2 (50 bps)
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Volume, 24h
$1,461
Total volume
$595,190
Trades, 24h
16
Traders, 24h
13
Last price
0.002
Created
2026-03-02
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 5924836629… |
| No | — | 3578337889… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 19:31:01 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.001 | 27,780 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.002 | 1,703 |
| 0.003 | 3,068 |
| 0.007 | 283 |
| 0.010 | 20 |
| 0.011 | 101 |
| 0.020 | 102 |
| 0.030 | 800 |
| 0.037 | 100 |
| 0.040 | 312 |
| 0.042 | 1 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 17:18:01 | 0xee4b…2d14 | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 102 | $102 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:18:01 | 0x602e…a832 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 18 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 17:18:01 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 84 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:01:19 | 0x1479…5b72 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 140 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 16:01:19 | 0x48ad…ae33 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 140 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:26:08 | 0xc510…0363 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:26:08 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:26:00 | 0xc510…0363 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:26:00 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:57 | 0xc510…0363 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:57 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:49 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:49 | 0x48ad…ae33 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:46 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 202 | $202 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:46 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 202 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:46 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:46 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 101 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:44 | 0xc510…0363 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:44 | 0xeec3…2c2c | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 113 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:44 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 202 | $202 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:44 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-12 11:25:44 | 0x48ad…ae33 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 84 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:59:07 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 10 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 06:59:07 | 0x48ad…ae33 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 10 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-12 03:58:13 | 0xb403…8b60 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-12 03:58:13 | 0x48ad…ae33 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 500 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:50 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.997 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:50 | 0x7a44…0a15 | SELL | maker | 0.003 | 57 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:49 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:49 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:47 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:47 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:46 | 0x5560…7611 | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 824 | $822 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:46 | 0x7a44…0a15 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 824 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:46 | 0x5560…7611 | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-11 20:43:46 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 57 | $57 | |
| 2026-11-10 21:51:34 | 0x5560…7611 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 569 | $568 | |
| 2026-11-10 21:51:34 | 0x48ad…ae33 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 569 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 21:51:34 | 0x5560…7611 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 313 | $313 | |
| 2026-11-10 21:51:34 | 0x602e…a832 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 313 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:55 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:55 | 0x602e…a832 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:52 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.993 | 22 | $22 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:52 | 0xc872…0bc4 | SELL | maker | 0.007 | 22 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:51 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:51 | 0x602e…a832 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:51 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:51 | 0x602e…a832 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:49 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.993 | 79 | $79 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:49 | 0xc872…0bc4 | SELL | maker | 0.007 | 79 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:48 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.995 | 103 | $103 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:48 | 0xc872…0bc4 | SELL | maker | 0.007 | 18 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:48 | 0xc257…6b0c | BUY | maker | 0.996 | 85 | $85 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:48 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.996 | 22 | $22 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:48 | 0xc257…6b0c | BUY | maker | 0.996 | 22 | $22 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:47 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:47 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0xeec3…2c2c | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 3,679 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0x7a99…4df8 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 1,000 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0x5a99…261b | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0x48ad…ae33 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 2,578 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0xeec3…2c2c | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 3,299 | $7 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 103 | $103 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0x4fa6…15cb | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 3,095 | $3,089 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0xeec3…2c2c | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 22 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-10 20:38:46 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 22 | $22 | |
| 2026-11-09 08:54:44 | 0x8eab…30ed | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 785 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 08:54:44 | 0x602e…a832 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 686 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 08:54:44 | 0x7a44…0a15 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 99 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:48:29 | 0x5a99…261b | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 901 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:48:29 | 0x7a44…0a15 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 901 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:37:43 | 0xfa84…5314 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 4,542 | $5 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:37:43 | 0xda48…1eaa | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 800 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:37:43 | 0x7a99…4df8 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1,000 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:37:43 | 0x5a99…261b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1,001 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:37:43 | 0x0fc7…9227 | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1,000 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:37:43 | 0xd83c…213a | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 741 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:41 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:41 | 0xd83c…213a | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:39 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.997 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:39 | 0x8eab…30ed | SELL | maker | 0.003 | 101 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0x48ad…ae33 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 1,128 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0xd715…63c3 | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 200 | $200 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0x5a99…261b | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0x1714…7a93 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 827 | $2 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0x48ad…ae33 | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 1,502 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.998 | 101 | $101 | |
| 2026-11-09 00:27:37 | 0x602e…a832 | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 1,402 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-08 23:43:52 | 0xcb8f…cedd | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 25 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-08 23:43:52 | 0xd83c…213a | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 25 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-08 21:26:45 | 0xf915…8369 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 47 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-08 21:26:45 | 0xd83c…213a | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 47 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-08 21:26:15 | 0xf915…8369 | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 187 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-08 21:26:15 | 0xd83c…213a | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 187 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-08 00:46:58 | 0x8eab…30ed | SELL | taker | 0.002 | 600 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-08 00:46:58 | 0x602e…a832 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 600 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-07 20:16:32 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.002 | 36 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-07 20:16:32 | 0x8eab…30ed | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 36 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-07 16:43:45 | 0x237c…52fc | SELL | taker | 0.002 | 490 | $1 |