Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$164
$1,827 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,444
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 00:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $48 | $83 | $35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $31 | $31 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 4 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $55 | $54 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +59 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +50 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-12 09:27 |
| Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | +28 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-12 02:57 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +28 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 21:27 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:08 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-12 02:57 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 23:08 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 10:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | Yes | +3 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-11 23:13 |
| Perky-Pantyhose 0xd1e9…62a2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:45 |
| Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:02:46 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x1e5f21… |
| 05-12 22:45:52 | Perky-Pantyhose 0xd1e9…62a2 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xe31f9b… |
| 05-12 22:21:43 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x6f1f75… |
| 05-12 21:51:54 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6001ca… |
| 05-12 19:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 59 | 84¢ | $50 | 0xf5e98e… |
| 05-12 10:17:34 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x1419a3… |
| 05-12 09:52:22 | Flat-Mailing 0x1668…43d5 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x344c2e… |
| 05-12 09:27:43 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x1eec63… |
| 05-12 03:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x43c9…d996 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x58501a… |
| 05-12 03:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x43c9…d996 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xe3b4f7… |
| 05-12 02:57:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x2ce1a2… |
| 05-12 02:57:37 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x1a10da… |
| 05-12 00:03:27 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0xb4bb02… |
| 05-11 23:38:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xe460f5… |
| 05-11 23:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x4d70d4… |
| 05-11 23:21:13 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x15efbe… |
| 05-11 23:21:12 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xc7610a… |
| 05-11 23:21:12 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xfd22b3… |
| 05-11 23:21:10 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xb24b30… |
| 05-11 23:13:19 | Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xffaf93… |
| 05-11 23:13:17 | Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x89855a… |
| 05-11 23:13:17 | Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x937b41… |
| 05-11 23:11:43 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | SELL | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xf0e25b… |
| 05-11 23:11:04 | Spotted-Collateral 0x5cd3…5b9a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x935b9c… |
| 05-11 23:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xcbfd48… |
| 05-11 23:08:18 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x0f7c81… |
| 05-11 23:08:18 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | Yes | BUY | 13 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x6c62ef… |
| 05-11 23:08:16 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xbb25ba… |
| 05-11 21:27:44 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa43bb4… |
| 05-11 13:32:30 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x389bd1… |