Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$265
$1,036 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$354
Latest YES mid
91¢
Latest NO mid
9¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 03:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $202 | $13 | +$189 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $125 | $4 | +$121 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $16 | $3 | +$13 |
| Median | 3 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| Below median | 5 | $32 | $6 | +$27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | $3 | +$9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +81 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 05-13 22:17 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +55 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-13 06:11 |
| Wobbly-Sustenance 0xf1c1…1beb | No | +39 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 01:31 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | +38 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 03:40 |
| Squiggly-Marriage 0x2768…92d1 | Yes | +36 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-13 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 02:16 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 22:49 |
| Sniveling-Mariachi-Noodles 0xe115…ac4e | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:20 |
| Cool-Posterior 0x5c38…f194 | No | +19 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-13 11:08 |
| Stupendous-Scarf 0x40ea…6523 | Yes | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 04:44 |
| Thin-Gratitude 0x1fc4…7ae7 | Yes | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 21:36 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 03:41 |
| Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 01:31 |
| Strong-Peertopeer-Drawing 0xffc5…67a5 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 04:26 |
| Chubby-Viability 0x443e…12e1 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xde94…6d0f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:44 |
| Dependable-Thread 0xae3f…e225 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 03:45:55 | Distant-Waterskiing-Box 0x0786…df1d | No | SELL | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd04cf4… |
| 05-14 03:41:04 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf58e3d… |
| 05-14 03:40:57 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x548c53… |
| 05-14 03:34:01 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | No | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xc89c86… |
| 05-14 02:20:45 | Sniveling-Mariachi-Noodles 0xe115…ac4e | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd179f2… |
| 05-14 02:16:15 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x99e5f1… |
| 05-14 01:31:54 | Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7a4369… |
| 05-14 01:31:54 | Wobbly-Sustenance 0xf1c1…1beb | No | BUY | 39 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x6122ec… |
| 05-13 23:54:44 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdaa896… |
| 05-13 22:49:47 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xd8a680… |
| 05-13 22:49:47 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xa1c722… |
| 05-13 22:49:47 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe4aaf1… |
| 05-13 22:49:47 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x738979… |
| 05-13 22:49:47 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x283744… |
| 05-13 22:49:47 | Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x491c43… |
| 05-13 22:17:18 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfb365b… |
| 05-13 21:46:59 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 55 | 93¢ | $51 | 0x792d41… |
| 05-13 21:43:21 | Chubby-Viability 0x443e…12e1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1e7a54… |
| 05-13 21:39:16 | Dependable-Thread 0xae3f…e225 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x167071… |
| 05-13 21:39:05 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xb65fe5… |
| 05-13 21:36:50 | Thin-Gratitude 0x1fc4…7ae7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x24568e… |
| 05-13 11:08:14 | Cool-Posterior 0x5c38…f194 | No | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe2c7d4… |
| 05-13 11:08:14 | Cool-Posterior 0x5c38…f194 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf981c8… |
| 05-13 11:08:14 | Cool-Posterior 0x5c38…f194 | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x30442f… |
| 05-13 06:11:12 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $25 | 0xe1b7c1… |
| 05-13 05:34:17 | Squiggly-Marriage 0x2768…92d1 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 91¢ | $32 | 0xd84cd7… |
| 05-13 05:32:55 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x274618… |
| 05-13 04:44:26 | Stupendous-Scarf 0x40ea…6523 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 69¢ | $11 | 0x4ec58f… |
| 05-13 04:44:26 | (anonymous) 0xde94…6d0f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x33833a… |
| 05-13 04:26:16 | Strong-Peertopeer-Drawing 0xffc5…67a5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x70ab51… |