Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,001
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$693
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 07-09 18:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
71%
Politics
19% 0% $-5
Tech
7%
Crypto
3% 73% $-17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +500 $418 62¢ $313 $-106 07-05 02:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +110 $89 88¢ $97 +$8 06-20 14:20
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -120 $-98 64¢ $-76 +$22 06-26 00:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +135 $40 40¢ $55 +$15 07-09 01:14
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +238 $82 22¢ $51 $-31 06-27 18:38
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +97 $59 43¢ $42 $-17 06-26 13:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30 $26 92¢ $27 +$1 07-09 18:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +190 $14 $12 $-2 07-01 15:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-14 21:44
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +120 $11 $9 $-2 06-30 15:25
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +16 $-11 12¢ $2 +$13 07-06 17:46