	open	—	05-17 07:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$285	175	174	+1	open	—	05-01 00:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$282	320	320	+0	open	—	05-17 14:55
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$281	183	183	+0	open	—	05-17 15:05
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$258	170	170	+0	open	—	05-15 17:55
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	11	$255	744	0	+744	open	—	04-21 22:52
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$245	146	146	+0	open	—	05-15 20:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$244	145	144	+1	open	—	04-07 23:56
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$236	137	137	+0	open	—	05-18 13:10
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$231	132	132	+0	open	—	05-15 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 09:06:34	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x95dce7…
05-24 09:02:10	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1f5a2b…
05-24 08:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x06eb69…
05-24 08:50:21	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x203a64…
05-24 08:49:41	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x344d72…
05-23 20:48:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	53¢	$64	0x228b46…
05-23 17:58:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x6835e0…
05-23 16:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xce852c…
05-23 16:09:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xfa42cf…
05-22 11:24:47	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x20ed9e…
05-22 11:24:05	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc51abb…
05-21 12:53:01	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x565caf…
05-19 09:11:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x135ecd…
05-19 09:02:47	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x69d743…
05-18 20:25:16	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x615191…
05-18 20:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x97cf59…
05-18 17:25:11	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa06ee4…
05-18 17:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x37f6bd…
05-18 15:58:39	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	66¢	$27	0x24e610…
05-18 15:56:28	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0fe06c…
05-18 14:04:07	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6e231b…
05-18 14:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x04d398…
05-18 13:50:24	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x73f574…
05-18 13:26:47	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x74b233…
05-18 13:23:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xa4b89f…
05-18 13:17:27	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	244	85¢	$207	0xc4048f…
05-18 13:16:06	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x807697…
05-18 13:10:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x286516…
05-18 13:06:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x090885…
05-18 10:04:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	143	84¢	$120	0x9e4b4a…
05-18 10:00:52	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xe87bda…
05-18 09:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	129	92¢	$119	0xd66f98…
05-18 09:58:18	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0xe19550…
05-18 09:53:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xbe91d6…
05-18 09:53:13	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd6320a…
05-18 09:45:33	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xcad16f…
05-18 08:20:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0xf897ee…
05-18 08:18:52	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	87	64¢	$56	0x94ae3f…
05-18 08:17:35	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0x06171e…
05-18 08:13:30	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	97	46¢	$44	0x4303e7…
05-18 08:10:31	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xf96a37…
05-18 08:04:29	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x5e7805…
05-18 08:03:45	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0xdceb7d…
05-18 07:56:14	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x9523d7…
05-17 15:18:14	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xd63646…
05-17 15:16:41	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4b2f68…
05-17 15:15:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17b99f…
05-17 15:15:02	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x873b3f…
05-17 15:14:55	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xd9e93b…
05-17 15:09:05	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	104	95¢	$98	0xb03cfa…
05-17 15:07:21	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xe3793a…
05-17 15:05:05	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	183	99¢	$181	0xb0dd64…
05-17 15:02:10	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xbc4690…
05-17 14:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd4913…
05-17 14:59:45	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xfdaef4…
05-17 14:59:39	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x204418…
05-17 14:55:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	91¢	$96	0x3ce975…
05-17 14:53:21	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x7bdb56…
05-17 12:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0x099319…
05-17 12:57:18	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0xf05df2…
05-17 12:53:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x778e9f…
05-17 12:49:52	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xfbda75…
05-17 12:48:59	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd95ba9…
05-17 09:25:37	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xba06c0…
05-17 09:20:02	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xe053ff…
05-17 09:19:31	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0886bb…
05-17 09:14:47	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x231e55…
05-17 09:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xaa028e…
05-17 09:09:22	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x96fbc8…
05-17 09:08:52	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd5c9fc…
05-17 08:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	110	99¢	$108	0xf98697…
05-17 08:22:56	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3f6884…
05-17 08:18:56	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x2d8599…
05-17 08:13:01	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	223	7¢	$15	0x150b9d…
05-17 08:10:32	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x991c8c…
05-17 08:05:38	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	372	54¢	$200	0xc2156a…
05-17 07:59:15	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xe45bfe…
05-17 07:53:18	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	315	63¢	$200	0xdfc555…
05-17 07:49:53	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xa78da0…
05-17 06:36:23	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	231	86¢	$200	0x7be484…
05-17 06:26:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	446	67¢	$300	0x5e0939…
05-17 06:23:44	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	304	99¢	$301	0x429195…
05-17 06:23:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x24c5b0…
05-16 16:00:18	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	357	99¢	$353	0x9f0cb5…
05-16 15:55:16	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x571c3b…
05-16 15:49:22	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	223	99¢	$220	0x0a039e…
05-16 15:48:05	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xeb6824…
05-16 14:11:01	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	329	99¢	$325	0x0156d5…
05-16 14:08:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	329	61¢	$200	0xa130da…
05-16 13:57:50	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x5e0097…
05-16 13:57:13	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x1f53ac…
05-16 13:57:08	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x60cd2d…
05-15 20:25:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x2ce836…
05-15 20:22:25	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x88c04c…
05-15 20:15:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x8e0ef8…
05-15 20:14:08	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x44f559…
05-15 18:01:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	126	88¢	$110	0xa7dedf…
05-15 18:00:17	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	126	71¢	$90	0x230fa6…
05-15 17:55:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xbe1cea…
05-15 17:53:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	170	53¢	$90	0x5cce69…