Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,006
$405 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,160
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 10:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $319 | $319 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $2 | $646 | $644 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $280 | $280 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $47 | $47 |
| Median | 7 | — | $610 | $610 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $26 | $26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other-Clover 0xdf71…b1d2 | No | +597 | $597 | $597 | 1 | 05-15 10:06 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 10:06 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | +272 | $271 | $271 | 1 | 05-15 09:56 |
| Unruly-Heaven 0x19c6…e66c | Yes | +59 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:35 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +38 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…25b5 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x825f…f123 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 09:56 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 14:58 |
| Crowded-Geography 0x695c…1a9e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 21:40 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 15:19 |
| Agreeable-Surge 0x0c55…7c92 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-15 08:49 |
| Illiterate-Charm 0xffca…4121 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 08:49 |
| Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 09:56 |
| Kind-Front 0x96c5…d29c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:19 |
| Attentive-Slapstick 0xf758…e5a7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 10:15:08 | Unwitting-Lid 0x200e…7d37 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x041b6d… |
| 05-15 10:10:02 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf7886b… |
| 05-15 10:07:01 | Unwitting-Lid 0x200e…7d37 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2f8945… |
| 05-15 10:06:53 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x42c6a9… |
| 05-15 10:06:51 | (anonymous) 0x60be…1b99 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x74dce3… |
| 05-15 10:06:49 | Other-Clover 0xdf71…b1d2 | No | BUY | 597 | 100¢ | $597 | 0x781beb… |
| 05-15 09:56:58 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf3b27c… |
| 05-15 09:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x825f…f123 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe86319… |
| 05-15 09:56:16 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | BUY | 272 | 100¢ | $271 | 0x092e9d… |
| 05-15 09:35:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x120d1e… |
| 05-15 09:30:57 | Attentive-Slapstick 0xf758…e5a7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x81201c… |
| 05-15 08:49:53 | Agreeable-Surge 0x0c55…7c92 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x3f876f… |
| 05-15 08:49:35 | Agreeable-Surge 0x0c55…7c92 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x2e0e69… |
| 05-15 08:49:33 | Illiterate-Charm 0xffca…4121 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9d5597… |
| 05-15 08:24:49 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x21fd4d… |
| 05-15 08:19:10 | Kind-Front 0x96c5…d29c | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5bfaf0… |
| 05-15 08:04:49 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7d0090… |
| 05-15 00:42:48 | (anonymous) 0x94da…25b5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x345f22… |
| 05-15 00:25:05 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0xf4d212… |
| 05-14 21:40:06 | Crowded-Geography 0x695c…1a9e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0340bb… |
| 05-14 20:35:05 | Unruly-Heaven 0x19c6…e66c | Yes | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xecbf65… |
| 05-14 15:19:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2b78f… |
| 05-14 15:19:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc7255e… |
| 05-14 14:58:47 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x82d607… |
| 05-14 07:33:42 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa08fc5… |