Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$322
$474 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,415
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 17:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $80 | $80 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $2 | $225 | $223 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $98 | $98 |
| Median | 8 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $102 | $102 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $80 | $80 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9efd…1e7f | Yes | +214 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 18:30 |
| Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 05-07 14:49 |
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-07 16:56 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Mushy-Overcharge 0x536d…07fd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 17:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 17:21:06 | Mushy-Overcharge 0x536d…07fd | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8cdc04… |
| 05-07 16:56:14 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | No | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0x2c3d9f… |
| 05-07 14:49:39 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0xc67ce4… |
| 05-07 13:51:06 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x773f66… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ef8f7… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbadffe… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x735d3d… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xc8d391… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4d7da… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc80fab… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf55e3f… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22b033… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b739c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff4337… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92ae35… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x121149… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01a189… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xafd8cf… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52bca2… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xd17896… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x369e4b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc01dcd… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28fb8d… |
| 05-06 18:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x9efd…1e7f | Yes | BUY | 214 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x527331… |
| 05-06 05:39:10 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xab406e… |