XRP Up or Down - October 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$602
Trades
77
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
88¢
Latest NO mid
12¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-04 11:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 96% YES on $559
vs crowd: 95% YES on $605)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $537 | $22 | +$514 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $12 | $8 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $2 | $0 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 15 | $537 | $22 | +$514 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Median | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Below median | 6 | $9 | $5 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +435 | $428 | $428 | 8 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | +300 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 10-04 11:53 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +110 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | +57 | $11 | $11 | 13 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | +30 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | +26 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Down | +25 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-04 11:53 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | +21 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x44f1…b8a9 | Down | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +19 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-04 11:52 |
| Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Up | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-04 11:52 |
| Pesky-Marsh 0xa5e1…24ac | Up | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-04 11:53 |
| Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-04 11:53 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f5e…0610 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x11a5…5868 | Down | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| Fancy-Quartet 0x7c9a…587e | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a8b…4b22 | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb02…45be | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb02…45be | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a9…2a1f | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| Youthful-Keeper 0x279b…f340 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 11:52 |
| Similar-Propane 0xe83a…8355 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8df…b365 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-04 11:50 |
| Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xab7e…21de | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x035f…a1bc | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 11:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:53:35 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9388b8… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x44f1…b8a9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2e90… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x3d2e90… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x261dff… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1126ce… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1126ce… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x261dff… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2e90… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Down | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x261dff… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x59a9…2a1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1126ce… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x261dff… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x9388b8… |
| 10-04 11:53:35 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Down | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2e90… |
| 10-04 11:53:34 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0xf64a55… |
| 10-04 11:53:34 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9fa34e… |
| 10-04 11:53:34 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf64a55… |
| 10-04 11:53:34 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9fa34e… |
| 10-04 11:53:25 | Pesky-Marsh 0xa5e1…24ac | Up | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x6a9562… |
| 10-04 11:53:25 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6a9562… |
| 10-04 11:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6a9562… |
| 10-04 11:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 242 | 98¢ | $237 | 0x5b1d20… |
| 10-04 11:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 242 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x5b1d20… |
| 10-04 11:53:23 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xb76271… |
| 10-04 11:53:23 | Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Down | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb76271… |
| 10-04 11:53:22 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x9f0de5… |
| 10-04 11:53:22 | Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Down | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9f0de5… |
| 10-04 11:53:13 | Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Down | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1184ab… |
| 10-04 11:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x035f…a1bc | Up | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1184ab… |
| 10-04 11:53:02 | Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Down | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xec5a3f… |
| 10-04 11:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x2a8b…4b22 | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xec5a3f… |
| 10-04 11:53:02 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xec5a3f… |
| 10-04 11:53:01 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…21de | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe1d8bc… |
| 10-04 11:53:01 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe1d8bc… |
| 10-04 11:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe4b29b… |
| 10-04 11:52:53 | Fancy-Quartet 0x7c9a…587e | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdb6584… |
| 10-04 11:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xe4b29b… |
| 10-04 11:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdb6584… |
| 10-04 11:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xe4b29b… |
| 10-04 11:52:50 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x14f6c4… |
| 10-04 11:52:50 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc4c98e… |
| 10-04 11:52:50 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc4c98e… |
| 10-04 11:52:50 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14f6c4… |
| 10-04 11:52:44 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x53f451… |
| 10-04 11:52:44 | Youthful-Keeper 0x279b…f340 | Up | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x53f451… |
| 10-04 11:52:35 | Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Up | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x5ddab5… |
| 10-04 11:52:35 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5ddab5… |
| 10-04 11:52:34 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9e0240… |
| 10-04 11:52:34 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x9e0240… |
| 10-04 11:52:17 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x1158a4… |
| 10-04 11:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x1158a4… |
| 10-04 11:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe2e7d1… |
| 10-04 11:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe2e7d1… |
| 10-04 11:52:14 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xe2e7d1… |
| 10-04 11:52:13 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x663580… |
| 10-04 11:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x663580… |
| 10-04 11:52:01 | Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Up | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x9fdf47… |
| 10-04 11:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x9fdf47… |
| 10-04 11:51:59 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6a6c2b… |
| 10-04 11:51:59 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x6a6c2b… |
| 10-04 11:50:58 | (anonymous) 0xbb02…45be | Up | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x2f3743… |
| 10-04 11:50:58 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2f3743… |
| 10-04 11:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x39ffbe… |
| 10-04 11:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x8f5e…0610 | Up | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x39ffbe… |
| 10-04 11:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x39ffbe… |
| 10-04 11:50:35 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xf0e5d8… |
| 10-04 11:50:35 | (anonymous) 0xe8df…b365 | Up | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xf0e5d8… |
| 10-04 11:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x5747…8b6e | Down | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf06257… |
| 10-04 11:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x5534a5… |
| 10-04 11:50:32 | (anonymous) 0xbb02…45be | Down | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x5534a5… |
| 10-04 11:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf06257… |
| 10-04 11:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xac8362… |
| 10-04 11:50:25 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xac8362… |
| 10-04 11:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xac8362… |
| 10-04 11:50:23 | Similar-Propane 0xe83a…8355 | Up | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x116d99… |
| 10-04 11:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a | Down | BUY | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x116d99… |
| 10-04 11:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x11a5…5868 | Down | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xdc96fe… |
| 10-04 11:50:07 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xdc96fe… |