Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$153
$1,128 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,436
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $50 | $97 | $47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $9 | $32 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| unranked | 2 | $13 | $5 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +54 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-11 21:20 |
| Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | +47 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 13:07 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +45 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 08:00 |
| Unkempt-Leopard 0x291d…8e36 | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | +25 | $16 | $26 | 10 | 05-12 22:36 |
| Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 00:23 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-11 22:08 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +13 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 00:23 |
| Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 19:41 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 10:07 |
| Bouncy-Piety 0x47cf…5732 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:02 |
| Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 12:07 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 15:38 |
| Elaborate-Psychiatrist 0xcbfc…0be4 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 17:11 |
| Squiggly-Domain 0x1b50…3ecf | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:56 |
| Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Jagged-Dignity 0x16d7…0500 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:16 |
| Fragrant-Tomato-Entrepreneur 0x945b…b561 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:37 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 17:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:41:25 | Jagged-Dignity 0x16d7…0500 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x4a9354… |
| 05-13 01:02:36 | Bouncy-Piety 0x47cf…5732 | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x552bcf… |
| 05-13 00:23:34 | Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | BUY | 24 | 59¢ | $14 | 0x5ff3bf… |
| 05-13 00:23:34 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x9d6523… |
| 05-13 00:05:50 | Unkempt-Leopard 0x291d…8e36 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0x284745… |
| 05-12 23:32:30 | Jagged-Dignity 0x16d7…0500 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x5ba937… |
| 05-12 22:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x280547… |
| 05-12 22:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xe9abdf… |
| 05-12 22:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x3074bd… |
| 05-12 21:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x7546c4… |
| 05-12 19:41:19 | Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | BUY | 12 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x394a66… |
| 05-12 19:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x312372… |
| 05-12 19:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x9bfc2a… |
| 05-12 19:16:20 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x810b02… |
| 05-12 19:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x602f2d… |
| 05-12 18:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x2668e8… |
| 05-12 18:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | SELL | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x375cc9… |
| 05-12 18:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x2a2f84… |
| 05-12 18:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x625601… |
| 05-12 17:37:25 | Fragrant-Tomato-Entrepreneur 0x945b…b561 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xaebf76… |
| 05-12 17:11:21 | Elaborate-Psychiatrist 0xcbfc…0be4 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xbdfbde… |
| 05-12 13:07:54 | Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | BUY | 47 | 32¢ | $15 | 0x6d050c… |
| 05-12 12:07:38 | Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xd735ea… |
| 05-12 06:56:13 | Squiggly-Domain 0x1b50…3ecf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x13eea8… |
| 05-12 01:24:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xfd3d61… |
| 05-12 00:03:22 | Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xdc1ffb… |
| 05-11 22:08:55 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 23 | 76¢ | $18 | 0x5b6e9c… |
| 05-11 21:20:30 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5c79d3… |
| 05-11 17:11:50 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x2af061… |
| 05-11 15:38:23 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xdde1f0… |
| 05-11 15:26:57 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 19¢ | $9 | 0xb30b83… |
| 05-11 10:07:13 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x1ef4e9… |
| 05-11 08:00:08 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x8e2eed… |