Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$623
$877 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,514
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 20:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $2 | $549 | $546 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $66 | $66 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $58 | $58 |
| Median | 5 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $36 | $36 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $375 | $374 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | No | +377 | $375 | $375 | 1 | 05-09 20:59 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Grumpy-Haversack 0x9481…b947 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 07:45 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 20:54 |
| Organic-Click 0x5b7c…f811 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 05:23 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3ee…6866 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:32 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 20:36 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 20:21 |
| Similar-Annual-Aluminium 0xb838…f5d1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 20:59:54 | Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | No | BUY | 377 | 100¢ | $375 | 0x77dda4… |
| 05-09 20:54:38 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x7493d2… |
| 05-09 20:02:50 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd5dfa9… |
| 05-09 19:52:34 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd84822… |
| 05-09 19:32:26 | Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa39a73… |
| 05-09 19:22:59 | Similar-Annual-Aluminium 0xb838…f5d1 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x96be12… |
| 05-09 14:26:57 | Critical-Herring 0x3b82…b217 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd5a447… |
| 05-09 12:40:54 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x2d27e4… |
| 05-09 10:15:23 | (anonymous) 0xa3ee…6866 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xafd151… |
| 05-09 10:15:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0439f1… |
| 05-09 10:10:20 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x82d227… |
| 05-09 07:45:03 | Grumpy-Haversack 0x9481…b947 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xca4b09… |
| 05-09 07:24:35 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xc72809… |
| 05-08 20:36:40 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x39f1be… |
| 05-08 20:21:41 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xb50ebf… |
| 05-08 20:21:39 | (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x69903a… |
| 05-08 20:21:37 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xe0ceb0… |
| 05-08 20:21:37 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc3889e… |
| 05-08 20:21:36 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x46a544… |
| 05-08 20:21:36 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x67c81e… |
| 05-08 05:23:27 | Organic-Click 0x5b7c…f811 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe86820… |