Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$1,017
$28 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,029
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 06:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $169 | $169 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $5 | $815 | $810 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $400 | $400 |
| Median | 8 | — | $386 | $386 |
| Below median | 8 | $5 | $117 | $112 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $21 | $21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Captor 0xf0f9…8739 | No | +400 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-16 06:00 |
| Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | +188 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 05-16 06:00 |
| Joint-Pitch 0x82ed…4432 | Yes | +146 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:09 |
| Wiggly-Photograph 0x5a7f…079b | No | +109 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-16 06:00 |
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +89 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 03:21 |
| Classic-Trousers 0x6a26…b42e | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-16 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +44 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 05-15 10:41 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-15 10:21 |
| Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 03:45 |
| Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Nifty-Museum 0xa67f…3c3d | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 01:35 |
| Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-16 04:01 |
| Separate-Consideration 0x84b1…66a4 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 08:39 |
| Nonstop-Green 0x9668…5833 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 05:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 22:40 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 04:45 |
| Blissful-Runaway 0x61ca…a1b4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 06:01:03 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xce3867… |
| 05-16 06:00:58 | Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | BUY | 188 | 100¢ | $188 | 0x428afb… |
| 05-16 06:00:54 | Wiggly-Photograph 0x5a7f…079b | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x8711a1… |
| 05-16 06:00:54 | Straight-Captor 0xf0f9…8739 | No | BUY | 400 | 100¢ | $400 | 0x6cf014… |
| 05-16 05:54:45 | Nonstop-Green 0x9668…5833 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x7b0e73… |
| 05-16 05:26:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x826ff4… |
| 05-16 05:26:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46e965… |
| 05-16 05:26:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x74044c… |
| 05-16 05:26:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51c195… |
| 05-16 05:26:12 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4ee699… |
| 05-16 05:01:07 | Venerated-Forehead 0x5f06…4ff6 | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0xbbd589… |
| 05-16 04:45:43 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x4bedc2… |
| 05-16 04:32:51 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x49f74d… |
| 05-16 04:01:00 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x8c7e7d… |
| 05-16 03:45:57 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x88b7d5… |
| 05-16 03:21:01 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd53cb4… |
| 05-16 02:48:45 | Elliptical-Foundation 0x131d…2a50 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6623bd… |
| 05-16 01:35:33 | Nifty-Museum 0xa67f…3c3d | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xee9997… |
| 05-16 01:00:36 | Classic-Trousers 0x6a26…b42e | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x618806… |
| 05-15 18:57:01 | Blissful-Runaway 0x61ca…a1b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7dd2a1… |
| 05-15 11:29:34 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6117fb… |
| 05-15 10:41:09 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x2e8d9e… |
| 05-15 10:21:47 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x0e0b77… |
| 05-15 10:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xecc7d8… |
| 05-15 08:39:37 | Separate-Consideration 0x84b1…66a4 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x92b184… |
| 05-15 08:19:36 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x57cd19… |
| 05-15 08:09:50 | Joint-Pitch 0x82ed…4432 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa5215c… |
| 05-15 00:12:56 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd18dc0… |
| 05-14 22:40:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7978f3… |
| 05-14 21:18:45 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa26800… |
| 05-14 21:18:43 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x53113e… |
| 05-14 21:18:18 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0x185558… |
| 05-14 16:36:39 | Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa6c58f… |
| 05-14 12:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x79327c… |