Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$159
$691 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$754
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 23:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $95 | $53 | +$42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
| Median | 2 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| Below median | 6 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $9 | $5 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $8 | $34 | $26 |
| unranked | 2 | $13 | $1 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaricious-Subject 0xfba0…a083 | Yes | +100 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-08 04:08 |
| Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-08 23:26 |
| Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | +24 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-08 08:54 |
| Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | +21 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-08 20:26 |
| Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | +17 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 15:04 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +16 | $6 | $10 | 2 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 22:06 |
| Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 05:43 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Clear-Cut-Alfalfa 0x5599…4a71 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 11:19 |
| Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:25 |
| Some-Watcher 0x6abb…718f | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 08:49 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 15:04 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 11:59 |
| Accomplished-Essay 0x5235…43a8 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 05:49 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe086…ed2a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 05:34 |
| Key-Firm 0xfac6…a16e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 20:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 23:46:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc800e3… |
| 05-08 23:46:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ea9b… |
| 05-08 23:46:24 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x0a65ef… |
| 05-08 23:26:27 | Fatal-Plate 0xd3ce…618d | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x3891cf… |
| 05-08 23:01:15 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x713fce… |
| 05-08 22:31:14 | Heartfelt-Writing 0x5527…0f7e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc27e5d… |
| 05-08 22:06:41 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa6b1c7… |
| 05-08 20:26:17 | Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x33c264… |
| 05-08 19:48:29 | Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x7f2e7b… |
| 05-08 16:52:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x9d7137… |
| 05-08 15:16:40 | (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xfc73b6… |
| 05-08 15:16:34 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x8133d1… |
| 05-08 15:04:54 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xfc3963… |
| 05-08 15:04:51 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 42¢ | $7 | 0x56b443… |
| 05-08 11:59:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x957b3e… |
| 05-08 11:19:43 | Clear-Cut-Alfalfa 0x5599…4a71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x660bee… |
| 05-08 09:09:49 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x0c5a09… |
| 05-08 08:54:46 | Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | BUY | 24 | 38¢ | $9 | 0x860243… |
| 05-08 08:49:29 | Some-Watcher 0x6abb…718f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x99c4e9… |
| 05-08 07:25:36 | Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xe515a4… |
| 05-08 07:09:35 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x52a176… |
| 05-08 05:49:51 | Accomplished-Essay 0x5235…43a8 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xfcfca0… |
| 05-08 05:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 49¢ | $6 | 0xad9fe7… |
| 05-08 05:34:35 | (anonymous) 0xe086…ed2a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xb8dcea… |
| 05-08 04:08:59 | Avaricious-Subject 0xfba0…a083 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x4e2ca1… |
| 05-07 22:56:19 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xe4d5be… |
| 05-07 20:35:32 | Key-Firm 0xfac6…a16e | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x29b6ef… |
| 05-07 00:17:28 | Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $9 | 0x5e4703… |