10 (250 bps)
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Volume, 24h
$0
Total volume
$2,201,988
Trades, 24h
0
Traders, 24h
0
Last price
0.001
Created
2026-03-02
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 4358011066… |
| No | — | 8050376446… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 15:42:02 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| none | |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.001 | 8,236 |
| 0.002 | 1,004 |
| 0.010 | 100 |
| 0.030 | 23,667 |
| 0.899 | 187 |
| 0.900 | 500 |
| 0.966 | 10,000 |
| 0.968 | 400 |
| 0.970 | 200 |
| 0.978 | 1,000 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 15:39:03 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:39:03 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:35 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 891 | $890 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:35 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 891 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:35 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:27 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 667 | $666 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:27 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 667 | $666 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:24 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 223 | $223 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:24 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 223 | $223 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:14 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:14 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 890 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:09 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:37:09 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:36:54 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:36:54 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 890 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:36:54 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:36:49 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:36:49 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:35:28 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:35:28 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 890 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:35:19 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:35:19 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:32 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:32 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 890 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:32 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:27 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:27 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | SELL | maker | 0.998 | 890 | $888 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:19 | 0xa4b9…64e6 | BUY | taker | 0.999 | 890 | $889 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:33:19 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 890 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:32:29 | 0x40d9…f82b | BUY | taker | 0.002 | 135 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:32:29 | 0x5e5a…a82a | SELL | maker | 0.002 | 135 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:32:22 | 0x40d9…f82b | SELL | taker | 0.001 | 1,007 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:32:22 | 0x95b7…8658 | SELL | maker | 0.999 | 6 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:32:22 | 0x5e5a…a82a | BUY | maker | 0.001 | 1,001 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:35 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 140 | $140 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:35 | 0x5e5a…a82a | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 140 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:27 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.003 | 376 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:27 | 0x5e5a…a82a | SELL | maker | 0.003 | 370 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:27 | 0x95b7…8658 | BUY | maker | 0.997 | 6 | $6 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:15 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:15 | 0x95b7…8658 | BUY | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:15 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:10 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:10 | 0x5e5a…a82a | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:06 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.003 | 508 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:06 | 0x5e5a…a82a | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 38 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:06 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 148 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:28:06 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:59 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:59 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:55 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:55 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:46 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:46 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:27:46 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:35 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:35 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:28 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:28 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:22 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:22 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:17 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:17 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:17 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:13 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:13 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:06 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:26:06 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:59 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:59 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:51 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:51 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:51 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:46 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:46 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:38 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:38 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:31 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 138 | $138 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:25:31 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 138 | $138 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:49 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 184 | $183 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:49 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 184 | $183 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:39 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:39 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:39 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:35 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:35 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:29 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:29 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:25 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:25 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:18 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:18 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:18 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:15 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:15 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:07 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:24:07 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | maker | 0.002 | 322 | $1 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:23:50 | 0xd75d…12a8 | BUY | taker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:23:50 | 0xea5c…7803 | SELL | maker | 0.997 | 322 | $321 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:23:44 | 0xea5c…7803 | BUY | taker | 0.998 | 322 | $321 |