Paraguay leading at halftime?
Yes won
Total volume
$500
$371 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
58¢
Latest NO mid
42¢
End date
2026-11-13
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-13 13:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+14.9¢
(top1%: 90% YES on $198
vs crowd: 75% YES on $482)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $216 | $117 | +$99 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $104 | — | +$104 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $24 | $2 | +$22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $178 | $20 | +$158 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $90 | $1 | +$89 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $45 | $98 | $53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | +314 | $93 | $93 | 13 | 11-13 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Yes | +80 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 11-13 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | +66 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 11-13 10:43 |
| Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | +48 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 11-13 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x5940…94c8 | Yes | +40 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 11-13 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x32bb…3c1a | Yes | +34 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 11-12 16:29 |
| Lustrous-Feed 0x722a…d6ed | Yes | +31 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 11-13 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9578…1597 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-13 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1355…f1ef | Yes | +25 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-13 04:47 |
| All-Cinema 0x7517…0353 | Yes | +24 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-13 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 12:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 12:00 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 12:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf38e…b225 | Yes | +17 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 11-13 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x57d5…1a55 | No | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0f…7fc7 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-13 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb64…db86 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-12 21:54 |
| Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50 | No | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-12 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x80c5…46e1 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3a7…3172 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 04:46 |
| Dirty-Automaton 0x200f…7a96 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd3…c3a1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 04:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xeeb0…7d6a | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e9f…3988 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 04:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 13:24:22 | (anonymous) 0x4fe4…c4d8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7215c3… |
| 11-13 13:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xf38e…b225 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7215c3… |
| 11-13 13:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x904d…fa18 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xeb5967… |
| 11-13 13:03:21 | (anonymous) 0xf38e…b225 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xeb5967… |
| 11-13 12:49:46 | (anonymous) 0x9578…1597 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xf81381… |
| 11-13 12:49:46 | Skinny-Planning 0x628e…b3de | Yes | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xf81381… |
| 11-13 12:35:19 | Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x5160fd… |
| 11-13 12:35:19 | (anonymous) 0xe906…db88 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x5160fd… |
| 11-13 12:35:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x5160fd… |
| 11-13 12:34:36 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xf1fc53… |
| 11-13 12:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x5940…94c8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xf1fc53… |
| 11-13 12:34:22 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xb79c6a… |
| 11-13 12:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x5940…94c8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xb79c6a… |
| 11-13 12:09:58 | Skinny-Planning 0x628e…b3de | Yes | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x2a8b35… |
| 11-13 12:09:58 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2a8b35… |
| 11-13 12:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x57d5…1a55 | No | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x29715a… |
| 11-13 12:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x904d…fa18 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x29715a… |
| 11-13 12:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x01b27e… |
| 11-13 12:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x01b27e… |
| 11-13 11:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xe906…db88 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x307a53… |
| 11-13 11:57:55 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x307a53… |
| 11-13 11:47:03 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | BUY | 25 | 74¢ | $18 | 0x23304a… |
| 11-13 11:47:03 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x23304a… |
| 11-13 10:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x4b4dba… |
| 11-13 10:58:30 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 86 | 26¢ | $22 | 0x4b4dba… |
| 11-13 10:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x80c5…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x4b4dba… |
| 11-13 10:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x4fe4…c4d8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xb1b46e… |
| 11-13 10:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xb1b46e… |
| 11-13 09:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 31 | 25¢ | $8 | 0xf410ac… |
| 11-13 09:33:49 | Lustrous-Feed 0x722a…d6ed | Yes | BUY | 31 | 75¢ | $23 | 0xf410ac… |
| 11-13 09:02:16 | (anonymous) 0xeeb0…7d6a | No | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfe9cbc… |
| 11-13 09:02:16 | Dirty-Automaton 0x200f…7a96 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xfe9cbc… |
| 11-13 07:51:42 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 24 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x0799dc… |
| 11-13 07:51:42 | All-Cinema 0x7517…0353 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 74¢ | $18 | 0x0799dc… |
| 11-13 07:51:42 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 23 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x2c96c3… |
| 11-13 07:51:42 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | BUY | 23 | 74¢ | $17 | 0x2c96c3… |
| 11-13 04:49:28 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd3bc4e… |
| 11-13 04:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x3e9f…3988 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd3bc4e… |
| 11-13 04:49:27 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x70175e… |
| 11-13 04:49:27 | (anonymous) 0xce0f…7fc7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x70175e… |
| 11-13 04:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x1355…f1ef | Yes | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0x099f38… |
| 11-13 04:47:54 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x099f38… |
| 11-13 04:46:15 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x89e855… |
| 11-13 04:46:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3a7…3172 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x89e855… |
| 11-13 04:41:07 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x85ff06… |
| 11-13 04:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x2bd3…c3a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x85ff06… |
| 11-12 21:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xbb64…db86 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x0a40bd… |
| 11-12 21:54:12 | Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50 | No | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x0a40bd… |
| 11-12 16:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 34 | 28¢ | $9 | 0x2cbb62… |
| 11-12 16:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x32bb…3c1a | Yes | BUY | 34 | 72¢ | $24 | 0x2cbb62… |