Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 10?
open
Total volume
$3,102
$730 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,495
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 03:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $999 | $999 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $3 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $713 | $713 |
| Median | 4 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $110 | $108 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple-Shaker 0xa29d…3d7b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 03:43 |
| Energetic-Baseline 0x4658…4131 | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Vast-Moth 0x79e7…9c9d | No | +640 | $639 | $639 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Delectable-Firewall 0x38d7…a061 | No | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | +499 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-09 21:09 |
| Feline-Differential 0xce4e…1747 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Insignificant-Blowhole 0xcdb2…0c7a | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Repentant-Compulsion 0x9208…193d | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-08 04:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f19…db92 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 19:27 |
| Qualified-Caddy 0xf229…3058 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 04:34 |
| Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-09 19:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:43:54 | Simple-Shaker 0xa29d…3d7b | Yes | BUY | 405 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xede688… |
| 05-10 03:43:52 | Simple-Shaker 0xa29d…3d7b | Yes | BUY | 595 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x855350… |
| 05-10 02:21:04 | Pointless-Consignment 0x8bed…e6d2 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf15018… |
| 05-10 01:05:50 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | BUY | 499 | 100¢ | $498 | 0x572b88… |
| 05-10 01:05:49 | Energetic-Baseline 0x4658…4131 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xd0fe7f… |
| 05-10 01:05:38 | Insignificant-Blowhole 0xcdb2…0c7a | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb040a2… |
| 05-10 01:05:38 | Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x5ce563… |
| 05-10 01:05:36 | Vast-Moth 0x79e7…9c9d | No | BUY | 640 | 100¢ | $639 | 0xdf2fe9… |
| 05-10 01:05:36 | Delectable-Firewall 0x38d7…a061 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xe6a353… |
| 05-10 00:09:17 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa058d8… |
| 05-09 21:09:20 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x97eb84… |
| 05-09 19:42:30 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9be569… |
| 05-09 19:42:30 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe891d4… |
| 05-09 19:42:02 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x21e65a… |
| 05-09 19:42:02 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x55e418… |
| 05-09 19:42:00 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd6f423… |
| 05-09 19:33:24 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2263be… |
| 05-09 19:33:24 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x32b46d… |
| 05-09 19:32:54 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x03762c… |
| 05-09 19:32:54 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5e1ab3… |
| 05-09 19:31:51 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xb7adf6… |
| 05-09 19:31:51 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 81 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7f494f… |
| 05-09 19:31:51 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa864d7… |
| 05-09 19:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x09e6…df77 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x117560… |
| 05-09 19:27:02 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x7a1bf8… |
| 05-09 19:23:20 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa695e9… |
| 05-09 19:23:18 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xce996c… |
| 05-09 19:23:18 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7e7e23… |
| 05-09 19:23:15 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa80dd2… |
| 05-09 19:22:45 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9e0e5e… |
| 05-09 19:22:45 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xe4f25d… |
| 05-09 18:52:37 | Expert-Manager-Mankind 0x9578…650a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc624d2… |
| 05-09 18:52:34 | (anonymous) 0x87cc…c1b0 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5d8250… |
| 05-09 18:52:29 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | No | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xe7e112… |
| 05-09 18:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x4f19…db92 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x51b27a… |
| 05-09 18:52:22 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3d7b61… |
| 05-09 18:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x778bb8… |
| 05-09 18:52:22 | Qualified-Caddy 0xf229…3058 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xd57436… |
| 05-09 18:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x87cc…c1b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf9df41… |
| 05-09 18:52:18 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0xb58520… |
| 05-09 13:33:25 | Plastic-Panpipe 0x738a…5152 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd59225… |
| 05-09 08:44:54 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x071431… |
| 05-09 04:00:18 | Feline-Differential 0xce4e…1747 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x248de4… |
| 05-08 04:46:59 | Repentant-Compulsion 0x9208…193d | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xa37790… |
| 05-08 04:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a963a… |