0 (0 bps)
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Volume, 24h
$18,419
Total volume
$757,382
Trades, 24h
300
Traders, 24h
167
Last price
0.983
Created
2026-03-02
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 8763382621… |
| No | — | 9532416555… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 20:22:02 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.982 | 2 |
| 0.981 | 1,724 |
| 0.980 | 2,000 |
| 0.977 | 3,154 |
| 0.974 | 2 |
| 0.972 | 1,160 |
| 0.970 | 5,000 |
| 0.968 | 4,935 |
| 0.967 | 1,111 |
| 0.960 | 5,000 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.983 | 27 |
| 0.984 | 1,167 |
| 0.985 | 2,013 |
| 0.986 | 111 |
| 0.987 | 1,101 |
| 0.989 | 2,272 |
| 0.990 | 304 |
| 0.994 | 4,320 |
| 0.995 | 3,511 |
| 0.996 | 3,375 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 19:30:29 | 0xda41…f8cc | BUY | taker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:30:29 | 0x8802…cc7b | SELL | maker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:18:23 | 0x4b62…8ed2 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:18:23 | 0x8802…cc7b | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 2 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:00:13 | 0xc31e…1614 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 19:00:13 | 0x8802…cc7b | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:34:41 | 0x9933…4463 | BUY | taker | 0.983 | 10 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:34:41 | 0x8802…cc7b | SELL | maker | 0.983 | 10 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:20:27 | 0xaddb…3e09 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 51 | $50 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:20:27 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 16 | $16 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:20:27 | 0x8802…cc7b | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 35 | $34 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:20:00 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 51 | $50 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:20:00 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 46 | $45 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:20:00 | 0x8802…cc7b | SELL | maker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:17:53 | 0xb4c0…8f88 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:17:53 | 0x8802…cc7b | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:17:48 | 0xb4c0…8f88 | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 18:17:48 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:00:32 | 0xc598…c655 | SELL | taker | 0.981 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:00:32 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:00:27 | 0xc598…c655 | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:00:27 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 15:49:06 | 0x36c4…1d39 | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 15:49:06 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 15:16:28 | 0xc19e…5e41 | SELL | taker | 0.981 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 15:16:28 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 15:16:21 | 0xc19e…5e41 | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 15:16:21 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:21:56 | 0x06e6…5414 | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:21:56 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:14:52 | 0x3bf7…c770 | SELL | taker | 0.981 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:14:52 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:14:29 | 0x3bf7…c770 | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 14:14:29 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:57:38 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.984 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 13:57:38 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.984 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x8ad2…fc25 | SELL | taker | 0.980 | 10,238 | $10,033 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x1350…7381 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 10,204 | $10,000 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0xd3e8…0639 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 10 | $10 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0xc872…0bc4 | SELL | maker | 0.020 | 23 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x8ad2…fc25 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 3,340 | $3,281 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x3196…1179 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 2,120 | $2,082 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 1,110 | $1,091 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 110 | $108 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0x8ad2…fc25 | SELL | taker | 0.980 | 20 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:47:59 | 0xe5e0…0778 | BUY | maker | 0.980 | 20 | $20 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:46:55 | 0x8ad2…fc25 | SELL | taker | 0.984 | 2,000 | $1,968 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:46:55 | 0xaebe…da90 | BUY | maker | 0.984 | 2,000 | $1,968 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:01:34 | 0x038d…1759 | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 4 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 12:01:34 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.987 | 4 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:21:21 | 0xe627…ab5f | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:21:21 | 0xaebe…da90 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:21:08 | 0xe627…ab5f | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:21:08 | 0x3647…6b53 | SELL | maker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:16:55 | 0x44a0…1083 | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:16:55 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:16:43 | 0x44a0…1083 | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:16:43 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 5 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:15:47 | 0xc510…0363 | BUY | taker | 0.018 | 56 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:15:47 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 56 | $55 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:12:08 | 0x5a6b…b682 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:12:08 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:10:34 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:10:34 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:00:26 | 0x24c3…0d7f | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:00:26 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:00:01 | 0x24c3…0d7f | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:00:01 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 5 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:46 | 0x06a8…dc79 | SELL | taker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:46 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.982 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:42 | 0xa559…5175 | SELL | taker | 0.012 | 299 | $4 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:42 | 0x2b15…e84d | SELL | maker | 0.988 | 204 | $201 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:42 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 95 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:42 | 0x06a8…dc79 | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:42 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 5 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:08 | 0xa559…5175 | BUY | taker | 0.018 | 305 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:08 | 0x2b15…e84d | BUY | maker | 0.981 | 125 | $123 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:08 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 100 | $98 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:34:08 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 80 | $78 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:20:31 | 0x441e…c6af | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:20:31 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:20:20 | 0x441e…c6af | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:20:20 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 5 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:15:06 | 0x7980…549f | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:15:06 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:14:49 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:14:49 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:12:48 | 0x90d3…b088 | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:12:48 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:12:24 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:12:24 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:10:43 | 0xb238…1ef2 | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:10:43 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:10:28 | 0x50a8…23eb | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:10:28 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.013 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:08:38 | 0xcf68…1d6c | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:08:38 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:08:00 | 0x4ca6…2c65 | SELL | taker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:08:00 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.983 | 5 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-12 10:07:55 | 0x4ca6…2c65 | BUY | taker | 0.987 | 5 | $5 |