50+ bps increase
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Volume, 24h
$4,465
Total volume
$10,088
Trades, 24h
114
Traders, 24h
19
Last price
0.094
Created
2026-07-30
fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 6894923103… |
| No | — | 8579538170… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:54:35 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.103 | 187 |
| 0.095 | 97 |
| 0.093 | 153 |
| 0.070 | 4,000 |
| 0.060 | 4,000 |
| 0.050 | 4,000 |
| 0.004 | 29,706 |
| 0.003 | 1,000 |
| 0.002 | 59,574 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.107 | 2,000 |
| 0.108 | 2,000 |
| 0.109 | 2,000 |
| 0.110 | 5,000 |
| 0.112 | 1,988 |
| 0.114 | 155 |
| 0.115 | 3,000 |
| 0.118 | 3,000 |
| 0.119 | 3,000 |
| 0.130 | 4,000 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.094 | 4 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 4 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.104 | 46 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.104 | 46 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.104 | 50 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:47:08 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.104 | 50 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:37:18 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.099 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:37:18 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.099 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:58 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:26:58 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:53 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:53 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:18 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:18 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:10 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.094 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:25:10 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 17 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:24:11 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:24:11 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.094 | 104 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:15:32 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.092 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:15:32 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.092 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:31 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.910 | 111 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:31 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.090 | 111 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:27 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 109 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:27 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 109 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:22 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 112 | $102 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:22 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 112 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:18 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.089 | 100 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:18 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 100 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:13 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 76 | $69 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:13 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 76 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:04 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 112 | $102 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:14:04 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 112 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:57 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 3 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:57 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:57 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 109 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:57 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 109 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:48 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.910 | 76 | $69 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:48 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.090 | 76 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:40 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 112 | $102 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:40 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 112 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:33 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 3 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:33 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 3 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:32 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 109 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:32 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 109 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:26 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 18 | $17 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:26 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 18 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:21 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.053 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:21 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.053 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:19 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.911 | 112 | $102 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:19 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.089 | 112 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:11 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.909 | 110 | $100 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:11 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.091 | 110 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:04 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.909 | 9 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:04 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.091 | 9 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:02 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.091 | 101 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:13:02 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.091 | 101 | $9 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:56 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.908 | 40 | $37 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:56 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.092 | 40 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:53 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.088 | 47 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:53 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | maker | 0.912 | 47 | $43 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:53 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.089 | 4 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:53 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | BUY | maker | 0.911 | 4 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:15 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.087 | 113 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:12:15 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.087 | 113 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:43 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.087 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:43 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.087 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:37 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.913 | 39 | $36 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:37 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.087 | 39 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:35 | 0xe95c…4ae7 | BUY | taker | 0.078 | 13 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:35 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | maker | 0.912 | 6 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:11:35 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | maker | 0.068 | 6 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:02:26 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.068 | 6 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:02:26 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | maker | 0.068 | 6 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:00:53 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.068 | 13 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:00:53 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | maker | 0.068 | 13 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:00:40 | 0x8f36…aca4 | BUY | taker | 0.068 | 26 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:00:40 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | maker | 0.068 | 26 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:52:05 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.075 | 101 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:52:05 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 101 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:51:31 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.075 | 101 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:51:31 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 101 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:51:26 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.075 | 100 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:51:26 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 100 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:51:21 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 51 | $47 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:51:21 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 51 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:41 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 87 | $80 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:41 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 87 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:34 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 26 | $24 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:34 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 26 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:33 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 107 | $99 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:33 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 107 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:12 | 0x7bfa…d0bf | SELL | taker | 0.075 | 51 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:12 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 51 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:08 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.075 | 101 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:50:08 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 101 | $8 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:49:36 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 133 | $123 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:49:36 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 133 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:49:30 | 0xb97a…4191 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 26 | $24 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:49:30 | 0x95c2…4534 | BUY | maker | 0.075 | 26 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:49:29 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | BUY | taker | 0.925 | 107 | $99 |