Crowded-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$374

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

248

Trades

899

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-16 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

70% 68% -$247

Crypto

27% 57% -$122

Politics

3% 29% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 18corhigher	19	$227	174	189	-15	No	-$42	03-13 20:10
highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 17c	36	$186	177	192	-15	Yes	-$13	03-13 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	5	$126	64	64	+0	No	+$2	05-13 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$105	106	0	+106	Down	+$1	05-15 13:09
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 13c	12	$103	67	42	+25	No	+$3	04-12 06:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 19c	18	$92	48	48	+0	No	+$1	04-06 13:07
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	13	$88	143	120	+24	No	-$15	03-19 20:15
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	23	$77	161	294	-133	No	-$54	03-18 19:38
highest temperature in wellington on february 25 2026 23corhigher	20	$64	76	61	+15	Yes	+$29	02-25 01:32
highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 20c	29	$64	97	76	+21	No	+$5	03-16 20:32
iran strike on israel by february 28	30	$62	821	322	+498	Yes	+$4	02-28 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:00 UTC	6	$59	35	35	+0	Down	+$6	03-22 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15?	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-15 10:56
bitcoin up or down february 18 12pm et	7	$55	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:30 UTC	4	$53	60	0	+60	Up	-$53	03-22 19:34
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 17c	2	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	04-21 17:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:10 UTC	4	$51	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	03-22 19:13
highest temperature in wellington on february 26 2026 22corhigher	19	$51	90	36	+53	No	-$28	02-25 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:25 UTC	3	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	03-22 19:29
highest temperature in atlanta on april 7 2026 70 71f	3	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-07 17:23
bitcoin up or down february 5 11am et	11	$47	41	41	+0	Up	+$6	02-05 17:11
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	$0	05-16 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	11	$42	46	46	+0	Yes	-$26	05-15 02:38
highest temperature in wellington on february 24 2026 22corhigher	5	$42	23	23	+0	No	+$4	02-24 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 13:50 UTC	4	$38	40	30	+10	Up	-$3	03-22 13:51
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 15c	15	$38	37	36	+1	Yes	+$2	04-12 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	7	$36	60	0	+60	No	-$36	05-13 12:26
highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 20c	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$3	03-12 20:30
highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 21c	10	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$23	03-17 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?	3	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$2	05-13 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc2bb1f…
05-16 04:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfd7ee7…
05-16 04:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x846adf…
05-16 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcaeb24…
05-16 04:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbdb1d6…
05-16 04:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x706ba8…
05-16 04:08:37	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x3f8f10…
05-16 04:08:30	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x02f0ed…
05-16 04:08:26	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xdb5d77…
05-16 04:08:21	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x32cafe…
05-16 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x703f58…
05-16 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x18e494…
05-16 03:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x16cbb0…
05-16 03:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbc783a…
05-16 03:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7ccd14…
05-16 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbeb5b3…
05-15 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x434566…
05-15 13:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x97e934…
05-15 13:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0def6a…
05-15 13:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2fe329…
05-15 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x174b21…
05-15 11:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7e9c46…
05-15 11:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1d4665…
05-15 10:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x34ddcb…
05-15 06:03:22	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xca2e2a…
05-15 06:00:37	Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0x359e91…
05-15 06:00:18	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x038d5b…
05-15 05:59:20	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0e36d7…
05-15 05:58:56	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3fe11a…
05-15 02:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xd3310c…
05-15 02:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x5da8ae…
05-15 02:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x8dc1ce…
05-15 02:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x331908…
05-15 02:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xbbe21f…
05-15 02:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x302047…
05-14 23:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xb98eda…
05-14 21:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8e6292…
05-14 21:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xeb12ad…
05-14 21:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x2bedec…
05-14 21:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc9bf69…
05-14 21:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8495d2…
05-14 21:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0340bb…
05-14 21:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecb042…
05-14 21:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6f6b8…
05-14 21:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf275da…
05-14 21:34:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x00541d…
05-14 06:53:26	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x341244…
05-14 06:52:51	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc8ee54…
05-14 06:51:13	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x84d8d2…
05-14 06:47:53	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf69d94…
05-14 06:47:01	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf11678…
05-14 06:46:29	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc01cbc…
05-13 23:56:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa299f5…
05-13 23:56:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb04750…
05-13 23:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee4a81…
05-13 23:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3459b3…
05-13 23:53:01	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x6c300a…
05-13 23:51:34	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x053b8f…
05-13 18:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xa473fd…
05-13 13:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0f18a2…
05-13 12:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc4a8d7…
05-13 12:51:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xa39151…
05-13 12:51:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x0a4f72…
05-13 12:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x982691…
05-13 12:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb9e445…
05-13 12:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf00945…
05-13 12:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xcd346d…
05-13 12:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2051a0…
05-13 12:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9d9539…
05-13 12:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x3f511d…
05-13 12:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x910495…
05-13 12:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x6bf848…
05-13 12:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xfd66aa…
05-13 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x115833…
05-13 10:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xb1db34…
05-10 09:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc276d…
05-10 09:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3281c…
05-10 09:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc4a352…
05-10 08:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x96c7f1…
04-29 12:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 29?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xf03944…
04-29 08:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9b1709…
04-29 06:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61e945…
04-29 06:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 29?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x8109bf…
04-25 22:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x04c550…
04-25 22:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x931709…
04-25 21:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe621db…
04-25 15:45:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3c7e1b…
04-25 10:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on April 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x21f148…
04-25 10:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa056cc…
04-25 10:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6b375f…
04-25 10:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa80285…
04-25 07:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 25?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa78dfd…
04-25 02:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x28a25f…
04-25 02:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe129c9…
04-25 02:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x154e7b…
04-22 17:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf80c82…
04-22 12:47:26	highest temperature in cape town on april 22 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xda76c7…
04-22 12:47:20	highest temperature in cape town on april 22 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x71a63a…
04-22 12:44:32	highest temperature in cape town on april 22 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x5f7ee0…
04-22 12:44:06	highest temperature in cape town on april 22 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xb38757…