Careless-Will-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

310

Trades

825

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-02 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

100% 26% -$47

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 20?	7	$11	34	34	+0	Yes	+$8	05-20 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 24?	6	$8	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	05-24 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 25?	4	$7	11	11	+0	Yes	+$5	05-25 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?	4	$7	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	05-17 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?	5	$6	54	54	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	4	$6	26	23	+3	No	+$7	05-24 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?	4	$5	596	596	+0	No	+$3	05-13 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 21?	6	$5	30	27	+3	No	+$2	05-21 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 22?	7	$4	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	05-22 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	3	$4	11	11	+0	No	+$2	05-11 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 25?	3	$4	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-24 22:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	4	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-02 04:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	3	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-24 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?	4	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-17 06:22
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 18?	8	$3	20	18	+2	No	+$2	05-18 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 12?	5	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-11 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 21?	12	$3	48	27	+21	No	+$1	05-20 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 23?	3	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 26?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 21?	8	$3	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-21 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 19?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-17 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-11 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 19?	2	$3	5	2	+2	Yes	-$1	05-17 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 25?	2	$3	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-24 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 22?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-21 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 13?	4	$3	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-13 01:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?	3	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 21:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x35f514…
06-02 20:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8d9e01…
06-02 13:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6d1f9b…
06-02 11:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb7ac34…
06-02 09:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x628128…
06-02 08:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x77edc8…
06-02 08:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb234e9…
06-02 07:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xf88878…
06-02 06:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x8c4872…
06-02 06:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe043ed…
06-02 04:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfb32a3…
06-02 04:01:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd9b0b7…
06-02 04:01:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x8f4894…
06-02 03:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x08c43a…
06-02 03:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1b084f…
06-02 03:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x37ff4b…
06-02 03:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xf5e201…
06-01 22:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x842efc…
06-01 22:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x0aaa5b…
06-01 20:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6c1b86…
06-01 19:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x4b0760…
06-01 19:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x4298c4…
06-01 19:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x0ab007…
06-01 18:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x8eca02…
06-01 17:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd0e3ef…
06-01 12:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xea02a8…
06-01 12:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb15999…
06-01 12:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x21d8e5…
06-01 12:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf0e537…
06-01 10:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x9cceb9…
06-01 08:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xf0fe48…
06-01 08:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4c1924…
06-01 07:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb0d58e…
06-01 07:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x1fb141…
06-01 07:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc935fd…
06-01 07:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xc067f9…
06-01 06:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2e64cf…
06-01 06:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x827da7…
06-01 06:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x83e8ac…
06-01 05:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xf6d9ee…
06-01 05:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0d5464…
06-01 04:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa003a2…
06-01 04:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x63c4e2…
06-01 04:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xadff85…
06-01 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd33db0…
06-01 04:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x78dd39…
06-01 04:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xa2358e…
06-01 03:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x9fb5f2…
06-01 03:33:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xfda495…
06-01 03:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0xccb159…
06-01 03:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x30f8f3…
06-01 03:15:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x30cc87…
06-01 03:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x98dc14…
06-01 03:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x21b125…
06-01 01:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x201a5a…
05-31 21:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xd5140b…
05-31 20:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x93bd74…
05-31 19:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe776b3…
05-31 19:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x29e873…
05-31 19:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xace82c…
05-31 18:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd9c8c7…
05-31 18:00:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x5f9c9a…
05-31 17:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb79aa8…
05-31 17:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xa76d57…
05-31 17:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x994d00…
05-31 17:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x8af744…
05-31 17:26:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xea741c…
05-31 17:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x79a780…
05-31 17:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbfbbd1…
05-30 10:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb40231…
05-30 10:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x29ba3b…
05-30 03:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xed7be2…
05-30 03:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x193a4d…
05-29 23:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x6b5330…
05-29 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd8844b…
05-29 21:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xc6576c…
05-29 18:16:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xccaa48…
05-29 17:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x033238…
05-29 16:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x3c644f…
05-29 16:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5b6561…
05-29 14:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x2e25f7…
05-29 14:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3c44e9…
05-29 14:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x086cda…
05-29 14:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x7a7758…
05-29 14:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xc106cb…
05-29 14:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8ee1f8…
05-29 14:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6b4589…
05-29 14:16:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xd5b24c…
05-29 14:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x31459d…
05-29 13:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x2a051b…
05-29 13:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xefa50b…
05-29 13:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x6ed8da…
05-29 13:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x81926e…
05-29 13:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x2ad127…
05-29 13:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x9981e3…
05-29 12:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x8ead8d…
05-29 12:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xed9295…
05-29 12:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x3ed791…
05-29 11:59:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x27fc51…
05-29 11:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x44527d…