25 bps increase
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Volume, 24h
$24,476
Total volume
$197,637
Trades, 24h
149
Traders, 24h
30
Last price
0.889
Created
2026-07-30
fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 5010513863… |
| No | — | 3846378228… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 21:00:25 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.870 | 1,061 |
| 0.860 | 1,100 |
| 0.850 | 1,644 |
| 0.845 | 110 |
| 0.840 | 400 |
| 0.830 | 400 |
| 0.792 | 62,982 |
| 0.006 | 2,911 |
| 0.005 | 9,500 |
| 0.004 | 333 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.880 | 1,157 |
| 0.889 | 1,400 |
| 0.894 | 48 |
| 0.895 | 23 |
| 0.900 | 153 |
| 0.905 | 110 |
| 0.910 | 897 |
| 0.920 | 400 |
| 0.930 | 400 |
| 0.940 | 400 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 19:00:59 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.112 | 48 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:00:59 | 0x4dfc…9895 | SELL | maker | 0.889 | 8 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:00:59 | 0x8802…cc7b | SELL | maker | 0.888 | 39 | $35 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:55 | 0x4fad…0e85 | BUY | taker | 0.120 | 80 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:55 | 0x2ddf…10c6 | BUY | maker | 0.880 | 80 | $70 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:40 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.112 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:40 | 0x8802…cc7b | SELL | maker | 0.888 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:36 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.876 | 103 | $90 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:36 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.876 | 103 | $90 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:35 | 0x4fad…0e85 | BUY | taker | 0.110 | 4,354 | $480 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:35 | 0x4dfc…9895 | BUY | maker | 0.889 | 1,409 | $1,252 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:35 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.890 | 103 | $92 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:53:35 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.890 | 2,843 | $2,530 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.890 | 51 | $45 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.890 | 51 | $45 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.890 | 50 | $44 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.890 | 50 | $44 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:37:10 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.104 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:37:10 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | maker | 0.104 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:33 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.100 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:33 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.100 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:27 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.110 | 19 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:27 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.890 | 19 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:26 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.890 | 38 | $34 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:26 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.890 | 38 | $34 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:25 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 38 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:25 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 38 | $34 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:25 | 0x26d0…5f45 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 962 | $96 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:25 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 962 | $866 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:24 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 106 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:24 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 106 | $96 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:41 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 106 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:41 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 106 | $96 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:03 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.089 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:03 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:24:38 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 106 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:24:38 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 106 | $96 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:23:59 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 106 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:23:59 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 106 | $96 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:16:19 | 0xb97a…4191 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:16:19 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:15:31 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:15:31 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:34 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 109 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:34 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 109 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:31 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 113 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:31 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 113 | $102 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:22 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 114 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:22 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 114 | $103 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:18 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 100 | $90 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:18 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 100 | $90 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:13 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 77 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:13 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 77 | $69 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:04 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 114 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:04 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 114 | $103 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:04 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 109 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:04 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 109 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:57 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:57 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 3 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:48 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 77 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:48 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 77 | $69 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:41 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 109 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:41 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 109 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:40 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 114 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:40 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 114 | $103 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:33 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:33 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 3 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:26 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 19 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:26 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 19 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:21 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 4 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:21 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 4 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:19 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 114 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:19 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 114 | $103 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:11 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 112 | $11 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:11 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 112 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:06 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 47 | $42 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:06 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 47 | $42 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:04 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 9 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:04 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 9 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:02 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 101 | $91 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:02 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 101 | $91 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:56 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 41 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:56 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 41 | $37 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:03 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | taker | 0.100 | 115 | $12 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:03 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 115 | $104 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:40 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.900 | 6 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:40 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.900 | 6 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:37 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.099 | 40 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:37 | 0x8802…cc7b | BUY | maker | 0.901 | 40 | $36 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:13:10 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.082 | 86 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:13:10 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.082 | 46 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:13:10 | 0x8802…cc7b | SELL | maker | 0.917 | 40 | $37 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:54 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | taker | 0.090 | 18 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:54 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.910 | 18 | $16 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:48 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.090 | 20 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:48 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.910 | 20 | $19 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:37 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.090 | 20 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:37 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.910 | 20 | $19 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:27 | 0xfb6e…f184 | BUY | taker | 0.090 | 20 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:09:27 | 0x34e2…0900 | BUY | maker | 0.910 | 20 | $19 |