1
REGISTERED
neg-risk
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Volume, 24h
$0
Total volume
$2,503
Trades, 24h
0
Traders, 24h
0
Last price
0.881
Created
2026-07-27
where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record
Outcomes
| Outcome | Status | Token id |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 4581699746… |
| No | — | 9523000055… |
Order book
as of 2026-11-12 15:13:05 UTC| Bids: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.900 | 200 |
| 0.880 | 1,000 |
| 0.879 | 780 |
| 0.852 | 200 |
| 0.071 | 267 |
| 0.070 | 13 |
| 0.068 | 300 |
| 0.020 | 100 |
| 0.002 | 29,697 |
| Asks: price | Shares |
|---|---|
| 0.948 | 100 |
| 0.949 | 18 |
| 0.989 | 1,602 |
| 0.990 | 300 |
| 0.999 | 29,745 |
Latest trades
newest first · one row per fill, the maker's side| Time (UTC) | Wallet | Side | Role | Price | Shares | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 15:18:00 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.881 | 3 | $3 | |
| 2026-11-11 15:18:00 | 0x892c…cc3d | BUY | maker | 0.881 | 3 | $3 | |
| 2026-10-30 01:08:08 | 0xa734…dc5a | SELL | taker | 0.071 | 52 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-30 01:08:08 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.071 | 52 | $4 | |
| 2026-10-28 10:20:58 | 0x16b0…bc82 | SELL | taker | 0.130 | 448 | $58 | |
| 2026-10-28 10:20:58 | 0x61bd…2b00 | BUY | maker | 0.130 | 448 | $58 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:31:25 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.143 | 103 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:31:25 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.143 | 69 | $10 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:31:25 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.144 | 34 | $5 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:26:21 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.144 | 101 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-23 06:26:21 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.144 | 101 | $15 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:20 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.854 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:20 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | maker | 0.146 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:13 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | taker | 0.854 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:26:13 | 0xf46a…7eaf | SELL | maker | 0.146 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:51 | 0xc1b8…d301 | BUY | taker | 0.837 | 227 | $190 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:51 | 0xf46a…7eaf | BUY | maker | 0.163 | 103 | $17 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:51 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.163 | 124 | $20 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:51 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.164 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:51 | 0xc1b8…d301 | BUY | taker | 0.837 | 101 | $85 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:51 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.163 | 101 | $16 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:38 | 0xc1b8…d301 | BUY | taker | 0.836 | 124 | $104 | |
| 2026-10-23 04:25:38 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.164 | 124 | $20 | |
| 2026-10-22 09:56:02 | 0x6972…d385 | BUY | taker | 0.780 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-22 09:56:02 | 0x8556…434d | SELL | maker | 0.780 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-21 12:37:12 | 0x10d9…3864 | BUY | taker | 0.773 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-21 12:37:12 | 0x8556…434d | SELL | maker | 0.773 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-16 07:20:26 | 0x234f…ee31 | SELL | taker | 0.269 | 98 | $26 | |
| 2026-10-16 07:20:26 | 0x16b0…bc82 | SELL | maker | 0.731 | 98 | $72 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:01:25 | 0x234f…ee31 | BUY | taker | 0.264 | 100 | $26 | |
| 2026-10-16 03:01:25 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.736 | 100 | $74 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:44:09 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.654 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:44:09 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.654 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:43:06 | 0xc7d5…bb04 | SELL | taker | 0.654 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-12 11:43:06 | 0x16b0…bc82 | BUY | maker | 0.654 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-09 14:19:30 | 0x7f74…043c | SELL | taker | 0.406 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-09 14:19:30 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.406 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-10-06 21:38:39 | 0xb099…c941 | SELL | taker | 0.341 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-10-06 21:38:39 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.341 | 20 | $7 | |
| 2026-09-28 08:15:16 | 0x374b…17df | SELL | taker | 0.294 | 3 | $1 | |
