Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$113
Trades
47
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-10-20
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-20 08:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.6¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $69
vs crowd: 31% YES on $113)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $14 | $41 | $27 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $16 | $23 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | $8 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $25 | $44 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $7 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $6 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Up | +33 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 10-20 08:03 |
| Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Down | +25 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-20 08:01 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +16 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 10-20 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +15 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-20 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +12 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-20 08:03 |
| Rural-Finer 0xd128…b232 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-20 08:03 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-20 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-20 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cf4…547e | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x126a…a461 | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x8727…c123 | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-20 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc19d…f9fa | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x25e3…5c09 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-20 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-20 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x126a…a461 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-20 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-20 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-20 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:03 |
| Beloved-Pick 0x75df…b411 | Down | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-20 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa943…149e | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fab…7c31 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 08:04 |
| Suburban-Mound 0xd53d…b0e3 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:03 |
| Frozen-Floozie 0xae25…61b9 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb98e…b3fc | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-20 08:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:04:19 | Beloved-Pick 0x75df…b411 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1abe78… |
| 10-20 08:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8727…c123 | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1abe78… |
| 10-20 08:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x6cf4…547e | Up | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x3f92c3… |
| 10-20 08:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x3f92c3… |
| 10-20 08:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x8727…c123 | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaba211… |
| 10-20 08:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x2fab…7c31 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xaba211… |
| 10-20 08:04:02 | (anonymous) 0x126a…a461 | Up | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x5a7faf… |
| 10-20 08:04:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x5a7faf… |
| 10-20 08:03:35 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa86f38… |
| 10-20 08:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xa86f38… |
| 10-20 08:03:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x7c8b56… |
| 10-20 08:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7c8b56… |
| 10-20 08:03:28 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6f9e54… |
| 10-20 08:03:28 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6f9e54… |
| 10-20 08:03:16 | Frozen-Floozie 0xae25…61b9 | Up | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x78d2b3… |
| 10-20 08:03:16 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Up | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x151c66… |
| 10-20 08:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x151c66… |
| 10-20 08:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x151c66… |
| 10-20 08:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x78d2b3… |
| 10-20 08:03:14 | Suburban-Mound 0xd53d…b0e3 | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xc12d22… |
| 10-20 08:03:14 | Rural-Finer 0xd128…b232 | Down | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xf6ac84… |
| 10-20 08:03:14 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Up | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf6ac84… |
| 10-20 08:03:14 | Rural-Finer 0xd128…b232 | Down | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xc12d22… |
| 10-20 08:03:11 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xc907dd… |
| 10-20 08:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x126a…a461 | Down | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xc907dd… |
| 10-20 08:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x25e3…5c09 | Down | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xf8d232… |
| 10-20 08:02:58 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf8d232… |
| 10-20 08:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x499c83… |
| 10-20 08:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xb98e…b3fc | Down | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x499c83… |
| 10-20 08:02:17 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Up | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x97c8e7… |
| 10-20 08:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x97c8e7… |
| 10-20 08:02:17 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x97c8e7… |
| 10-20 08:01:23 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xab7bd2… |
| 10-20 08:01:23 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xab7bd2… |
| 10-20 08:01:23 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Down | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0xab7bd2… |
| 10-20 08:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xab7bd2… |
| 10-20 08:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xd462ac… |
| 10-20 08:01:16 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Down | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xd462ac… |
| 10-20 08:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xd462ac… |
| 10-20 08:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x3239…4184 | Up | SELL | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x2f4549… |
| 10-20 08:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x2f4549… |
| 10-20 08:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xa943…149e | Down | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x9c573f… |
| 10-20 08:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x9c573f… |
| 10-20 08:00:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x0af8a3… |
| 10-20 08:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x0af8a3… |
| 10-20 08:00:01 | (anonymous) 0xc19d…f9fa | Up | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf273d8… |
| 10-20 08:00:01 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf273d8… |