Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$499
$1,808 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$192,322
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 03:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $9 | $357 | $348 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $13 | $101 | $88 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $9 | $315 | $306 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $51 | $51 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $38 | $35 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | $16 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53 | No | +314 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 05-14 03:59 |
| Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | No | +52 | $43 | $49 | 3 | 05-13 09:30 |
| Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87 | No | +43 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-13 09:14 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 12:48 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +19 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-13 09:50 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +19 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 06:14 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +15 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-13 09:50 |
| Uneven-Boutique 0x7b47…f1f5 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 08:32 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 21:33 |
| Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 19:27 |
| Curvy-Search 0x4642…6657 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:03 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:52 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 03:59:29 | Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53 | No | BUY | 314 | 100¢ | $314 | 0x1d8698… |
| 05-13 12:48:20 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xe3de82… |
| 05-13 09:50:01 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x3895c0… |
| 05-13 09:50:01 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x58e55b… |
| 05-13 09:49:47 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x0f3616… |
| 05-13 09:30:06 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xded45a… |
| 05-13 09:14:24 | Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87 | No | BUY | 43 | 84¢ | $36 | 0xcd7b56… |
| 05-13 09:04:15 | Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x6f4f21… |
| 05-13 09:04:13 | Scratchy-Rope 0x5eb5…d2c8 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe79967… |
| 05-13 08:51:32 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | No | BUY | 47 | 80¢ | $38 | 0x33396d… |
| 05-13 08:40:06 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | No | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xf25804… |
| 05-13 08:39:19 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x254246… |
| 05-13 08:39:14 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x24063e… |
| 05-13 08:14:56 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x4e5c93… |
| 05-13 08:04:56 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | SELL | 34 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xdcc1b0… |
| 05-13 06:14:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7d4b9c… |
| 05-13 06:14:41 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 19 | 68¢ | $13 | 0x0ca550… |
| 05-13 06:14:41 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x416f95… |
| 05-13 05:03:03 | Curvy-Search 0x4642…6657 | No | BUY | 4 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x9a390d… |
| 05-13 04:46:22 | Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x2663f4… |
| 05-12 21:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xc8e665… |
| 05-12 20:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x375b45… |
| 05-12 19:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xa2392c… |
| 05-12 19:27:18 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x3e15ca… |
| 05-12 12:52:52 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x459bf1… |
| 05-12 08:32:34 | Uneven-Boutique 0x7b47…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x2b1de5… |