Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
484
lifetime
Volume
$6.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$368
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 06-19 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
58%
Politics
30% 0% $-5
Tech
6%
Crypto
6% 73% $-17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +110 $104 99¢ $110 +$5 06-17 17:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +207 $94 47¢ $97 +$3 06-19 03:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +50 $35 86¢ $43 +$8 06-19 01:35
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +67 $40 62¢ $41 +$1 06-18 02:37
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +30 $21 78¢ $23 +$2 06-18 11:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 06-17 20:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 92¢ $16 +$0 06-19 03:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-14 21:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +70 $6 10¢ $7 +$0 06-18 14:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +8 $2 55¢ $4 +$2 06-19 01:54