Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$92
$258 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,915
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 01:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $55 | $55 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $67 | $66 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Careless-Will-Failure 0x2226…5c76 | Yes | +596 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:27 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +400 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:55 |
| Bossy-Participant 0xacb1…d05d | Yes | +143 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:31 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-12 05:20 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 17:01 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 01:43:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x83028f… |
| 05-13 00:38:20 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x01f4d6… |
| 05-13 00:31:30 | Bossy-Participant 0xacb1…d05d | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x34c8a8… |
| 05-12 19:55:37 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1509d0… |
| 05-12 18:27:30 | Careless-Will-Failure 0x2226…5c76 | Yes | BUY | 596 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xffa2f4… |
| 05-12 17:01:36 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x96386a… |
| 05-12 11:02:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf331ab… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf1717… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf573b… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cbd52… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcee7d2… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf05e6… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x635119… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbff224… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aa1f9… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d987f… |
| 05-12 10:42:32 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd47f3a… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5f074… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30e2b2… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b24d… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf68055… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fc6cd… |
| 05-12 10:42:28 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeceb36… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xadcac8… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5c4f0… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x133f65… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc9089d… |
| 05-12 05:20:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ab23f… |
| 05-12 05:20:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xdd9d0b… |