| 2026-09-28 08:15:16 | 0x17d8…4482 | BUY | maker | 0.294 | 3 | $1 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:43:51 | 0xf479…aa57 | SELL | taker | 0.245 | 2 | $0 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:43:51 | 0x8556…434d | SELL | maker | 0.773 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:43:51 | 0x24bd…b6bb | SELL | maker | 0.651 | 0 | $0 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:43:40 | 0xd31e…50c3 | SELL | taker | 0.349 | 14 | $5 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:43:40 | 0x24bd…b6bb | SELL | maker | 0.651 | 14 | $9 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:42:45 | 0xf479…aa57 | SELL | taker | 0.381 | 12 | $5 | |
| 2026-09-27 08:42:45 | 0x660c…5775 | SELL | maker | 0.619 | 12 | $8 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:46 | 0x660c…5775 | SELL | taker | 0.686 | 14 | $10 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:46 | 0x24bd…b6bb | BUY | maker | 0.686 | 14 | $10 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:43 | 0xf479…aa57 | BUY | taker | 0.309 | 14 | $4 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:43 | 0x660c…5775 | BUY | maker | 0.688 | 12 | $9 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:43 | 0x8556…434d | BUY | maker | 0.712 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:43 | 0xd31e…50c3 | BUY | taker | 0.312 | 14 | $5 | |
| 2026-09-27 07:13:43 | 0x660c…5775 | BUY | maker | 0.688 | 14 | $10 | |
| 2026-09-11 16:36:32 | 0x4043…a32f | SELL | taker | 0.699 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-09-11 16:36:32 | 0xd83c…213a | SELL | maker | 0.301 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-09-06 20:43:40 | 0x4043…a32f | BUY | taker | 0.743 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-09-06 20:43:40 | 0x8556…434d | BUY | maker | 0.257 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-09-06 10:47:32 | 0xcd49…f70c | SELL | taker | 0.739 | 97 | $72 | |
| 2026-09-06 10:47:32 | 0x8556…434d | BUY | maker | 0.739 | 97 | $72 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:42 | 0x1932…a11a | SELL | taker | 0.740 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:42 | 0x8556…434d | SELL | maker | 0.260 | 8 | $2 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:40 | 0x4a6a…7fde | SELL | taker | 0.755 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:40 | 0x1932…a11a | BUY | maker | 0.755 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:32 | 0x38da…1579 | SELL | taker | 0.756 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:32 | 0x4a6a…7fde | BUY | maker | 0.756 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:27 | 0xaefc…f85d | SELL | taker | 0.756 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:27 | 0x38da…1579 | BUY | maker | 0.756 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:26 | 0x36ae…4246 | SELL | taker | 0.756 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:26 | 0xaefc…f85d | BUY | maker | 0.756 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:24 | 0x8a7c…d7e1 | SELL | taker | 0.757 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-04 02:05:24 | 0x36ae…4246 | BUY | maker | 0.757 | 8 | $6 | |
| 2026-09-02 06:26:49 | 0xcaf2…921d | SELL | taker | 0.760 | 10 | $8 | |
| 2026-09-02 06:26:49 | 0xa734…dc5a | BUY | maker | 0.760 | 10 | $8 | |
| 2026-09-01 23:17:03 | 0xcaf2…921d | BUY | taker | 0.772 | 10 | $8 | |
| 2026-09-01 23:17:03 | 0x8a7c…d7e1 | SELL | maker | 0.772 | 10 | $8 | |
| 2026-09-01 12:00:17 | 0xb099…c941 | BUY | taker | 0.244 | 20 | $5 | |
| 2026-09-01 12:00:17 | 0x8a7c…d7e1 | BUY | maker | 0.756 | 20 | $15 | |
| 2026-08-26 10:12:00 | 0xd14c…a660 | SELL | taker | 0.738 | 99 | $73 | |
| 2026-08-26 10:12:00 | 0xa734…dc5a | BUY | maker | 0.738 | 99 | $73 | |
| 2026-08-26 08:54:20 | 0xd14c…a660 | BUY | taker | 0.710 | 100 | $71 | |
| 2026-08-26 08:54:20 | 0x8556…434d | BUY | maker | 0.290 | 100 | $29 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:18 | 0x3e38…a542 | SELL | taker | 0.701 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:18 | 0xd83c…213a | SELL | maker | 0.299 | 24 | $7 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:16 | 0x4d30…6ca1 | SELL | taker | 0.713 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:16 | 0x3e38…a542 | BUY | maker | 0.713 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:15 | 0xeb5b…a7bf | SELL | taker | 0.713 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:15 | 0x4d30…6ca1 | BUY | maker | 0.713 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:14 | 0x604e…24a7 | SELL | taker | 0.713 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:14 | 0xeb5b…a7bf | BUY | maker | 0.713 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:12 | 0xdf01…0915 | SELL | taker | 0.714 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:12 | 0x604e…24a7 | BUY | maker | 0.714 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:03 | 0x892c…cc3d | SELL | taker | 0.717 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 22:22:03 | 0xdf01…0915 | BUY | maker | 0.717 | 24 | $17 | |
| 2026-08-23 08:11:18 | 0x1c64…057f | BUY | taker | 0.750 | 1 | $1 | |
| 2026-08-23 08:11:18 | 0xa734…dc5a | BUY | maker | 0.250 | 1 | $0 | |
| 2026-08-23 01:50:54 | 0xeb5b…a7bf | SELL | taker | 0.720 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-08-23 01:50:54 | 0xa734…dc5a | BUY | maker | 0.720 | 2 | $1 | |
| 2026-08-22 19:42:30 | 0x892c…cc3d | SELL | taker | 0.722 | 122 | $88 |