Will Jason Day finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?
open
Total volume
$1,268
Trades
40
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$209
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-17 17:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-35.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $391
vs crowd: 36% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $390 | $398 | $8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $8 | $281 | $273 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $4 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $391 | $391 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $101 | $101 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $8 | $170 | $162 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $390 | $7 | +$383 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5375…aeea | Yes | +657 | $390 | $390 | 2 | 05-16 17:37 |
| Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | +401 | $391 | $391 | 5 | 05-17 16:49 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +282 | $76 | $104 | 9 | 05-17 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6239…c24f | No | +196 | $169 | $169 | 3 | 05-16 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6239…c24f | Yes | +80 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 20:47 |
| Tremendous-Assignment 0x5bc5…c64d | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-16 17:37 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-16 17:37 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-17 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-17 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fa5…d9f1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 17:31 |
| Rough-Tape-Integral 0x4a4b…3107 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 17:31:11 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5c5733… |
| 05-17 17:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x3fa5…d9f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5c5733… |
| 05-17 17:31:09 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x2f3441… |
| 05-17 17:31:09 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x2f3441… |
| 05-17 16:50:07 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1517bb… |
| 05-17 16:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1517bb… |
| 05-17 16:49:49 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4d44b2… |
| 05-17 16:49:49 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4d44b2… |
| 05-17 16:49:39 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x744dec… |
| 05-17 16:49:39 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x744dec… |
| 05-17 16:47:45 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdde1a1… |
| 05-17 16:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdde1a1… |
| 05-17 16:47:03 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76698e… |
| 05-17 16:47:03 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x76698e… |
| 05-17 16:47:03 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 210 | 100¢ | $210 | 0x76698e… |
| 05-17 15:40:07 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x724f54… |
| 05-17 15:40:07 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x724f54… |
| 05-16 18:03:06 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x77606b… |
| 05-16 18:03:06 | (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x77606b… |
| 05-16 18:02:19 | Rough-Tape-Integral 0x4a4b…3107 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x550be0… |
| 05-16 18:02:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x550be0… |
| 05-16 18:02:15 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xd4bad8… |
| 05-16 18:02:15 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 31 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xd4bad8… |
| 05-16 18:02:15 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xd4bad8… |
| 05-16 17:37:24 | (anonymous) 0x6239…c24f | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x89ca4d… |
| 05-16 17:37:24 | (anonymous) 0x5375…aeea | Yes | BUY | 360 | 68¢ | $247 | 0x89ca4d… |
| 05-16 17:37:24 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x89ca4d… |
| 05-16 17:37:24 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x89ca4d… |
| 05-16 17:37:24 | Tremendous-Assignment 0x5bc5…c64d | No | BUY | 40 | 66¢ | $26 | 0x89ca4d… |
| 05-16 17:37:24 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 214 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x89ca4d… |
| 05-16 16:33:56 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | SELL | 36 | 84¢ | $30 | 0x7f204a… |
| 05-16 16:33:56 | (anonymous) 0x6239…c24f | No | BUY | 36 | 84¢ | $30 | 0x7f204a… |
| 05-16 14:50:11 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3f1ab2… |
| 05-16 14:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x5375…aeea | Yes | BUY | 297 | 48¢ | $143 | 0x3f1ab2… |
| 05-16 14:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x3f1ab2… |
| 05-16 14:50:11 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | No | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3f1ab2… |
| 05-16 14:50:11 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x3f1ab2… |
| 05-16 14:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x6239…c24f | No | BUY | 80 | 84¢ | $67 | 0x3f1ab2… |
| 05-15 20:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x6239…c24f | Yes | BUY | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x90a2d9… |
| 05-15 20:47:26 | Automatic-Hardcover 0x033f…618e | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x90a2d9… |