25 bps increase
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Volume, 24h
$120
Total volume
$5,992
Trades, 24h
6
Traders, 24h
4
Last price
0.516
Created
2026-07-30
fed-decision-in-january-20260729233815502
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 4821539922… |
| No | — | 6681215981… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:49:47 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.601 | 706 |
| 0.600 | 999 |
| 0.595 | 110 |
| 0.579 | 450 |
| 0.578 | 1,271 |
| 0.005 | 3,721 |
| 0.004 | 268 |
| 0.003 | 29,832 |
| 0.001 | 1,000 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.629 | 300 |
| 0.631 | 21 |
| 0.640 | 200 |
| 0.650 | 1,000 |
| 0.655 | 110 |
| 0.679 | 75 |
| 0.998 | 29,944 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 13:38:42 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | taker | 0.516 | 130 | $67 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:42 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.516 | 130 | $67 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:40 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:40 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:30 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:30 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:20 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:20 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:09 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:38:09 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:37:59 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:37:59 | 0x88c2…a793 | SELL | maker | 0.516 | 20 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-10 18:44:50 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.520 | 6 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-10 18:44:50 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.480 | 6 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-10 17:09:07 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.520 | 75 | $39 | |
| 2026-11-10 17:09:07 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.480 | 75 | $36 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:47:31 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.330 | 5 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:47:31 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.330 | 5 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:35:03 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.315 | 4 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:35:03 | 0x8466…61b0 | BUY | maker | 0.315 | 4 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:34:45 | 0x88c2…a793 | BUY | taker | 0.279 | 236 | $66 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:34:45 | 0xd3bf…e62a | BUY | maker | 0.721 | 236 | $170 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:34:44 | 0x8466…61b0 | BUY | taker | 0.279 | 64 | $18 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:34:44 | 0xd3bf…e62a | BUY | maker | 0.721 | 64 | $46 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:33:36 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.279 | 30 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:33:36 | 0xd3bf…e62a | BUY | maker | 0.721 | 30 | $22 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:33:28 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.278 | 93 | $26 | |
| 2026-11-10 13:33:28 | 0xcd71…cd7b | SELL | maker | 0.278 | 93 | $26 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:29 | 0xcd71…cd7b | BUY | taker | 0.208 | 95 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:29 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.792 | 95 | $75 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:29 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.208 | 157 | $33 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:29 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.792 | 157 | $124 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:28 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.208 | 30 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-10 09:10:28 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.792 | 30 | $24 | |
| 2026-11-07 11:26:31 | 0xf99d…a52d | SELL | taker | 0.174 | 27 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-07 11:26:31 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.174 | 27 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-07 11:26:31 | 0xf99d…a52d | SELL | taker | 0.175 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-07 11:26:31 | 0xfed5…9e93 | SELL | maker | 0.825 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-05 19:11:36 | 0x496b…293c | SELL | taker | 0.791 | 158 | $125 | |
| 2026-11-05 19:11:36 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.791 | 158 | $125 | |
| 2026-10-22 15:37:37 | 0xd14c…a660 | SELL | taker | 0.351 | 120 | $42 | |
| 2026-10-22 15:37:37 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.351 | 120 | $42 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:53:17 | 0xfd01…ceee | SELL | taker | 0.353 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:53:17 | 0x0391…c22b | BUY | maker | 0.353 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:46:45 | 0xd14c…a660 | BUY | taker | 0.354 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:46:45 | 0xfd01…ceee | SELL | maker | 0.354 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:12:24 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | taker | 0.354 | 5 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-14 19:12:24 | 0xfd01…ceee | SELL | maker | 0.354 | 5 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:44:00 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.283 | 6 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:44:00 | 0xfd01…ceee | BUY | maker | 0.283 | 6 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:36:17 | 0xd14c…a660 | BUY | taker | 0.338 | 600 | $203 | |
| 2026-10-14 12:36:17 | 0xc453…47f3 | BUY | maker | 0.662 | 600 | $397 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:20:51 | 0xcd75…4953 | SELL | taker | 0.660 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:20:51 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.660 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:19:09 | 0x6790…75c8 | SELL | taker | 0.632 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:19:09 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.632 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:18:41 | 0x5136…b60c | SELL | taker | 0.649 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:18:41 | 0x6790…75c8 | BUY | maker | 0.649 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:18:18 | 0xd3bf…e62a | SELL | taker | 0.649 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:18:18 | 0x5136…b60c | BUY | maker | 0.649 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:17:30 | 0x3a61…3a1d | SELL | taker | 0.650 | 3 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-08 23:17:30 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.650 | 3 | $2 | |
| 2026-10-05 15:54:42 | 0xd14c…a660 | BUY | taker | 0.315 | 26 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-05 15:54:42 | 0xd3bf…e62a | SELL | maker | 0.315 | 26 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-04 22:18:35 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | taker | 0.665 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-04 22:18:35 | 0xfed5…9e93 | BUY | maker | 0.665 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-02 08:42:00 | 0x4fad…0e85 | BUY | taker | 0.620 | 189 | $117 | |
| 2026-10-02 08:42:00 | 0xd3bf…e62a | SELL | maker | 0.620 | 176 | $109 | |
| 2026-10-02 08:42:00 | 0x300a…2c4a | SELL | maker | 0.619 | 13 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:55:44 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.619 | 13 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:55:44 | 0x300a…2c4a | BUY | maker | 0.619 | 13 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:35:22 | 0x4fad…0e85 | BUY | taker | 0.612 | 772 | $472 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:35:22 | 0xd3bf…e62a | SELL | maker | 0.620 | 82 | $51 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:35:22 | 0xd3bf…e62a | SELL | maker | 0.620 | 61 | $38 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:35:22 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | maker | 0.610 | 629 | $384 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:35:16 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.600 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:35:16 | 0xfed5…9e93 | BUY | maker | 0.600 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:48 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.390 | 14 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:48 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | maker | 0.610 | 14 | $9 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:34 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.390 | 12 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:34 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | maker | 0.610 | 12 | $8 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:29 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.599 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:29 | 0x660c…5775 | BUY | maker | 0.599 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:27 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.390 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:27 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | maker | 0.610 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:24 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.390 | 89 | $35 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:24 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | maker | 0.610 | 89 | $54 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:20 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.391 | 86 | $34 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:20 | 0x62d7…2783 | SELL | maker | 0.610 | 74 | $45 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:20 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.398 | 12 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:18 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.398 | 103 | $41 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:18 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.398 | 89 | $35 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:18 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.398 | 14 | $6 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:18 | 0xf0cd…28f7 | BUY | taker | 0.602 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:18 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.398 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:17 | 0xf0cd…28f7 | BUY | taker | 0.601 | 407 | $245 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:17 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.398 | 86 | $34 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:17 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.398 | 103 | $41 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:34:17 | 0xd14c…a660 | SELL | maker | 0.600 | 218 | $131 | |
| 2026-10-01 17:21:29 | 0xf0cd…28f7 | BUY | taker | 0.600 | 2 | $1 |