Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?
open
Total volume
$327
$114 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$21,668
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-15 12:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $5 | $295 | $291 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 20 | $5 | $266 | $261 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enraged-Stencil 0x0e54…134f | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 12:11 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 05-14 05:16 |
| Sad-Readiness 0x5a4d…7a5f | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Jolly-Automaton 0xda15…a083 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-09 18:27 |
| Unrealistic-Authentication 0x57c9…0407 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Clever-Randomization 0x663b…b5f2 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Shoddy-Nation 0xaf97…aae2 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Teeming-Interviewer 0x00e1…0ed2 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Noted-Lyrics-Lark 0x63c9…8b05 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Able-Ordinary 0x0469…2712 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Vain-Coke-Tanktop 0x8a01…c28d | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Spiteful-Birch 0xaca7…4ab7 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Grown-Essence 0xff36…f572 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Husky-Abundance 0x197b…5145 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Harmful-Hepatitis 0xc80b…55fe | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Indolent-Glasses 0x68cf…745d | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Separate-Sky 0x61b1…a731 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Proud-Octagon 0x53b6…970a | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Glamorous-Intent 0xb824…2d4c | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 10:12 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 20:26 |
| Esteemed-Stability 0xf309…c42d | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Sweet-Memorial 0x45bf…3456 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 10:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:11:30 | Enraged-Stencil 0x0e54…134f | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x5d4e8c… |
| 05-15 10:54:36 | Noted-Lyrics-Lark 0x63c9…8b05 | No | BUY | 17 | 91¢ | $15 | 0xc3a527… |
| 05-15 10:54:36 | Clever-Randomization 0x663b…b5f2 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xfef54a… |
| 05-15 10:54:36 | Teeming-Interviewer 0x00e1…0ed2 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x1090d9… |
| 05-15 10:54:36 | Esteemed-Stability 0xf309…c42d | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x524d28… |
| 05-15 10:54:34 | Jolly-Automaton 0xda15…a083 | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0xbb2533… |
| 05-15 10:54:34 | Unrealistic-Authentication 0x57c9…0407 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xca3b1a… |
| 05-15 10:54:32 | Grown-Essence 0xff36…f572 | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x148a30… |
| 05-15 10:54:32 | Husky-Abundance 0x197b…5145 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x3d4cb0… |
| 05-15 10:54:29 | Indolent-Glasses 0x68cf…745d | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x38f0da… |
| 05-15 10:54:29 | Sweet-Memorial 0x45bf…3456 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x17eff0… |
| 05-15 10:12:09 | Able-Ordinary 0x0469…2712 | No | BUY | 17 | 91¢ | $15 | 0xca3304… |
| 05-15 10:12:09 | Harmful-Hepatitis 0xc80b…55fe | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x83ee6e… |
| 05-15 10:12:08 | Glamorous-Intent 0xb824…2d4c | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xc294e0… |
| 05-15 10:12:08 | Sad-Readiness 0x5a4d…7a5f | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x9cb7bf… |
| 05-15 10:12:08 | Proud-Octagon 0x53b6…970a | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xa0dcb9… |
| 05-15 10:12:08 | Separate-Sky 0x61b1…a731 | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x27130d… |
| 05-15 10:12:08 | Spiteful-Birch 0xaca7…4ab7 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb32c76… |
| 05-15 10:12:06 | Vain-Coke-Tanktop 0x8a01…c28d | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x65eefa… |
| 05-15 10:12:06 | Shoddy-Nation 0xaf97…aae2 | No | BUY | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0xee109d… |
| 05-14 18:37:06 | (anonymous) 0x39b2…157c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x842c9c… |
| 05-14 05:16:20 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xef15ac… |
| 05-14 05:06:07 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe40aa0… |
| 05-14 00:44:40 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0xa41dfa… |
| 05-14 00:23:35 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfcb610… |
| 05-13 02:37:35 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x68bc45… |
| 05-12 20:26:42 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x87f802… |
| 05-11 12:34:45 | Exemplary-Alder 0x3f8f…7946 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xedf316… |
| 05-09 18:27:06 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 21 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x22c3a9… |