Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 8?
No won
Total volume
$1,540
Trades
33
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 09:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $111
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $164 | $164 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $111 | $111 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $164 | $164 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $317 | $317 |
| Median | 7 | — | $495 | $495 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $118 | $118 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $200 | $200 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Toy 0xb192…14dd | No | +256 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 05-08 09:03 |
| Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | No | +256 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Querulous-Veal 0xf10e…4308 | No | +211 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-08 07:03 |
| Rich-Pup 0xea6b…5ac2 | No | +119 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-07 20:16 |
| Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 05-08 09:10 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +84 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +66 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Left-Colony 0x0671…edde | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-08 07:04 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 08:39 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-08 08:04 |
| Worldly-Way 0xfa65…18a8 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-08 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-08 06:08 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +10 | $8 | $10 | 2 | 05-07 22:10 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 07:54 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:30:21 | Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | SELL | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x7ce88a… |
| 05-08 09:10:38 | Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x3bb7ef… |
| 05-08 09:03:52 | Little-Toy 0xb192…14dd | No | BUY | 256 | 100¢ | $255 | 0xd85b07… |
| 05-08 08:55:00 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf790d6… |
| 05-08 08:39:30 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x454b52… |
| 05-08 08:35:13 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe90a80… |
| 05-08 08:35:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb28a25… |
| 05-08 08:35:13 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7bde01… |
| 05-08 08:04:11 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xfd1ed6… |
| 05-08 08:00:39 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0x06cc74… |
| 05-08 08:00:38 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 66 | 98¢ | $64 | 0x4cfac5… |
| 05-08 08:00:34 | Disguised-Doe 0x0032…e886 | No | BUY | 256 | 98¢ | $250 | 0x822fee… |
| 05-08 08:00:24 | Well-Off-Dame 0x5ab7…e715 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x45cf4a… |
| 05-08 07:54:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xcd711b… |
| 05-08 07:15:11 | Droopy-Wire 0x5026…2039 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x98a12d… |
| 05-08 07:15:06 | Svelte-Gaffe 0xcef8…5121 | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xfa48d5… |
| 05-08 07:04:34 | Worldly-Way 0xfa65…18a8 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x994170… |
| 05-08 07:04:06 | Left-Colony 0x0671…edde | No | BUY | 57 | 96¢ | $55 | 0x3e6a02… |
| 05-08 07:03:43 | Querulous-Veal 0xf10e…4308 | No | BUY | 211 | 95¢ | $200 | 0x1b8d44… |
| 05-08 06:20:28 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x412325… |
| 05-08 06:15:29 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x19a5e8… |
| 05-08 06:15:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3c6e4f… |
| 05-08 06:15:29 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb41229… |
| 05-08 06:09:07 | Starchy-Supplier 0xbd33…21d1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0a2483… |
| 05-08 06:08:38 | (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x311f16… |
| 05-08 04:44:55 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0d84aa… |
| 05-08 02:52:10 | Hasty-Signet 0x8b1b…2cae | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x32951a… |
| 05-08 02:42:30 | Svelte-Gaffe 0xcef8…5121 | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xb68442… |
| 05-08 02:37:31 | Droopy-Wire 0x5026…2039 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xcc7b45… |
| 05-08 02:37:28 | Svelte-Gaffe 0xcef8…5121 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xb004d8… |
| 05-07 22:10:02 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xf40803… |
| 05-07 20:16:08 | Rich-Pup 0xea6b…5ac2 | No | BUY | 119 | 93¢ | $111 | 0x4d99c6… |
| 05-07 10:06:07 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0xd71567… |