Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$389
$1,740 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,809
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $118 | $118 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | — | $271 | $271 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $243 | $243 |
| Median | 8 | — | $88 | $88 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +95 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 05-08 04:14 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +89 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-06 19:25 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 05-08 03:16 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fcc…5fa6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c73…0cea | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x44ac…bb36 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf514…8e20 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f85…7ae1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xda15…6811 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| Fantastic-Methodology 0xa46d…e5f9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe32c…d956 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 00:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:45:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3514c… |
| 05-08 09:30:42 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x0a49ca… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x031fed… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b4385… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d3e67… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed0862… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa1a202… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfda319… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbadfb7… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbff97b… |
| 05-08 09:00:25 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x729dd0… |
| 05-08 04:14:09 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0x3dc1c4… |
| 05-08 03:44:47 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x548c51… |
| 05-08 03:20:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7787b5… |
| 05-08 03:20:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd52778… |
| 05-08 03:20:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a481a… |
| 05-08 03:16:36 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xfb5e14… |
| 05-08 03:02:27 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x825b02… |
| 05-08 00:52:26 | (anonymous) 0xf514…8e20 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7f1517… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0xe32c…d956 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x086fdc… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0xda15…6811 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x79d7eb… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0x5fcc…5fa6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb6b0a9… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x20ac18… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0x8f85…7ae1 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x52b060… |
| 05-08 00:52:24 | (anonymous) 0x9c73…0cea | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfa0cac… |
| 05-08 00:52:19 | (anonymous) 0x44ac…bb36 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc80fce… |
| 05-07 14:09:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x102f0c… |
| 05-06 19:25:29 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 89 | 100¢ | $88 | 0xd188dd… |
| 05-06 04:19:52 | Fantastic-Methodology 0xa46d…e5f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0861db… |