Exemplary-Alder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,382

lifetime

Volume

$6.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-07 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

76% — —

Other

17% 9% $-13

Politics

5% 33% $-4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?	5	$66	95	95	+0	open	—	04-29 14:12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	05-02 01:57
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 in May?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	05-05 15:27
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	4	$46	48	48	+0	open	—	04-19 22:54
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	2	$44	39	39	+0	open	—	04-29 14:12
Will Trump say "Soleimani" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	04-23 16:26
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	05-05 05:31
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 16c	2	$41	50	50	+0	open	—	04-19 07:13
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 14:12
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 22:56
Will Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 18:11
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	3	$37	300	300	+0	open	—	05-02 01:56
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	04-26 22:57
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	3	$36	100	100	+0	Yes	$-4	05-02 01:56
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-26 22:56
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9, 2026?	3	$34	140	140	+0	open	—	05-09 15:33
Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	6	$33	514	0	+514	Yes	$-19	05-05 22:15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 16:22
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	$-2	04-30 05:47
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 15:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on April 28?	2	$32	49	49	+0	open	—	04-28 14:09
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$31	30	30	+0	Yes	$-7	05-06 01:04
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 06:59
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 85 and 90	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 16:21
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	2	$26	60	60	+0	open	—	05-06 01:03
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$26	274	274	+0	open	—	04-28 14:08
FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 11:25
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 7?	1	$24	50	0	+50	No	+$26	05-07 17:46
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 17:21
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:50:07	will igor thiago score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x6ccd01…
06-07 12:46:52	will igor thiago score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe007b4…
05-23 17:57:16	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x76ea81…
05-23 17:56:11	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x714523…
05-21 09:45:13	Will Donald Trump dance on May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4e6740…
05-21 09:43:19	Will Donald Trump dance on May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xfaedd9…
05-21 09:07:27	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x778285…
05-21 09:06:47	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x004041…
05-21 09:03:46	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x65452c…
05-21 09:01:39	Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x71a140…
05-21 07:25:55	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xd90dab…
05-21 07:22:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x15fee5…
05-19 18:11:07	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.65B?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x3c04e2…
05-19 17:11:00	Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.65B?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x047d2a…
05-16 12:40:19	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd72794…
05-16 09:40:02	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x721774…
05-16 05:52:48	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	No	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xbd2e9e…
05-15 23:37:08	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x559469…
05-15 19:11:08	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x15bf41…
05-15 17:21:14	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xd8d93b…
05-15 17:21:08	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x1e8c4c…
05-15 17:14:10	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4f0317…
05-15 17:13:49	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x52ea55…
05-15 15:50:21	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf94729…
05-15 15:50:17	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x0e81d6…
05-15 15:50:12	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x733312…
05-15 15:50:08	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x83bbbb…
05-15 15:07:00	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6d3a64…
05-15 10:36:29	Will Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1b66ff…
05-15 10:19:04	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x557d03…
05-15 08:39:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x604831…
05-15 08:38:21	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x9b28af…
05-15 07:34:55	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xeba547…
05-14 09:12:51	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xb87f5c…
05-13 17:17:52	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x46a3a2…
05-12 06:09:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xa0341e…
05-12 00:49:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x710e1c…
05-11 17:02:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xbdef70…
05-11 16:45:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x8bd589…
05-10 13:14:41	Will Ryder Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xfdbdb9…
05-10 13:14:34	Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x4540ef…
05-10 11:02:06	Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x222d2f…
05-10 00:02:17	Will Ryder Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xb2eccb…
05-10 00:00:25	Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x3d7306…
05-10 00:00:20	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xad46f0…
05-10 00:00:13	Will Ryder Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x443cb6…
05-09 23:48:03	Will Ryder Wright win Saddle Bronc Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xa88c7f…
05-09 18:04:32	Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xf26cc3…
05-09 17:54:05	Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xaa7b5c…
05-09 15:41:21	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x33129a…
05-09 15:33:02	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xb01019…
05-09 15:29:15	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	14¢	$11	0xd921d8…
05-09 15:27:52	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xe0dc94…
05-09 15:24:47	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x9beafd…
05-09 15:18:25	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	16¢	$11	0x620168…
05-09 14:59:19	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa0e9e9…
05-09 12:19:08	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x5ce927…
05-09 10:58:33	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8c5b9a…
05-09 07:26:46	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1a6ea8…
05-08 06:36:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x168ad7…
05-08 06:36:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x9a0f56…
05-08 06:36:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xefc363…
05-08 06:36:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x3484bc…
05-08 06:35:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x74dca9…
05-08 06:35:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x5a7583…
05-07 21:13:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x6e3534…
05-07 20:48:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x52cb40…
05-07 17:46:15	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 7?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x2a4bd9…
05-07 16:15:52	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x5881ee…
05-07 15:53:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x416b69…
05-07 14:36:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x75f23c…
05-06 01:04:08	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xf310a9…
05-06 01:03:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x2e44a3…
05-05 22:15:22	Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	208	4¢	$8	0x8e3ede…
05-05 22:15:22	Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	179	4¢	$7	0x5a7c19…
05-05 22:15:16	Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xe3d60c…
05-05 22:15:10	Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa43667…
05-05 22:15:10	Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x2b8643…
05-05 20:24:32	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2784bd…
05-05 19:11:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x4c1896…
05-05 18:40:26	Will JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xbc1879…
05-05 17:30:08	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xccaa8e…
05-05 16:08:28	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0d9b12…
05-05 16:07:24	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2bb7d7…
05-05 15:27:42	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x611350…
05-05 13:56:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x24349e…
05-05 05:31:54	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x0fad15…
05-05 01:03:08	Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x846d63…
05-04 22:00:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xcb5b8d…
05-04 05:28:16	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x33c132…
05-03 19:27:48	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6d763d…
05-02 01:57:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x7ee163…
05-02 01:56:52	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xe362f9…
05-02 01:56:42	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$16	0xf3d8b6…
05-01 21:13:30	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xcab124…
05-01 21:06:42	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	94	20¢	$19	0xed49e0…
05-01 15:47:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x398218…
05-01 15:42:58	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	7¢	$14	0x8db128…
05-01 15:22:00	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0xd7c94c…
04-30 05:47:12	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x3c2cb1…