Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
open
Total volume
$351
$1,147 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$17,174
Latest YES mid
29¢
Latest NO mid
71¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 22:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $12 | $11 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $37 | $188 | $151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $70 | $63 |
| Median | 6 | $22 | $22 | +$0 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $7 | $30 | $23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $67 | $65 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stunning-Stranger 0x7bbe…16a7 | No | +87 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-12 22:12 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +85 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 05-12 19:02 |
| Gentle-Cactus 0x6e63…a1cf | Yes | +65 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 17:57 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 22:46 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 20:21 |
| Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 18:31 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 21:38 |
| Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-12 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1736…688c | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf384…8e46 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 20:32 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| Acidic-Antennae 0xbd9a…dfa5 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 22:46:56 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0xcadc9d… |
| 05-12 22:37:56 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x894a34… |
| 05-12 22:36:07 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xf1ffd0… |
| 05-12 22:36:05 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xbc15cd… |
| 05-12 22:36:04 | (anonymous) 0xf384…8e46 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x119dfa… |
| 05-12 22:36:04 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x733fae… |
| 05-12 22:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x77d836… |
| 05-12 22:12:54 | Stunning-Stranger 0x7bbe…16a7 | No | BUY | 87 | 77¢ | $67 | 0x7f5937… |
| 05-12 22:01:44 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xa3e525… |
| 05-12 21:38:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x95fa14… |
| 05-12 21:22:53 | Acidic-Antennae 0xbd9a…dfa5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x18bba6… |
| 05-12 20:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xa54b57… |
| 05-12 20:36:43 | (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xa38351… |
| 05-12 20:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x1ad8a9… |
| 05-12 20:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9faff6… |
| 05-12 20:32:50 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 48 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x0dbc53… |
| 05-12 20:21:19 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xa31a36… |
| 05-12 19:51:27 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x0bb10d… |
| 05-12 19:02:28 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xd4479e… |
| 05-12 19:02:27 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 34 | 75¢ | $26 | 0x56dd9a… |
| 05-12 19:02:16 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 31 | 75¢ | $23 | 0xfee5ae… |
| 05-12 17:57:19 | Gentle-Cactus 0x6e63…a1cf | Yes | BUY | 65 | 31¢ | $20 | 0xd599c7… |
| 05-12 16:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x2936…acbb | No | SELL | 28 | 57¢ | $16 | 0x4ead38… |
| 05-12 16:47:19 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 45 | 56¢ | $25 | 0x3224c0… |
| 05-12 16:47:19 | Super-Something 0x4709…f6c2 | No | SELL | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x29c9a9… |
| 05-12 16:47:17 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 45 | 56¢ | $25 | 0xfaa93a… |
| 05-12 16:26:59 | (anonymous) 0x1736…688c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xcd4b52… |
| 05-12 15:03:17 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xcdd986… |
| 05-12 15:03:17 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x0d874e… |
| 05-12 15:03:17 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xd91c30… |
| 05-12 15:03:10 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xf721e8… |
| 05-12 15:03:01 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x93d297… |
| 05-12 07:36:21 | Victorious-Lawmaker 0x800f…b7ff | Yes | SELL | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x396d6d… |
| 05-11 23:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x2936…acbb | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x1c6161… |
| 05-11 18:31:06 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9ce2cd… |
| 05-11 17:39:11 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0xb9d6d2… |
| 05-11 16:12:35 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xd6f21a… |
| 05-11 14:32:08 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x246405… |
| 05-10 23:02:08 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xc1504f… |