Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$89
$368 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$4,238
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $75 | $75 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $83 | $83 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 5 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +83 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 05:20 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +75 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 11:02 |
| Annual-Selfesteem 0x44a7…c2e4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:02:34 | Annual-Selfesteem 0x44a7…c2e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb2c1f2… |
| 05-12 20:02:40 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb07cda… |
| 05-12 18:16:41 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 190 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad2db8… |
| 05-12 11:02:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x4583b5… |
| 05-12 10:42:44 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x9e387a… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf973eb… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43fb83… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdbcf25… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x91eac7… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda57d4… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0218eb… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x637c84… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x47f147… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x378824… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd87fe9… |
| 05-12 10:42:30 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x107637… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53948c… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb106c… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8bf5f… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2364a… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18cd27… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd7737… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57af37… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8eb42b… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0e48e… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d0b09… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x098191… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1272… |
| 05-12 05:20:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xd2a805… |